MTL @ TOR
Saturday, December 6, 2025 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +120 · TOR -140
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-210) · TOR -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)
Graded: total 3 → OVER L · TOR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | MTL | o6.5 | 65% 17-9 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 67% 8-4 | 50% 3-3 | 69% 18-8 |
| TOR | o6.5 | 67% 18-9 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 73% 11-4 | 50% 3-3 | 70% 19-8 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 77% 20-6 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 83% 10-2 | 50% 3-3 | -7.27u 11-15 |
| TOR | -1.5 | 26% 7-20 | 60% 3-2 | 30% 3-7 | 20% 3-12 | 50% 3-3 | -5.07u 11-16 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +120 | 54% 14-12 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 58% 7-5 | 33% 2-4 | +0.15u 6-7 |
| TOR fav | -140 | 48% 13-14 | 80% 4-1 | 50% 5-5 | 53% 8-7 | 67% 4-2 | -2.89u 8-8 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-160/u+126 | MTL | 58% 15-11 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 58% 7-5 | 50% 3-3 | 58% 15-11 | 1.69 | 0.96 / 0.73 |
| TOR | 70% 19-8 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 60% 9-6 | 50% 3-3 | 70% 19-8 | 2.04 | 1.07 / 0.96 | ||
| 2nd Period over 2.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 2.5 o+156/u-200 | MTL | 58% 15-11 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 42% 5-7 | 33% 2-4 | 65% 17-9 | 2.54 | 1.04 / 1.50 |
| TOR | 44% 12-15 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 53% 8-7 | 33% 2-4 | 67% 18-9 | 2.26 | 1.00 / 1.26 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+136/u-174 | MTL | 50% 13-13 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 58% 7-5 | 33% 2-4 | 64% 16-9 | 2.38 | 1.12 / 1.27 |
| TOR | 41% 11-16 | 40% 2-3 | 20% 2-8 | 40% 6-9 | 33% 2-4 | 41% 11-16 | 2.30 | 1.26 / 1.04 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 48-24-10 | 32-36-14 |
| Points % | 64.6% | 47.6% |
| Goals for / game | 3.45 | 3.09 |
| Goals against / game | 3.12 | 3.65 |
| Shots for / game | 26.3 | 26.3 |
| Shots against / game | 27.8 | 32.4 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 21.3% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.2% | 81.2% |
| Faceoff % | 50.9% | 54.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.91 / 0.85 | 0.84 / 0.99 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 1.11 | 0.95 / 1.23 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.17 / 1.04 | 1.18 / 1.26 |
| Avg game total | 6.57 | 6.73 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
22 saves on 23 shots · 1 GA · W
TOR · Dennis Hildeby
33 saves on 34 shots · 1 GA · OTL
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1/4 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+210 |
27% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+600 |
15% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+210 |
35% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+550 |
15% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+600 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+160 |
35% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+400 |
23% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+300 |
31% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+275 |
23% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+450 |
4% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+800 |
15% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+650 |
5% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
8% | 10% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+500 |
0% | 0% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Jayden Struble | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jared Davidson | G | 0.5 o+750 |
0% | — | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-195 / u+145 |
73% | 90% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+175 |
81% | 80% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
65% | 60% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
58% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
50% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
46% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
50% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
46% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
54% | 80% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
62% | 70% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
39% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
54% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
46% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
42% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
23% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
19% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
50% | 80% | 33%2/6 | 1 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-130 |
50% | 70% | 50%3/6 | 3 O |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 1.5 o-200 / u+145 |
69% | 70% | 50%3/6 | 3 O |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-155 / u+120 |
54% | 60% | 83%5/6 | 4 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+140 |
58% | 60% | 50%3/6 | 4 O |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-110 |
54% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 4 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
42% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
27% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 2 O |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 23.5 o-120 / u-110 |
69% | 70% | 100%2/2 | 22 U |
| TOR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | G | 0.5 o+115 |
46% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | G | 0.5 o+145 |
41% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Scott Laughton | G | 0.5 o+575 |
22% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| William Nylander | G | 0.5 o+150 |
39% | 30% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Bobby McMann | G | 0.5 o+300 |
26% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | G | 0.5 o+650 |
15% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | G | 0.5 o+600 |
15% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Dakota Joshua | G | 0.5 o+600 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Nick Robertson | G | 0.5 o+425 |
23% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | G | 0.5 o+190 |
25% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | G | 0.5 o+275 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Jake McCabe | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Nicolas Roy | G | 0.5 o+375 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Steven Lorentz | G | 0.5 o+700 |
10% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Troy Stecher | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | G | 0.5 o+350 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Philippe Myers | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Simon Benoit | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
59% | 80% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| William Nylander | PTS | 0.5 o-250 / u+180 |
83% | 70% | 83%5/6 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | PTS | 0.5 o-225 / u+165 |
68% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | PTS | 0.5 o-200 / u+150 |
67% | 60% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
62% | 60% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | PTS | 0.5 o-190 / u+140 |
71% | 60% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
31% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Bobby McMann | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
41% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
42% | 40% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
52% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| William Nylander | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
70% | 60% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
36% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
63% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
48% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | A | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
50% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
23% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Bobby McMann | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
19% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
26% | 20% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | SOG | 2.5 o-180 / u+135 |
67% | 90% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | SOG | 1.5 o-195 / u+145 |
67% | 80% | 40%2/5 | 1 U |
| Morgan Rielly | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
50% | 70% | 67%4/6 | 2 O |
| Bobby McMann | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+105 |
44% | 70% | 60%3/5 | 1 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
41% | 60% | 80%4/5 | 2 O |
| Auston Matthews | SOG | 3.5 o-120 / u-110 |
64% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 1 U |
| Easton Cowan | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
47% | 50% | 0%0/1 | 1 U |
| William Nylander | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-145 |
30% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 4 O |
| Max Domi | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
39% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 4 O |
| Dennis Hildeby | SV | 22.5 o-125 / u-105 |
50% | — | — | 33 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | at MTL | TOR 2–5 | 0–2 | 1–2 | 1–1 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Oct 8, 2025 | at TOR | TOR 5–2 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 3–0 | 7 | 5.5 O | TOR |
| Apr 12, 2025 | at TOR | TOR 1–0 OT | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 5.5 U | TOR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | at MTL | TOR 7–3 | 0–3 | 2–0 | 5–0 | 10 | 6 O | TOR |
| Nov 9, 2024 | at TOR | TOR 4–1 | 1–0 | 3–1 | 0–0 | 5 | 6 U | TOR |
| Oct 9, 2024 | at MTL | TOR 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Apr 6, 2024 | at MTL | TOR 4–2 | 0–0 | 4–2 | 0–0 | 6 | — | TOR |
| Mar 9, 2024 | at MTL | TOR 3–2 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 1–1 | 5 | — | TOR |
| Oct 11, 2023 | at TOR | TOR 6–5 SO | 0–1 | 3–1 | 2–3 | 11 | — | TOR |
| Apr 8, 2023 | at TOR | TOR 7–1 | 2–0 | 2–1 | 3–0 | 8 | — | TOR |