NYR @ TOR
Thursday, October 16, 2025 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYR +125 · TOR -145
Puck Line
NYR +1.5 (-210) · TOR -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)
Graded: total 3 → OVER L · TOR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | NYR | o5.5 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 50% 1-1 | 33% 1-2 | 20% 1-4 |
| TOR | o5.5 | 55% 45-37 | 80% 4-1 | 50% 5-5 | 44% 18-23 | 33% 1-2 | 49% 38-40-3 | |
| Puck Line cover % | NYR | +1.5 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 100% 2-0 | 100% 3-0 | +0.40u 2-3 |
| TOR | -1.5 | 37% 30-52 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 42% 17-24 | 0% 0-3 | +0.96u 40-41 | |
| Moneyline win % | NYR dog | +125 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 100% 2-0 | 33% 1-2 | -2.00u 0-2 |
| TOR fav | -145 | 63% 52-30 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 66% 27-14 | 67% 2-1 | +3.58u 38-20 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-130/u+102 | NYR | 60% 3-2 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 100% 2-0 | 100% 3-0 | 0% 0-5 | 0.60 | 0.40 / 0.20 |
| TOR | 85% 70-12 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 83% 34-7 | 100% 3-0 | 50% 41-41 | 1.72 | 0.88 / 0.84 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 | NYR | 60% 3-2 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 50% 1-1 | 100% 3-0 | 20% 1-4 | 1.20 | 0.60 / 0.60 |
| TOR | 89% 73-9 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 88% 36-5 | 100% 3-0 | 59% 48-34 | 2.12 | 1.23 / 0.89 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 | NYR | 80% 4-1 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 100% 2-0 | 100% 3-0 | 40% 2-3 | 1.60 | 1.00 / 0.60 |
| TOR | 89% 73-9 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 88% 36-5 | 100% 3-0 | 52% 37-34 | 2.06 | 1.02 / 1.04 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| NYR | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 34-39-9 | 32-36-14 |
| Points % | 47.0% | 47.6% |
| Goals for / game | 2.90 | 3.09 |
| Goals against / game | 3.05 | 3.65 |
| Shots for / game | 25.2 | 26.3 |
| Shots against / game | 28.8 | 32.4 |
| Power play % | 24.7% | 21.3% |
| Penalty kill % | 79.9% | 81.2% |
| Faceoff % | 54.6% | 54.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.82 / 0.95 | 0.84 / 0.99 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.95 / 0.96 | 0.95 / 1.23 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.02 / 1.02 | 1.18 / 1.26 |
| Avg game total | 5.95 | 6.73 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
NYR · Igor Shesterkin
22 saves on 24 shots · 2 GA · OTL
TOR · Anthony Stolarz
28 saves on 29 shots · 1 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 0/3 |
| TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1/2 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| NYR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Miller | G | 0.5 o+240 |
20% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mika Zibanejad | G | 0.5 o+210 |
20% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Adam Fox | G | 0.5 o+425 |
40% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | G | 0.5 o+325 |
20% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Artemi Panarin | G | 0.5 o+170 |
0% | 20% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Juuso Parssinen | G | 0.5 o+650 |
13% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Alexis Lafrenière | G | 0.5 o+250 |
20% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Matt Rempe | G | 0.5 o+650 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
0% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Taylor Raddysh | G | 0.5 o+700 |
20% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Adam Edstrom | G | 0.5 o+750 |
0% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Sam Carrick | G | 0.5 o+700 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Conor Sheary | G | 0.5 o+425 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Will Borgen | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Urho Vaakanainen | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Braden Schneider | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Matthew Robertson | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Noah Laba | G | 0.5 o+650 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| J.T. Miller | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
40% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
20% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Mika Zibanejad | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
20% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Artemi Panarin | PTS | 0.5 o-230 / u+165 |
40% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Adam Fox | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u+100 |
40% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
20% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| J.T. Miller | A | 0.5 o-105 / u-130 |
40% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Mika Zibanejad | A | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
0% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Artemi Panarin | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
40% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
0% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Adam Fox | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-145 |
20% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
80% | 90% | 67%2/3 | 5 O |
| Adam Fox | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+135 |
80% | 80% | 50%1/2 | 2 O |
| Mika Zibanejad | SOG | 2.5 o-130 / u-105 |
80% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
80% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| J.T. Miller | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
60% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Artemi Panarin | SOG | 2.5 o-165 / u+125 |
20% | 30% | 67%2/3 | 2 U |
| Igor Shesterkin | SV | 25.5 o-110 / u-120 |
51% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 22 U |
| TOR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | G | 0.5 o+110 |
45% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Nicolas Roy | G | 0.5 o+450 |
21% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | G | 0.5 o+175 |
37% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Calle Jarnkrok | G | 0.5 o+600 |
5% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| William Nylander | G | 0.5 o+140 |
42% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Bobby McMann | G | 0.5 o+300 |
23% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | G | 0.5 o+185 |
31% | 20% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | G | 0.5 o+900 |
5% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Chris Tanev | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
4% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | G | 0.5 o+600 |
9% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jake McCabe | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
3% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | G | 0.5 o+425 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Dakota Joshua | G | 0.5 o+600 |
12% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Nick Robertson | G | 0.5 o+375 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Brandon Carlo | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
1% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Simon Benoit | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
1% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Matias Maccelli | G | 0.5 o+375 |
9% | 0% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | G | 0.5 o+275 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| John Tavares | PTS | 0.5 o-155 / u+120 |
68% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
53% | 60% | 100%3/3 | 1 O |
| William Nylander | PTS | 0.5 o-250 / u+185 |
62% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Morgan Rielly | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
39% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Bobby McMann | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
35% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | PTS | 1.5 o+165 / u-230 |
33% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 U |
| Matias Maccelli | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
27% | 20% | 100%2/2 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
50% | — | — | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
32% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
40% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
33% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| William Nylander | A | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
37% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 2 O |
| Auston Matthews | A | 0.5 o+100 / u-130 |
48% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Matias Maccelli | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-275 |
18% | 20% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Bobby McMann | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
18% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
50% | — | — | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
44% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 2 O |
| Bobby McMann | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
66% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | SOG | 3.5 o-145 / u+110 |
54% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Matthew Knies | SOG | 2.5 o+140 / u-190 |
28% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 4 O |
| William Nylander | SOG | 2.5 o-135 / u+105 |
59% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 2 U |
| John Tavares | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-145 |
44% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Anthony Stolarz | SV | 23.5 o-110 / u-125 |
67% | 70% | 100%3/3 | 28 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | at NYR | TOR 4–3 | 2–1 | 2–1 | 0–1 | 7 | 5.5 O | TOR |
| Feb 28, 2025 | at NYR | TOR 3–2 | 1–1 | 1–0 | 1–1 | 5 | 6.5 U | TOR |
| Oct 19, 2024 | at TOR | TOR 1–4 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 1–2 | 5 | 6 U | NYR |
| Mar 2, 2024 | at TOR | TOR 4–3 SO | 0–1 | 2–1 | 1–1 | 7 | — | TOR |
| Dec 19, 2023 | at TOR | TOR 2–5 | 0–0 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 7 | — | NYR |
| Dec 12, 2023 | at NYR | TOR 7–3 | 4–1 | 0–2 | 3–0 | 10 | — | TOR |
| Apr 13, 2023 | at NYR | TOR 3–2 | 0–0 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 5 | — | TOR |
| Jan 25, 2023 | at TOR | TOR 3–2 OT | 1–0 | 0–2 | 1–0 | 5 | — | TOR |
| Dec 15, 2022 | at NYR | TOR 1–3 | 1–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 4 | — | NYR |
| Jan 19, 2022 | at NYR | TOR 3–6 | 3–1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 9 | — | NYR |