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FLA @ TBL

Thursday, February 5, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Away
1 – 6
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +165 · TBL -200
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-145) · TBL -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 59%
33-23
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
64%
16-9
57%
4-3
58%
32-23
TBLo5.5 54%
29-25
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
54%
14-12
57%
4-3
50%
27-27
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 63%
35-21
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
60%
15-10
43%
3-4
-18.51u
20-35
TBL-1.5 44%
24-30
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
35%
9-17
57%
4-3
+2.29u
27-27
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog +165 52%
29-27
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
56%
14-11
43%
3-4
+10.93u
14-4
TBL fav -200 67%
36-18
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
65%
17-9
57%
4-3
+1.96u
28-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-112/u-112 FLA 84%
47-9
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
84%
21-4
86%
6-1
45%
25-31
 1.77 0.82 / 0.95
TBL 89%
48-6
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
85%
22-4
86%
6-1
56%
30-24
 2.02 1.13 / 0.89
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 FLA 88%
49-7
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
100%
25-0
86%
6-1
61%
34-22
 2.00 1.02 / 0.98
TBL 85%
46-8
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
81%
21-5
86%
6-1
48%
26-28
 1.87 1.11 / 0.76
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+156/u-200 FLA 95%
53-3
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
96%
24-1
100%
7-0
61%
34-22
 2.46 1.14 / 1.32
TBL 91%
49-5
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
92%
24-2
100%
7-0
43%
23-31
 2.02 1.17 / 0.85
Team Comparison '25-26
FLATBL
Record (W-L-OTL)40-38-450-26-6
Points %51.2%64.6%
Goals for / game3.063.54
Goals against / game3.372.82
Shots for / game28.028.1
Shots against / game26.826.7
Power play %19.5%20.7%
Penalty kill %81.0%82.6%
Faceoff %46.6%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.93 / 0.900.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA0.84 / 1.111.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.301.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.436.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 25 shots · 5 GA · L
33 saves on 34 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA0010341/6
TBL2220281/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+230
 27% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+155
 43% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+190
 30% 30% 0%0/7 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+170
 22% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+425
 15% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+260
 30% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+600
 11% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+550
 16% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Sandis Vilmanis G 0.5
o+650
 15% 20% — 0 U
Cole Schwindt G 0.5
o+1000
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+450
 9% 10% 0%0/7 1 O
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 51% 50% 29%2/7 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 50% 14%1/7 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 44% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 57% 50% 50%3/6 1 O
Uvis Balinskis PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 23% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 30% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 34% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 38% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 32% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 30% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Uvis Balinskis A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 15% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 70% 14%1/7 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 60% 29%2/7 2 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 60% 50%1/2 3 O
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 62% 60% 33%2/6 2 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 59% 40% 43%3/7 7 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o+145 / u-195
 29% 10% 33%2/6 4 O
Daniil Tarasov SV 22.5
o-110 / u-120
 59% 60% — 20 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+100
 48% 60% 43%3/7 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+300
 29% 50% 14%1/7 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+115
 37% 40% 43%3/7 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 15% 30% 0%0/5 1 O
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+110
 41% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Dominic James G 0.5
o+450
 13% 20% — 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 19% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+425
 11% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+450
 17% 10% 17%1/6 1 O
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+700
 10% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+800
 10% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+500
 11% 0% 14%1/7 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 62% 70% 29%2/7 1 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 58% 70% 57%4/7 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 35% 50% 0%0/7 1 U
J.J. Moser PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 35% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 50% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 37% 40% 20%1/5 2 O
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 30% 80%4/5 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 30% 20%1/5 1 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 48% 60% 29%2/7 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 43% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 1.5
o+125 / u-170
 36% 50% 0%0/7 1 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 46% 50% 43%3/7 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 50% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
J.J. Moser A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 25% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 24% 30% 80%4/5 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 24% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 52% 80% 29%2/7 2 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 63% 70% 60%3/5 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 54% 60% 86%6/7 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 60% 29%2/7 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 50% 20%1/5 3 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 45% 30% 75%3/4 5 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 30% 40%2/5 33 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 27, 2025 at FLA TBL 4–2 2–11–11–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Dec 15, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–5 0–21–21–1 7 5.5 O FLA
Nov 15, 2025 at FLA TBL 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 5.5 U TBL
Apr 30, 2025 at TBL TBL 3–6 2–21–20–2 9 5.5 O FLA
Apr 28, 2025 at FLA TBL 2–4 0–02–10–3 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 26, 2025 at FLA TBL 5–1 1–11–03–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Apr 24, 2025 at TBL TBL 0–2 0–10–00–1 2 5.5 U FLA
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–6 1–21–30–1 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–1 3–01–11–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA TBL 1–2 0–00–21–0 3 5.5 U FLA