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← Stats / BUF @ CAR

BUF @ CAR

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
3 – 6
FINAL
Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +195 · CAR -260
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-115) · CAR -1.5 (-105)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 43%
6-8
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
43%
6-8
CARo6.5 54%
7-6
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
100%
5-0
33%
1-2
54%
7-6
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 64%
9-5
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
-3.91u
6-8
CAR-1.5 39%
5-8
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
+1.35u
7-6
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +195 36%
5-9
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
-2.70u
3-6
CAR fav -260 69%
9-4
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
+2.40u
8-2
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 BUF 14%
2-12
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
43%
6-8
 1.64 0.64 / 1.00
CAR 31%
4-9
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
54%
7-6
 2.08 1.38 / 0.69
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-196/u+150 BUF 21%
3-11
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
43%
6-8
 1.86 1.07 / 0.79
CAR 31%
4-9
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
40%
2-3
0%
0-3
39%
5-8
 1.85 1.00 / 0.85
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 BUF 21%
3-11
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
31%
4-9
 1.93 0.93 / 1.00
CAR 31%
4-9
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
39%
5-8
 2.23 1.08 / 1.15
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFCAR
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-953-22-7
Points %66.5%68.9%
Goals for / game3.513.61
Goals against / game2.942.93
Shots for / game28.132.2
Shots against / game29.123.9
Power play %19.5%24.9%
Penalty kill %81.9%80.5%
Faceoff %45.9%50.3%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.941.18 / 0.78
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.880.98 / 0.98
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.28 / 1.09
Avg game total6.456.54
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
29 saves on 33 shots · 4 GA · L
19 saves on 22 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1020220/1
CAR1230351/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 36% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 29% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 21% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+475
 25% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1300
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+850
 13% 10% — 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Isak Rosen G 0.5
o+375
 0% 10% — 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+550
 17% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+650
 9% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% — 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 50% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 36% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 29% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Isak Rosen PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 13% 30% — 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 43% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 29% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 21% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 29% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 21% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 21% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Isak Rosen A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 13% 20% — 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 57% 70% 0%0/3 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 64% 60% 0%0/3 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 57% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Isak Rosen SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 25% 40% — 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 29% 20% 67%2/3 1 U
Alex Lyon SV 28.5
o-115 / u-115
 70% 70% 0%0/1 29 O
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+125
 31% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+145
 46% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+525
 43% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+180
 23% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+275
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+240
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+325
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+190
 15% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+500
 23% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+650
 15% 20% — 0 U
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+450
 15% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mike Reilly G 0.5
o+800
 10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
William Carrier G 0.5
o+575
 14% 10% — 0 U
K'Andre Miller G 0.5
o+500
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jesperi Kotkaniemi G 0.5
o+475
 9% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+325
 15% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Joel Nystrom G 0.5
o+1100
 0% — — 0 U
Charles Alexis Legault G 0.5
o+1100
 0% — — 1 O
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 46% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 69% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 69% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
K'Andre Miller PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Alexander Nikishin PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 54% 40% — 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 23% 30% 33%1/3 2 O
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Sean Walker PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 23% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 15% 10% 0%0/3 2 O
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 62% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 31% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
K'Andre Miller A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 29% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 39% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 46% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Sean Walker A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Alexander Nikishin A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 39% 20% — 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 8% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Sean Walker SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 62% 70% 33%1/3 1 U
K'Andre Miller SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 86% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 77% 70% 67%2/3 1 U
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-110
 54% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 46% 40% 100%1/1 1 U
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 40% 100%3/3 6 O
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 39% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Logan Stankoven SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 23% 20% 67%2/3 1 U
Pyotr Kochetkov SV 21.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 50% 0%0/2 19 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 8, 2025 at BUF CAR 0–3 0–00–20–1 3 6.5 U BUF
Feb 27, 2025 at CAR CAR 5–2 3–11–01–1 7 6.5 O CAR
Jan 15, 2025 at BUF CAR 2–4 0–10–22–1 6 6 P BUF
Feb 25, 2024 at BUF CAR 2–3 SO 1–00–11–1 5 — BUF
Dec 2, 2023 at CAR CAR 6–2 2–03–01–2 8 — CAR
Nov 7, 2023 at CAR CAR 3–2 OT 1–00–11–1 5 — CAR
Apr 8, 2023 at BUF CAR 3–4 2–11–20–1 7 — BUF
Feb 1, 2023 at BUF CAR 5–1 3–10–02–0 6 — CAR
Nov 4, 2022 at CAR CAR 5–3 2–21–02–1 8 — CAR
Apr 7, 2022 at CAR CAR 5–3 0–22–13–0 8 — CAR