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← Stats / NJD @ TBL

NJD @ TBL

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New Jersey Devils
42-37-3 · Away
5 – 3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NJD +130 · TBL -150
Puck Line
NJD +1.5 (-210) · TBL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 NJDo6.5 33%
27-55
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
34%
14-27
33%
1-2
41%
33-47-2
TBLo6.5 43%
35-47
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
44%
18-23
33%
1-2
47%
37-41-3
Puck Line
cover %
 NJD+1.5 71%
58-24
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
71%
29-12
33%
1-2
-12.08u
32-50
TBL-1.5 45%
37-45
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
67%
2-1
+11.37u
43-38
Moneyline
win %
 NJD dog +130 51%
42-40
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
33%
1-2
-2.40u
6-9
TBL fav -150 57%
47-35
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
71%
29-12
67%
2-1
+3.74u
41-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-138/u+108 NJD 40%
33-49
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
39%
16-25
67%
2-1
40%
33-49
 1.37 0.65 / 0.72
TBL 49%
40-42
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
18-23
67%
2-1
49%
40-42
 1.83 1.11 / 0.72
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 NJD 29%
24-58
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
27%
11-30
33%
1-2
56%
46-36
 1.90 1.11 / 0.79
TBL 40%
33-49
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
39%
16-25
33%
1-2
57%
47-35
 2.16 1.22 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 NJD 35%
29-53
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
37%
15-26
67%
2-1
58%
42-30
 2.23 1.12 / 1.11
TBL 33%
27-55
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
34%
14-27
67%
2-1
39%
29-46
 2.10 1.18 / 0.91
Team Comparison '25-26
NJDTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)42-37-350-26-6
Points %53.0%64.6%
Goals for / game2.803.54
Goals against / game3.102.82
Shots for / game29.628.1
Shots against / game27.426.7
Power play %22.0%20.7%
Penalty kill %79.3%82.6%
Faceoff %50.5%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.78 / 0.980.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA0.87 / 1.011.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.071.23 / 0.98
Avg game total5.906.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
14 saves on 17 shots · 3 GA · W
26 saves on 31 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NJD3020310/4
TBL0210170/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NJDPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jack Hughes G 0.5
o+160
 36% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Connor Brown G 0.5
o+550
 13% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Timo Meier G 0.5
o+195
 29% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Nico Hischier G 0.5
o+190
 37% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Ondrej Palat G 0.5
o+450
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Dougie Hamilton G 0.5
o+550
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jesper Bratt G 0.5
o+230
 21% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Dawson Mercer G 0.5
o+275
 21% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Cody Glass G 0.5
o+525
 9% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Paul Cotter G 0.5
o+700
 18% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Luke Hughes G 0.5
o+650
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Simon Nemec G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Brenden Dillon G 0.5
o+2000
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% — 0 U
Brett Pesce G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jonas Siegenthaler G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Arseny Gritsyuk G 0.5
o+575
 0% — — 0 U
Jack Hughes PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 61% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Nico Hischier PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 60% 0%0/3 2 O
Luke Hughes PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 42% 60% 0%0/2 2 O
Dougie Hamilton PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Jesper Bratt PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Dawson Mercer PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 34% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Timo Meier PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 30% 33%1/3 2 O
Luke Hughes A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 60% 0%0/2 2 O
Jesper Bratt A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 61% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Nico Hischier A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 32% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Hughes A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Dougie Hamilton A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 39% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Dawson Mercer A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 20% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Timo Meier A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 26% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Timo Meier SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Dawson Mercer SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 52% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Luke Hughes SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 47% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
Dougie Hamilton SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Jesper Bratt SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 50% 100%3/3 3 O
Jack Hughes SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 40% 67%2/3 7 O
Nico Hischier SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 44% 20% 33%1/3 3 O
Jacob Markstrom SV 23.5
o-105 / u-125
 37% 40% 0%0/2 14 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+145
 41% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 39% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+250
 23% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+145
 46% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 17% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+210
 35% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+375
 12% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+450
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 12% 10% — 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 30% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1500
 1% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+525
 18% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1100
 0% — — 0 U
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+475
 0% — — 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 54% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 63% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 46% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 69% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 49% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 70% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 67% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 38% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 36% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 30% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 50% 30% 100%3/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 69% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 65% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 50% 67%2/3 4 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 64% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 50% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 60% 50%1/2 26 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 11, 2025 at NJD TBL 2–3 OT 1–10–11–0 5 6 U NJD
Nov 16, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–0 1–00–03–0 4 6 U TBL
Oct 22, 2024 at NJD TBL 8–5 1–15–12–3 13 7 O TBL
Feb 25, 2024 at NJD TBL 4–1 0–02–12–0 5 — TBL
Jan 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–3 0–02–04–3 9 — TBL
Jan 11, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–3 OT 2–11–10–1 7 — TBL
Mar 19, 2023 at TBL TBL 2–5 1–01–30–2 7 — NJD
Mar 16, 2023 at NJD TBL 4–3 SO 1–01–11–2 7 — TBL
Mar 14, 2023 at NJD TBL 4–1 1–13–00–0 5 — TBL
Feb 15, 2022 at NJD TBL 6–3 1–22–13–0 9 — TBL