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← Stats / TOR @ DET

TOR @ DET

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
3 – 6
FINAL
Detroit Red Wings
41-31-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR -145 · DET +125
Puck Line
TOR -1.5 (+160) · DET +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · DET +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 55%
45-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
66%
27-14
75%
3-1
49%
38-40-3
DETo5.5 57%
47-35
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
63%
26-15
75%
3-1
53%
42-37-3
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR-1.5 37%
30-52
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
32%
13-28
50%
2-2
+0.96u
40-41
DET+1.5 67%
55-27
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
76%
31-10
50%
2-2
+1.04u
48-34
Moneyline
win %
 TOR fav -145 63%
52-30
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
61%
25-16
75%
3-1
+3.58u
38-20
DET dog +125 48%
39-43
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
22-19
25%
1-3
+1.76u
27-34
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 TOR 27%
22-60
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
34%
14-27
25%
1-3
50%
41-41
 1.72 0.88 / 0.84
DET 29%
24-58
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
32%
13-28
25%
1-3
57%
47-35
 1.93 0.95 / 0.98
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TOR 32%
26-56
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
42%
17-24
0%
0-4
59%
48-34
 2.12 1.23 / 0.89
DET 24%
20-62
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
22%
9-32
0%
0-4
49%
40-42
 1.82 0.80 / 1.01
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 TOR 35%
29-53
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
34%
14-27
25%
1-3
52%
37-34
 2.06 1.02 / 1.04
DET 35%
29-53
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
34%
14-27
25%
1-3
51%
39-37
 2.11 1.04 / 1.07
Team Comparison '25-26
TORDET
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1441-31-10
Points %47.6%56.1%
Goals for / game3.092.94
Goals against / game3.653.15
Shots for / game26.328.2
Shots against / game32.427.7
Power play %21.3%22.6%
Penalty kill %81.2%77.1%
Faceoff %54.3%51.2%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.60 / 0.77
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.12 / 1.04
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.09 / 1.22
Avg game total6.736.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 33 shots · 4 GA · L
DET · Cam Talbot
20 saves on 23 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2010230/2
DET0330351/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+125
 45% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+400
 21% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+190
 37% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+140
 42% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+575
 12% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+700
 10% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 19% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+200
 31% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 4% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+650
 5% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+575
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+425
 11% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+275
 23% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 1% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1400
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 1% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+350
 9% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 75% 70% 100%2/2 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 68% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 62% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 39% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 35% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 27% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 35% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 32% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 33% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 28% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 18% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 18% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 53% 60% 0%0/4 3 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 59% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
 54% 40% 50%1/2 6 O
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 24.5
o-130 / u-105
 67% 70% 0%0/1 29 O
DETPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex DeBrincat G 0.5
o+155
 43% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
J.T. Compher G 0.5
o+400
 15% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Dylan Larkin G 0.5
o+185
 33% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Marco Kasper G 0.5
o+260
 21% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Patrick Kane G 0.5
o+260
 26% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Andrew Copp G 0.5
o+500
 14% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Jonatan Berggren G 0.5
o+500
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ben Chiarot G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Mason Appleton G 0.5
o+575
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Rasmussen G 0.5
o+550
 14% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Moritz Seider G 0.5
o+500
 10% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Albert Johansson G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Lucas Raymond G 0.5
o+220
 32% 10% 50%2/4 2 O
Simon Edvinsson G 0.5
o+800
 8% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Emmitt Finnie G 0.5
o+400
 0% — — 0 U
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård G 0.5
o+550
 0% — — 0 U
Patrick Kane PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 70% 50%2/4 3 O
Alex DeBrincat PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 61% 70% 50%2/4 3 O
Dylan Larkin PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 60% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
Marco Kasper PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 34% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Moritz Seider PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 42% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Lucas Raymond PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 63% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Patrick Kane A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Dylan Larkin A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Moritz Seider A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 35% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Lucas Raymond A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 46% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Marco Kasper A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 22% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex DeBrincat A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 20% 25%1/4 3 O
Alex DeBrincat SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 54% 60% 75%3/4 3 O
Marco Kasper SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 55% 60% 100%3/3 4 O
Moritz Seider SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 61% 50% 75%3/4 1 U
Patrick Kane SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 40% 50%2/4 4 O
Lucas Raymond SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 30% 0%0/4 2 U
Dylan Larkin SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 49% 20% 50%2/4 4 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 17, 2025 at TOR DET 3–4 OT 1–12–00–2 7 5.5 O TOR
Dec 27, 2024 at DET DET 2–5 0–30–22–0 7 5.5 O TOR
Dec 14, 2024 at DET DET 4–2 1–01–12–1 6 6 P DET
Nov 8, 2024 at TOR DET 1–3 0–11–10–1 4 6 U TOR
Apr 13, 2024 at TOR DET 5–4 OT 4–10–30–0 9 — DET
Jan 14, 2024 at TOR DET 4–2 0–01–23–0 6 — DET
Nov 17, 2023 at DET DET 2–3 0–02–00–3 5 — TOR
Apr 2, 2023 at TOR DET 5–2 3–10–02–1 7 — DET
Jan 12, 2023 at DET DET 4–1 1–01–12–0 5 — DET
Jan 7, 2023 at TOR DET 1–4 1–00–20–2 5 — TOR