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PIT @ TOR

Tuesday, December 23, 2025 · 3:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
41-25-16 · Away
3 – 6
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +115 · TOR -135
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-210) · TOR -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 PITo6.5 49%
17-18
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
35%
6-11
80%
4-1
51%
18-17
TORo6.5 57%
20-15
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
60%
12-8
80%
4-1
60%
21-14
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 77%
27-8
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
82%
14-3
60%
3-2
+0.47u
21-14
TOR-1.5 23%
8-27
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
20%
4-16
40%
2-3
-11.63u
12-23
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +115 43%
15-20
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
47%
8-9
20%
1-4
+1.12u
11-13
TOR fav -135 43%
15-20
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
50%
10-10
80%
4-1
-4.43u
9-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-144/u+112 PIT 57%
20-15
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
41%
7-10
80%
4-1
57%
20-15
 1.77 0.91 / 0.86
TOR 63%
22-13
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
55%
11-9
80%
4-1
63%
22-13
 1.86 0.94 / 0.91
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 PIT 60%
21-14
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
53%
9-8
60%
3-2
51%
18-17
 1.94 0.94 / 1.00
TOR 69%
24-11
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
70%
14-6
60%
3-2
60%
21-14
 2.00 0.86 / 1.14
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 PIT 66%
23-12
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
59%
10-7
80%
4-1
43%
15-20
 2.26 1.14 / 1.11
TOR 69%
24-11
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
50%
10-10
80%
4-1
46%
16-19
 2.37 1.20 / 1.17
Team Comparison '25-26
PITTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)41-25-1632-36-14
Points %59.8%47.6%
Goals for / game3.573.09
Goals against / game3.273.65
Shots for / game28.626.3
Shots against / game27.432.4
Power play %24.1%21.3%
Penalty kill %81.4%81.2%
Faceoff %48.2%54.3%
1st period GF / GA1.13 / 0.830.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.090.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.161.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.846.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 29 shots · 4 GA · L
29 saves on 32 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT1110320/1
TOR2130310/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+185
 33% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+375
 17% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+170
 46% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+500
 9% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+180
 27% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Anthony Mantha G 0.5
o+275
 29% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+800
 9% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ben Kindel G 0.5
o+275
 22% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+450
 15% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Justin Brazeau G 0.5
o+400
 29% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+650
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Ville Koivunen G 0.5
o+550
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Rutger McGroarty G 0.5
o+475
 9% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Brett Kulak G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1600
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack St. Ivany G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+145
 66% 60% 100%5/5 1 O
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 40% 60% 60%3/5 1 O
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 58% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Tommy Novak PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 40% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Mantha PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Ben Kindel PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 31% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 43% 60% 100%5/5 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 37% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 53% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 42% 30% 80%4/5 0 U
Anthony Mantha A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 29% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Tommy Novak A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Ben Kindel A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 13% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Mantha SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 49% 60% 50%1/2 3 O
Ben Kindel SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 59% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 37% 50% 40%2/5 6 O
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 50% 40%2/5 3 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 40% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Tommy Novak SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 37% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 30% 80%4/5 2 U
Stuart Skinner SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 36% 40% 50%1/2 25 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+500
 24% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+650
 18% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+120
 43% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 24% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+175
 34% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+650
 17% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+575
 15% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+350
 9% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 11% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+325
 18% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+220
 19% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+375
 6% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
William Nylander G 0.5
o+175
 29% 0% 80%4/5 2 O
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 DNP
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+375
 17% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 60% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 56% 40% 80%4/5 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 27% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 35% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Nicolas Roy PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 25% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 51% 20% 60%3/5 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 68% 20% 100%5/5 4 O
Nick Robertson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 56% 20% 80%4/5 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 21% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 44% 30% 80%4/5 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 18% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 58% 20% 60%3/5 2 O
Nicolas Roy A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 22% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 30% 20% 80%4/5 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 20% 60%3/5 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Nick Robertson A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 21% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 40% 0% 60%3/5 1 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 59% 90% 20%1/5 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-125
 57% 50% 100%5/5 3 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 41% 40% 50%2/4 4 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 54% 30% 75%3/4 2 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 32% 30% 60%3/5 3 O
Joseph Woll SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 60% 60% 50%1/2 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 29, 2025 at PIT TOR 7–2 2–13–02–1 9 6.5 O TOR
Nov 3, 2025 at TOR TOR 4–3 0–20–14–0 7 6.5 O TOR
Mar 2, 2025 at PIT TOR 6–5 OT 2–33–10–1 11 6.5 O TOR
Dec 7, 2024 at PIT TOR 2–5 1–21–00–3 7 6 O PIT
Oct 12, 2024 at TOR TOR 4–2 0–12–02–1 6 6.5 U TOR
Apr 8, 2024 at TOR TOR 3–2 OT 0–11–01–1 5 — TOR
Dec 16, 2023 at TOR TOR 7–0 3–03–01–0 7 — TOR
Nov 25, 2023 at PIT TOR 2–3 2–10–20–0 5 — PIT
Nov 26, 2022 at PIT TOR 4–1 1–02–01–1 5 — TOR
Nov 15, 2022 at PIT TOR 5–2 2–02–21–0 7 — TOR