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← Stats / DET @ BUF

DET @ BUF

Friday, March 27, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Detroit Red Wings
41-31-10 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
DET +120 · BUF -140
Puck Line
DET +1.5 (-210) · BUF -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 DETo6.5 41%
29-42
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
43%
15-20
67%
4-2
47%
33-37
BUFo6.5 46%
33-39
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
49%
17-18
67%
4-2
47%
33-38
Puck Line
cover %
 DET+1.5 70%
50-21
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
74%
26-9
67%
4-2
-8.95u
35-35
BUF-1.5 43%
31-41
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
46%
16-19
33%
2-4
+9.12u
41-30
Moneyline
win %
 DET dog +120 54%
38-33
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
51%
18-17
50%
3-3
+4.89u
20-18
BUF fav -140 61%
44-28
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
63%
22-13
50%
3-3
+2.57u
22-13
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+102 DET 75%
53-18
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
71%
25-10
83%
5-1
41%
29-42
 1.31 0.56 / 0.75
BUF 92%
66-6
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
91%
32-3
83%
5-1
57%
41-31
 1.94 1.03 / 0.92
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-190/u+146 DET 89%
63-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
89%
31-4
100%
6-0
61%
43-28
 2.11 1.18 / 0.93
BUF 90%
65-7
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
94%
33-2
100%
6-0
53%
38-34
 2.10 1.22 / 0.88
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-166 DET 93%
66-5
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
91%
32-3
83%
5-1
48%
34-37
 2.20 1.01 / 1.18
BUF 88%
63-9
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
83%
29-6
83%
5-1
43%
30-40
 2.21 1.18 / 1.03
Team Comparison '25-26
DETBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)41-31-1050-23-9
Points %56.1%66.5%
Goals for / game2.943.51
Goals against / game3.152.94
Shots for / game28.228.1
Shots against / game27.729.1
Power play %22.6%19.5%
Penalty kill %77.1%81.9%
Faceoff %51.2%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.60 / 0.771.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.12 / 1.041.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.09 / 1.221.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.096.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
DET · John Gibson
28 saves on 30 shots · 2 GA · W
BUF · Alex Lyon
15 saves on 19 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
DET3020202/6
BUF0110300/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
DETPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex DeBrincat G 0.5
o+140
 41% 40% 67%4/6 1 O
Dylan Larkin G 0.5
o+175
 39% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Dominik Shine G 0.5
o+1000
 25% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
David Perron G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Patrick Kane G 0.5
o+240
 18% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
J.T. Compher G 0.5
o+375
 13% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Moritz Seider G 0.5
o+425
 13% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Lucas Raymond G 0.5
o+220
 29% 20% 33%2/6 1 O
Simon Edvinsson G 0.5
o+900
 13% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Emmitt Finnie G 0.5
o+425
 16% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
James van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+500
 24% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Justin Faulk G 0.5
o+750
 16% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Andrew Copp G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Marco Kasper G 0.5
o+425
 9% 10% 17%1/6 1 O
Ben Chiarot G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Mason Appleton G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Albert Johansson G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex DeBrincat PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 63% 90% 83%5/6 3 O
Patrick Kane PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 70% 60%3/5 2 O
Dylan Larkin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 66% 70% 83%5/6 1 O
Moritz Seider PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 70% 67%4/6 2 O
Andrew Copp PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Lucas Raymond PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 67% 50% 100%6/6 1 O
Justin Faulk PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 39% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Alex DeBrincat A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 70% 33%2/6 2 O
Moritz Seider A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 60% 50%3/6 2 O
Patrick Kane A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 43% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Andrew Copp A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 34% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Dylan Larkin A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 40% 50%3/6 1 O
Lucas Raymond A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 51% 30% 100%6/6 0 U
Justin Faulk A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 26% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Patrick Kane SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 80% 60%3/5 2 U
Moritz Seider SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 80% 83%5/6 1 U
Dylan Larkin SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-170
 38% 60% 50%3/6 1 U
Emmitt Finnie SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 44% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Justin Faulk SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 59% 40% 100%4/4 0 U
Alex DeBrincat SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 40% 50%3/6 4 O
Lucas Raymond SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 38% 30% 33%2/6 2 U
John Gibson SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 42% 30% 67%2/3 28 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+240
 34% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+600
 11% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+155
 38% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+250
 26% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 44% 30% 67%4/6 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 18% 30% 0%0/5 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+220
 18% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
 18% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 11% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
 24% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 15% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Tanner Pearson G 0.5
o+600
 13% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 15% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+425
 13% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 13% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 60% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 49% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 68% 50% 67%4/6 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 42% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 49% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 53% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 38% 40% 17%1/6 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 34% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 59% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 40% 20% 67%4/6 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 35% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 43% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 32% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 40% 17%1/6 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 26% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 36% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 35% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 25% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 40% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 41% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 32% 20% 50%3/6 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 28% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 60% 90% 50%2/4 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 53% 50% 80%4/5 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 38% 50% 67%4/6 4 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 51% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 49% 40% 40%2/5 2 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
 46% 30% 50%3/6 4 O
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 31% 20% 60%3/5 6 O
Alex Lyon SV 25.5
o-110 / u-120
 66% 60% — 15 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 15, 2025 at DET BUF 5–4 OT 1–11–32–0 9 6.5 O BUF
Oct 22, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–2 0–02–22–0 6 6.5 U BUF
Mar 12, 2025 at DET BUF 3–7 2–31–10–3 10 6.5 O DET
Dec 9, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–6 SO 3–22–10–2 11 6 O DET
Nov 2, 2024 at DET BUF 1–2 1–00–20–0 3 6.5 U DET
Oct 26, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–3 2–12–21–0 8 6.5 O BUF
Apr 7, 2024 at DET BUF 1–3 1–30–00–0 4 — DET
Mar 16, 2024 at DET BUF 1–4 1–00–20–2 5 — DET
Mar 12, 2024 at BUF BUF 7–3 4–13–10–1 10 — BUF
Dec 5, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–5 0–21–22–1 8 — DET