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← Stats / BUF @ CAR

BUF @ CAR

Monday, January 19, 2026 · 12:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
1 – 2
FINAL
Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +160 · CAR -190
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-145) · CAR -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · CAR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 49%
23-24
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
46%
10-12
40%
2-3
51%
24-23
CARo6.5 51%
25-24
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
62%
16-10
40%
2-3
53%
26-23
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 68%
32-15
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
55%
12-10
60%
3-2
+3.50u
25-22
CAR-1.5 35%
17-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
39%
10-16
40%
2-3
-6.95u
19-30
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +160 55%
26-21
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
46%
10-12
60%
3-2
+2.80u
12-13
CAR fav -190 61%
30-19
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
65%
17-9
40%
2-3
+0.86u
29-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 BUF 26%
12-35
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
23%
5-17
20%
1-4
57%
27-20
 1.98 0.91 / 1.06
CAR 31%
15-34
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
39%
10-16
20%
1-4
53%
26-23
 1.92 1.04 / 0.88
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 BUF 30%
14-33
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
23%
5-17
0%
0-5
55%
26-21
 2.13 1.28 / 0.85
CAR 25%
12-37
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
27%
7-19
0%
0-5
51%
25-24
 1.78 0.96 / 0.82
3rd Period
over 2.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 34%
16-31
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
32%
7-15
40%
2-3
41%
19-27
 2.15 1.02 / 1.13
CAR 45%
22-27
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
58%
15-11
40%
2-3
51%
25-24
 2.47 1.31 / 1.16
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFCAR
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-953-22-7
Points %66.5%68.9%
Goals for / game3.513.61
Goals against / game2.942.93
Shots for / game28.132.2
Shots against / game29.123.9
Power play %19.5%24.9%
Penalty kill %81.9%80.5%
Faceoff %45.9%50.3%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.941.18 / 0.78
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.880.98 / 0.98
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.28 / 1.09
Avg game total6.456.54
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 29 shots · 2 GA · L
17 saves on 18 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1000180/1
CAR1010291/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 37% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+275
 26% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 45% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 21% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+260
 32% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 19% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
 16% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+650
 9% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 19% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+375
 15% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
 12% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+400
 17% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2250
 6% 10% — 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+400
 — — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 65% 90% 100%5/5 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 66% 80% 80%4/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 51% 70% 100%5/5 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 57% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 43% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 47% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 30% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 43% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 38% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 36% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 39% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 30% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 24% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 32% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 66% 80% 20%1/5 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 78% 70% 80%4/5 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+120
 68% 70% 20%1/5 6 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 54% 50% 0%0/4 3 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 60% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 27.5
o-110 / u-120
 41% 50% 67%2/3 27 U
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+175
 25% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+170
 27% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+275
 20% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+250
 20% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+550
 11% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+140
 42% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+260
 27% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+135
 29% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+450
 13% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+525
 23% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
K'Andre Miller G 0.5
o+650
 5% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+425
 17% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Jaccob Slavin G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+700
 8% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Joel Nystrom G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 66% 70% 40%2/5 1 O
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 55% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
K'Andre Miller PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 37% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 41% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 29% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 45% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 47% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 60% 20%1/5 2 O
K'Andre Miller A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 37% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 32% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 31% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 27% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 59% 60% 60%3/5 6 O
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 60% 60%3/5 2 O
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 37% 50% 33%1/3 2 U
Sean Walker SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-200
 47% 50% 20%1/5 1 U
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 50% 40%2/5 1 U
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 41% 40% 80%4/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 69% 40% 80%4/5 1 U
Brandon Bussi SV 19.5
o-125 / u-105
 52% 50% — 17 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 23, 2025 at BUF CAR 1–4 1–10–20–1 5 6.5 U BUF
Nov 8, 2025 at CAR CAR 6–3 1–12–03–2 9 6.5 O CAR
Apr 8, 2025 at BUF CAR 0–3 0–00–20–1 3 6.5 U BUF
Feb 27, 2025 at CAR CAR 5–2 3–11–01–1 7 6.5 O CAR
Jan 15, 2025 at BUF CAR 2–4 0–10–22–1 6 6 P BUF
Feb 25, 2024 at BUF CAR 2–3 SO 1–00–11–1 5 — BUF
Dec 2, 2023 at CAR CAR 6–2 2–03–01–2 8 — CAR
Nov 7, 2023 at CAR CAR 3–2 OT 1–00–11–1 5 — CAR
Apr 8, 2023 at BUF CAR 3–4 2–11–20–1 7 — BUF
Feb 1, 2023 at BUF CAR 5–1 3–10–02–0 6 — CAR