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TBL @ FLA

Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
3 – 1
FINAL
Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +120 · FLA -140
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-210) · FLA -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 50%
8-8
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
4-4
50%
2-2
44%
7-9
FLAo5.5 47%
8-9
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
50%
4-4
50%
2-2
47%
8-9
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 88%
14-2
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
100%
8-0
75%
3-1
-6.66u
6-10
FLA-1.5 24%
4-13
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
38%
3-5
25%
1-3
-7.50u
5-12
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +120 50%
8-8
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
50%
4-4
50%
2-2
-0.95u
2-3
FLA fav -140 53%
9-8
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
75%
6-2
50%
2-2
-3.38u
6-7
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 TBL 94%
15-1
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
100%
8-0
75%
3-1
63%
10-6
 2.19 1.13 / 1.06
FLA 77%
13-4
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
63%
5-3
75%
3-1
29%
5-12
 1.35 0.71 / 0.65
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 TBL 88%
14-2
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
7-1
75%
3-1
31%
5-11
 1.63 0.81 / 0.81
FLA 94%
16-1
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
7-1
75%
3-1
65%
11-6
 1.94 0.94 / 1.00
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 TBL 88%
14-2
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
7-1
100%
4-0
50%
8-8
 2.00 1.00 / 1.00
FLA 94%
16-1
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
100%
8-0
100%
4-0
71%
12-5
 2.47 1.18 / 1.29
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-640-38-4
Points %64.6%51.2%
Goals for / game3.543.06
Goals against / game2.823.37
Shots for / game28.128.0
Shots against / game26.726.8
Power play %20.7%19.5%
Penalty kill %82.6%81.0%
Faceoff %47.3%46.6%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.93 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.840.84 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.20 / 1.30
Avg game total6.356.43
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 23 shots · 1 GA · W
17 saves on 19 shots · 2 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1020200/4
FLA0100231/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 38% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+145
 36% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Jakob Pelletier G 0.5
o+500
 12% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 22% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+475
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+165
 19% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+600
 10% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+275
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% — 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Boris Katchouk G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1100
 11% — — 0 U
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+575
 0% — — 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 69% 70% 100%4/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 44% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 31% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 20% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 36% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 31% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 25% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+180 / u-240
 10% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 60% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 44% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 50% 25%1/4 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 40% 50%2/4 6 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 26.5
o-115 / u-115
 42% 40% 33%1/3 22 U
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+135
 53% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+155
 56% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+325
 18% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Cole Schwindt G 0.5
o+750
 25% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+240
 18% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+800
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+300
 24% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+240
 24% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+225
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+575
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+575
 12% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+300
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% — 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+700
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 88% 90% 100%3/3 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 80% 25%1/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 53% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 65% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 47% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 41% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 41% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 35% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 29% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 18% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 35% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 35% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 41% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 47% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 35% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 29% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 18% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 12% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 12% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 65% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 50% 40% 0%0/3 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 41% 40% 0%0/4 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 47% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 47% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 47% 30% 67%2/3 3 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 41% 30% 33%1/3 1 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 29% 30% 25%1/4 2 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 35% 30% 67%2/3 1 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 21.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 60% 100%2/2 17 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 30, 2025 at TBL FLA 6–3 2–22–12–0 9 5.5 O FLA
Apr 28, 2025 at FLA FLA 4–2 0–01–23–0 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 26, 2025 at FLA FLA 1–5 1–10–10–3 6 5.5 O TBL
Apr 24, 2025 at TBL FLA 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U FLA
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL FLA 6–2 2–13–11–0 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL FLA 1–5 0–31–10–1 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA FLA 2–1 0–02–00–1 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA FLA 0–4 0–30–00–1 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL FLA 4–2 1–12–01–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA FLA 6–1 0–02–14–0 7 — FLA