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NYI @ TOR

Tuesday, March 17, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Islanders
43-34-5 · Away
3 – 1
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYI -150 · TOR +130
Puck Line
NYI -1.5 (+140) · TOR +1.5 (-185)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · TOR +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 NYIo6.5 43%
29-38
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
36%
13-23
50%
2-2
48%
31-34
TORo6.5 56%
38-30
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
60%
21-14
50%
2-2
60%
40-27
Puck Line
cover %
 NYI-1.5 19%
13-54
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
17%
6-30
25%
1-3
-10.46u
33-32
TOR+1.5 65%
44-24
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
74%
26-9
75%
3-1
-17.18u
27-40
Moneyline
win %
 NYI fav -150 57%
38-29
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
20-16
50%
2-2
-4.38u
11-12
TOR dog +130 43%
29-39
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
49%
17-18
50%
2-2
-7.03u
14-25
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-118/u-108 NYI 49%
33-34
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
36%
13-23
25%
1-3
49%
33-34
 1.61 0.81 / 0.81
TOR 63%
43-25
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
69%
24-11
25%
1-3
63%
43-25
 1.85 0.87 / 0.99
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-158/u+124 NYI 63%
42-25
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
69%
25-11
75%
3-1
61%
41-26
 2.07 1.03 / 1.04
TOR 69%
47-21
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
66%
23-12
75%
3-1
62%
42-26
 2.10 0.97 / 1.13
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 NYI 27%
18-49
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
19%
7-29
50%
2-2
39%
26-41
 1.82 0.90 / 0.93
TOR 46%
31-37
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
14-21
50%
2-2
50%
34-34
 2.41 1.21 / 1.21
Team Comparison '25-26
NYITOR
Record (W-L-OTL)43-34-532-36-14
Points %55.5%47.6%
Goals for / game2.843.09
Goals against / game2.943.65
Shots for / game28.226.3
Shots against / game27.732.4
Power play %16.5%21.3%
Penalty kill %80.8%81.2%
Faceoff %52.7%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.78 / 0.820.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.04 / 1.060.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA0.85 / 1.001.18 / 1.26
Avg game total5.786.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 27 shots · 1 GA · W
31 saves on 34 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYI2100342/6
TOR0100270/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+140
 42% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+260
 19% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+450
 24% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+700
 11% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Mathew Barzal G 0.5
o+195
 27% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+325
 24% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+350
 24% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Carson Soucy G 0.5
o+1600
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+650
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Calum Ritchie G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Brayden Schenn G 0.5
o+300
 15% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Ondrej Palat G 0.5
o+650
 6% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+425
 16% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+900
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 60% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Mathew Barzal PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 67% 70% 100%4/4 3 O
Tony DeAngelo PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 55% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Brayden Schenn PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 35% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 40% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Simon Holmstrom PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 39% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Calum Ritchie PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 34% 30% 0%0/1 2 O
Emil Heineman PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Mathew Barzal A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 60% 75%3/4 3 O
Tony DeAngelo A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 33% 50% 100%1/1 1 O
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 39% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Brayden Schenn A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 23% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 28% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Calum Ritchie A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 22% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Simon Holmstrom A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 25% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 25% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Emil Heineman A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 12% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Bo Horvat SOG 3.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 60% 67%2/3 3 U
Mathew Barzal SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 35% 60% 50%2/4 1 U
Emil Heineman SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 55% 60% 67%2/3 6 O
Matthew Schaefer SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 45% 60% 0%0/1 3 O
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 50% 25%1/4 2 U
Adam Pelech SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 42% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Tony DeAngelo SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 57% 40% 100%1/1 3 O
Ilya Sorokin SV 23.5
o-120 / u-110
 63% 60% 67%2/3 26 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+130
 39% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+225
 23% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+200
 25% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+155
 31% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+550
 14% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+575
 18% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 14% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+325
 20% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+325
 15% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+750
 12% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+700
 14% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jacob Quillan G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% — 0 U
Bo Groulx G 0.5
o+450
 50% — — 0 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 60% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 55% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Robertson PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 39% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 42% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 35% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 41% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 28% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 45% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 35% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Nick Robertson A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 22% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 23% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 29% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 26% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 44% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 39% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 49% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 40% 0%0/4 3 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 39% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Joseph Woll SV 27.5
o-105 / u-125
 58% 70% 75%3/4 31 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 3, 2026 at NYI TOR 3–4 OT 0–02–11–2 7 5.5 O NYI
Jan 2, 2025 at NYI TOR 2–1 0–01–11–0 3 5.5 U TOR
Dec 31, 2024 at TOR TOR 3–1 1–01–11–0 4 6 U TOR
Dec 21, 2024 at TOR TOR 3–6 1–31–01–3 9 5.5 O NYI
Feb 5, 2024 at TOR TOR 2–3 0–11–11–1 5 — NYI
Jan 11, 2024 at NYI TOR 3–4 OT 1–12–20–0 7 — NYI
Dec 11, 2023 at NYI TOR 3–4 OT 1–21–11–0 7 — NYI
Mar 21, 2023 at NYI TOR 2–7 1–00–31–4 9 — NYI
Jan 23, 2023 at TOR TOR 5–2 0–14–11–0 7 — TOR
Nov 21, 2022 at TOR TOR 2–3 OT 0–12–00–1 5 — NYI