BUF @ BOS
Friday, May 1, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT · PlayoffsHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -125 · BOS +105
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+180) · BOS +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)
Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BOS +1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | BUF | o5.5 | 61% 53-34 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 61% 26-17 | 54% 7-6 | 48% 41-45 |
| BOS | o5.5 | 58% 50-37 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 56% 24-19 | 54% 7-6 | 54% 47-40 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | -1.5 | 43% 37-50 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 44% 19-24 | 39% 5-8 | +7.48u 48-38 |
| BOS | +1.5 | 76% 66-21 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 77% 33-10 | 62% 8-5 | +14.24u 57-30 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF fav | -125 | 61% 53-34 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 61% 26-17 | 54% 7-6 | +1.54u 27-17 |
| BOS dog | +105 | 54% 47-40 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 67% 29-14 | 46% 6-7 | +11.31u 30-28 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o+100/u-130 FD 1.5 o-106/u-122 | BUF | 55% 48-39 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 61% 26-17 | 46% 6-7 | 55% 48-39 | 1.92 | 1.02 / 0.90 |
| BOS | 59% 51-36 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 61% 26-17 | 46% 6-7 | 59% 51-36 | 1.79 | 0.94 / 0.85 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 | BUF | 64% 56-31 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 65% 28-15 | 46% 6-7 | 52% 45-42 | 1.99 | 1.10 / 0.89 |
| BOS | 60% 52-35 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 56% 24-19 | 46% 6-7 | 58% 50-37 | 1.95 | 1.01 / 0.94 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+146/u-186 | BUF | 41% 36-51 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 40% 17-26 | 46% 6-7 | 46% 39-45 | 2.28 | 1.28 / 1.00 |
| BOS | 40% 35-52 | 60% 3-2 | 30% 3-7 | 37% 16-27 | 46% 6-7 | 48% 42-45 | 2.30 | 1.15 / 1.15 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| BUF | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 7-4-2 | 2-4-0 |
| Points % | 61.5% | 33.3% |
| Goals for / game | 3.31 | 2.00 |
| Goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| Shots for / game | 30.5 | 25.2 |
| Shots against / game | 26.7 | 31.7 |
| Power play % | 20.4% | 12.5% |
| Penalty kill % | 76.2% | 95.8% |
| Faceoff % | 45.6% | 56.1% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.23 / 1.08 | 0.17 / 1.17 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.77 / 1.08 | 1.00 / 0.17 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.31 / 0.69 | 0.67 / 2.00 |
| Avg game total | 6.31 | 5.33 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
25 saves on 26 shots · 1 GA · W
BOS · Jeremy Swayman
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0/4 |
| BOS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0/0 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+165 |
39% | 70% | 46%6/13 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+275 |
24% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+325 |
21% | 30% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+375 |
16% | 30% | 31%4/13 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+550 |
15% | 30% | 23%3/13 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+375 |
19% | 30% | 25%3/12 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+260 |
30% | 20% | 25%3/12 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+130 |
42% | 20% | 23%3/13 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+425 |
15% | 20% | 8%1/13 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+275 |
18% | 20% | 0%0/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+275 |
24% | 20% | 20%2/10 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+800 |
9% | 10% | 8%1/13 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
15% | 10% | 15%2/13 | 1 O |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+850 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Conor Timmins | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/11 | 0 U |
| Michael Kesselring | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+800 |
9% | 0% | 8%1/13 | 0 U |
| Tyson Kozak | G | 0.5 o+800 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
66% | 80% | 54%7/13 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
59% | 70% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
61% | 70% | 46%5/11 | 2 O |
| Peyton Krebs | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
43% | 60% | 54%7/13 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
35% | 60% | 62%8/13 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
49% | 60% | 42%5/12 | 2 O |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
48% | 50% | 42%5/12 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-210 / u+155 |
66% | 50% | 62%8/13 | 2 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
43% | 50% | 54%7/13 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
46% | 50% | 58%7/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
46% | 50% | 20%2/10 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
49% | 40% | 31%4/13 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
39% | 10% | 31%4/13 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
28% | 60% | 62%8/13 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
28% | 50% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
50% | 50% | 36%4/11 | 2 O |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
37% | 40% | 39%5/13 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
41% | 40% | 54%7/13 | 2 O |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
39% | 40% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
32% | 40% | 39%5/13 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
33% | 40% | 46%6/13 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
28% | 40% | 10%1/10 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
34% | 40% | 17%2/12 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
40% | 30% | 23%3/13 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
35% | 30% | 58%7/12 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
28% | 0% | 23%3/13 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+120 |
53% | 70% | 58%7/12 | 1 U |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o-150 / u+110 |
42% | 60% | 62%8/13 | 2 U |
| Bowen Byram | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
41% | 60% | 54%7/13 | 1 U |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-125 |
52% | 50% | 67%4/6 | 2 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o-145 / u+100 |
49% | 50% | 64%7/11 | 5 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
36% | 50% | 25%3/12 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
34% | 40% | 50%6/12 | 1 U |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o-145 / u+110 |
45% | 40% | 62%8/13 | 5 O |
| Peyton Krebs | SOG | 1.5 o+115 / u-150 |
32% | 40% | 39%5/13 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
55% | 40% | 60%6/10 | 5 O |
| Owen Power | SOG | 1.5 o+130 / u-170 |
45% | 40% | 62%8/13 | 0 U |
| Alex Lyon | SV | 23.5 o-125 / u-105 |
68% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 25 O |
| BOS | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Geekie | G | 0.5 o+195 |
37% | 50% | 46%6/13 | 0 U |
| Pavel Zacha | G | 0.5 o+230 |
28% | 30% | 31%4/13 | 0 U |
| Sean Kuraly | G | 0.5 o+650 |
8% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Elias Lindholm | G | 0.5 o+300 |
23% | 20% | 23%3/13 | 0 U |
| David Pastrnak | G | 0.5 o+140 |
31% | 20% | 39%5/13 | 1 O |
| Henri Jokiharju | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
5% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Mark Kastelic | G | 0.5 o+600 |
12% | 20% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Hampus Lindholm | G | 0.5 o+900 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Tanner Jeannot | G | 0.5 o+700 |
9% | 10% | 10%1/10 | 0 U |
| Casey Mittelstadt | G | 0.5 o+425 |
20% | 10% | 15%2/13 | 0 U |
| Alex Steeves | G | 0.5 o+600 |
16% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Nikita Zadorov | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/13 | 0 U |
| Charlie McAvoy | G | 0.5 o+525 |
14% | 0% | 0%0/10 | 0 U |
| Andrew Peeke | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
6% | 0% | 0%0/13 | 0 U |
| Michael Eyssimont | G | 0.5 o+650 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jonathan Aspirot | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | G | 0.5 o+525 |
15% | 0% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Fraser Minten | G | 0.5 o+425 |
16% | 0% | 0%0/10 | 0 U |
| Pavel Zacha | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
61% | 60% | 46%6/13 | 1 O |
| Morgan Geekie | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
56% | 50% | 54%7/13 | 0 U |
| Charlie McAvoy | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
65% | 40% | 50%5/10 | 0 U |
| Hampus Lindholm | PTS | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
28% | 30% | 13%1/8 | 1 O |
| Elias Lindholm | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
47% | 30% | 39%5/13 | 0 U |
| David Pastrnak | PTS | 1.5 o+180 / u-240 |
38% | 30% | 46%6/13 | 1 U |
| Casey Mittelstadt | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
46% | 30% | 31%4/13 | 0 U |
| Fraser Minten | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
30% | 10% | 20%2/10 | 0 U |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
35% | 0% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| David Pastrnak | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
61% | 50% | 62%8/13 | 0 U |
| Pavel Zacha | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
40% | 40% | 23%3/13 | 1 O |
| Charlie McAvoy | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
57% | 40% | 50%5/10 | 0 U |
| Hampus Lindholm | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
24% | 20% | 13%1/8 | 1 O |
| Casey Mittelstadt | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-275 |
29% | 20% | 15%2/13 | 0 U |
| Elias Lindholm | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-260 |
34% | 10% | 15%2/13 | 0 U |
| Morgan Geekie | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
27% | 10% | 23%3/13 | 0 U |
| Fraser Minten | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
17% | 10% | 20%2/10 | 0 U |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-575 |
22% | 0% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Charlie McAvoy | SOG | 1.5 o-170 / u+130 |
50% | 50% | 40%4/10 | 2 O |
| Michael Eyssimont | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
54% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 2 O |
| Elias Lindholm | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
46% | 40% | 69%9/13 | 2 O |
| David Pastrnak | SOG | 3.5 o-115 / u-115 |
46% | 40% | 46%6/13 | 5 O |
| Pavel Zacha | SOG | 1.5 o-200 / u+150 |
45% | 40% | 23%3/13 | 1 U |
| Fraser Minten | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-125 |
39% | 30% | 30%3/10 | 1 U |
| Hampus Lindholm | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-140 |
43% | 20% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Morgan Geekie | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-145 |
36% | 10% | 8%1/13 | 4 O |
| Jeremy Swayman | SV | 25.5 o-130 / u+100 |
53% | 30% | 57%4/7 | 22 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | at BUF | BOS 2–1 OT | 0–1 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 3 | 5.5 U | BOS |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at BOS | BOS 1–6 | 0–4 | 0–0 | 1–2 | 7 | 5.5 O | BUF |
| Apr 23, 2026 | at BOS | BOS 1–3 | 0–0 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 4 | 5.5 U | BUF |
| Apr 21, 2026 | at BUF | BOS 4–2 | 0–0 | 3–0 | 1–2 | 6 | 5.5 O | BOS |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at BUF | BOS 3–4 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 2–4 | 7 | 5.5 O | BUF |
| Mar 25, 2026 | at BUF | BOS 4–3 OT | 1–1 | 1–0 | 1–2 | 7 | 6.5 O | BOS |
| Dec 27, 2025 | at BUF | BOS 1–4 | 1–0 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 5 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Oct 30, 2025 | at BOS | BOS 4–3 OT | 2–0 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 7 | 6.5 O | BOS |
| Oct 11, 2025 | at BOS | BOS 3–1 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 1–1 | 4 | 5.5 U | BOS |
| Apr 6, 2025 | at BUF | BOS 3–6 | 2–0 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 9 | 6.5 O | BUF |