PIT @ CAR
Tuesday, March 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +170 · CAR -220
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-145) · CAR -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)
Graded: total 9 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | PIT | o6.5 | 49% 31-32 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 43% 13-17 | 25% 1-3 | 52% 32-30 |
| CAR | o6.5 | 54% 34-29 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 64% 21-12 | 25% 1-3 | 56% 35-28 | |
| Puck Line cover % | PIT | +1.5 | 84% 53-10 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 87% 26-4 | 50% 2-2 | +1.54u 36-26 |
| CAR | -1.5 | 35% 22-41 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 33% 11-22 | 50% 2-2 | -9.51u 24-39 | |
| Moneyline win % | PIT dog | +170 | 51% 32-31 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 53% 16-14 | 25% 1-3 | +5.28u 18-17 |
| CAR fav | -220 | 64% 40-23 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 70% 23-10 | 75% 3-1 | +2.59u 39-19 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 | PIT | 30% 19-44 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 30% 9-21 | 25% 1-3 | 59% 37-26 | 1.87 | 1.10 / 0.78 |
| CAR | 30% 19-44 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 33% 11-22 | 25% 1-3 | 56% 35-28 | 1.94 | 1.13 / 0.81 | ||
| 2nd Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 | PIT | 35% 22-41 | 80% 4-1 | 40% 4-6 | 23% 7-23 | 50% 2-2 | 56% 35-28 | 2.00 | 1.06 / 0.94 |
| CAR | 32% 20-43 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 33% 11-22 | 50% 2-2 | 56% 35-28 | 1.90 | 0.97 / 0.94 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 |
FD 2.5 o+136/u-174 | PIT | 33% 21-42 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 27% 8-22 | 0% 0-4 | 38% 24-39 | 2.19 | 1.14 / 1.05 |
| CAR | 41% 26-37 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 52% 17-16 | 0% 0-4 | 47% 29-33 | 2.37 | 1.30 / 1.06 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| PIT | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 41-25-16 | 53-22-7 |
| Points % | 59.8% | 68.9% |
| Goals for / game | 3.57 | 3.61 |
| Goals against / game | 3.27 | 2.93 |
| Shots for / game | 28.6 | 32.2 |
| Shots against / game | 27.4 | 23.9 |
| Power play % | 24.1% | 24.9% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.4% | 80.5% |
| Faceoff % | 48.2% | 50.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.13 / 0.83 | 1.18 / 0.78 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.18 / 1.09 | 0.98 / 0.98 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.17 / 1.16 | 1.28 / 1.09 |
| Avg game total | 6.84 | 6.54 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
PIT · Stuart Skinner
40 saves on 44 shots · 4 GA · OTL
CAR · Frederik Andersen
24 saves on 28 shots · 4 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 1/5 |
| CAR | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 1/5 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| PIT | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Novak | G | 0.5 o+325 |
22% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Egor Chinakhov | G | 0.5 o+225 |
26% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Bryan Rust | G | 0.5 o+210 |
34% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Rickard Rakell | G | 0.5 o+210 |
29% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Anthony Mantha | G | 0.5 o+275 |
30% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Erik Karlsson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
10% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Ben Kindel | G | 0.5 o+375 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Connor Clifton | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Noel Acciari | G | 0.5 o+650 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Ryan Shea | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Connor Dewar | G | 0.5 o+500 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Blake Lizotte | G | 0.5 o+600 |
14% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Ilya Solovyov | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
5% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Ville Koivunen | G | 0.5 o+475 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Kris Letang | G | 0.5 o+900 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Parker Wotherspoon | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Avery Hayes | G | 0.5 o+650 |
13% | — | — | 0 U |
| Tommy Novak | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
46% | 70% | 100%2/2 | 0 U |
| Egor Chinakhov | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
37% | 70% | 0%0/2 | 2 O |
| Erik Karlsson | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
52% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Bryan Rust | PTS | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
59% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 3 O |
| Anthony Mantha | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
54% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Rickard Rakell | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
52% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Ben Kindel | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
35% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Kris Letang | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
42% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Erik Karlsson | A | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
45% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Bryan Rust | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
38% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Rickard Rakell | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
36% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Anthony Mantha | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
32% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Tommy Novak | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
30% | 30% | 100%2/2 | 0 U |
| Egor Chinakhov | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
15% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 2 O |
| Kris Letang | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
39% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Ben Kindel | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Egor Chinakhov | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-170 |
33% | 80% | 50%1/2 | 4 O |
| Ben Kindel | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-125 |
58% | 70% | 0%0/1 | 1 U |
| Erik Karlsson | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-185 |
38% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 2 U |
| Anthony Mantha | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-130 |
54% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 3 O |
| Kris Letang | SOG | 1.5 o+120 / u-155 |
51% | 40% | 75%3/4 | 1 U |
| Rickard Rakell | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
52% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Tommy Novak | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-130 |
41% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 5 O |
| Bryan Rust | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-150 |
41% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Stuart Skinner | SV | 27.5 o-105 / u-125 |
18% | 20% | 67%2/3 | 40 O |
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+170 |
32% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+350 |
23% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | G | 0.5 o+195 |
25% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+175 |
30% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Seth Jarvis | G | 0.5 o+135 |
40% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | G | 0.5 o+750 |
10% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+575 |
22% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Alexander Nikishin | G | 0.5 o+700 |
13% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+275 |
25% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Mark Jankowski | G | 0.5 o+650 |
10% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+475 |
13% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | G | 0.5 o+300 |
18% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Mike Reilly | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | G | 0.5 o+800 |
0% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| William Carrier | G | 0.5 o+650 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
2% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | G | 0.5 o+700 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-230 / u+165 |
64% | 80% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Seth Jarvis | PTS | 0.5 o-250 / u+180 |
67% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Jordan Staal | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
42% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | PTS | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
56% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+135 |
49% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-165 |
43% | 50% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
38% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-150 |
49% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Logan Stankoven | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
33% | 20% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Seth Jarvis | A | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
38% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
32% | 50% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
36% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
35% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
46% | 40% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
30% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
38% | 30% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Jordan Staal | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
18% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
24% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
52% | 90% | 67%2/3 | 1 U |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
57% | 80% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-145 |
40% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 4 O |
| Logan Stankoven | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
68% | 60% | 100%2/2 | 2 O |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
43% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 5 O |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
54% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 6 O |
| Jordan Staal | SOG | 1.5 o+115 / u-155 |
42% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | SOG | 1.5 o-150 / u+115 |
67% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 U |
| K'Andre Miller | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-130 |
49% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 2 O |
| Seth Jarvis | SOG | 2.5 o-135 / u+100 |
55% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 9 O |
| Alexander Nikishin | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
48% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 2 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o-105 / u-130 |
44% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Frederik Andersen | SV | 21.5 o-110 / u-120 |
40% | 50% | 100%2/2 | 24 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | at PIT | CAR 1–5 | 0–3 | 1–2 | 0–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | PIT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 4–3 OT | 0–2 | 3–0 | 0–1 | 7 | 6 O | CAR |
| Nov 7, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 5–1 | 2–0 | 2–0 | 1–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | CAR |
| Oct 18, 2024 | at PIT | CAR 4–1 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 5 | 6.5 U | CAR |
| Mar 26, 2024 | at PIT | CAR 1–4 | 0–0 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 5 | — | PIT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 3–2 OT | 2–0 | 0–0 | 0–2 | 5 | — | CAR |
| Dec 21, 2023 | at PIT | CAR 1–2 SO | 0–1 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 3 | — | PIT |
| Nov 18, 2023 | at CAR | CAR 4–2 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 3–1 | 6 | — | CAR |
| Jan 14, 2023 | at CAR | CAR 2–1 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 3 | — | CAR |
| Dec 22, 2022 | at PIT | CAR 4–3 OT | 2–1 | 0–1 | 1–1 | 7 | — | CAR |