MTL @ CAR
Thursday, May 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM CT · PlayoffsHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +165 · CAR -200
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-165) · CAR -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)
Graded: total 8 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | MTL | o5.5 | 62% 59-37 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 63% 31-18 | 50% 3-3 | 53% 50-45 |
| CAR | o5.5 | 60% 54-36 | 20% 1-4 | 10% 1-9 | 67% 30-15 | 50% 3-3 | 51% 46-44 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 79% 76-20 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 84% 41-8 | 83% 5-1 | +0.60u 56-39 |
| CAR | -1.5 | 37% 33-57 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 33% 15-30 | 17% 1-5 | -7.18u 38-52 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +165 | 58% 56-40 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 61% 30-19 | 83% 5-1 | +19.46u 33-19 |
| CAR fav | -200 | 68% 61-29 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 73% 33-12 | 17% 1-5 | +7.36u 56-24 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-108/u-118 | MTL | 58% 56-40 | 100% 5-0 | 70% 7-3 | 53% 26-23 | 83% 5-1 | 58% 56-40 | 1.81 | 0.97 / 0.84 |
| CAR | 54% 49-41 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 56% 25-20 | 83% 5-1 | 54% 49-41 | 1.89 | 1.14 / 0.74 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-154/u+122 | MTL | 71% 68-28 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 65% 32-17 | 83% 5-1 | 65% 62-34 | 2.28 | 1.17 / 1.11 |
| CAR | 63% 57-33 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 58% 26-19 | 83% 5-1 | 56% 50-40 | 1.91 | 0.97 / 0.94 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+150/u-192 | MTL | 35% 34-62 | 20% 1-4 | 10% 1-9 | 39% 19-30 | 17% 1-5 | 40% 38-57 | 2.06 | 1.08 / 0.98 |
| CAR | 38% 34-56 | 20% 1-4 | 10% 1-9 | 44% 20-25 | 17% 1-5 | 44% 39-50 | 2.27 | 1.26 / 1.01 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 9-6-4 | 16-2-1 |
| Points % | 57.9% | 86.8% |
| Goals for / game | 2.84 | 3.47 |
| Goals against / game | 2.95 | 2.05 |
| Shots for / game | 23.2 | 31.6 |
| Shots against / game | 29.9 | 23.3 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 17.3% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.1% | 91.5% |
| Faceoff % | 53.5% | 49.9% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.26 / 1.11 | 1.21 / 0.68 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.79 / 1.05 | 0.79 / 0.79 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 0.63 / 0.58 | 1.16 / 0.53 |
| Avg game total | 5.79 | 5.53 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
CAR · Frederik Andersen
16 saves on 21 shots · 5 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0/2 |
| CAR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0/2 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+275 |
29% | 50% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+210 |
30% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+525 |
22% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+160 |
43% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+500 |
17% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+575 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+600 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+275 |
22% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+700 |
8% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
9% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+550 |
17% | 10% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+210 |
29% | 10% | 50%3/6 | 2 O |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+800 |
11% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Jayden Struble | G | 0.5 o+2500 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
4% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+900 |
25% | 0% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+575 |
15% | 0% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
69% | 80% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-230 / u+170 |
76% | 70% | 83%5/6 | 3 O |
| Alex Newhook | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
46% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Jake Evans | PTS | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
35% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
54% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Phillip Danault | PTS | 0.5 o+250 / u-375 |
24% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 2 O |
| Alexandre Carrier | PTS | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
29% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
32% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
66% | 40% | 83%5/6 | 2 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | PTS | 0.5 o+325 / u-500 |
26% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | PTS | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
30% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+105 |
55% | 40% | 83%5/6 | 3 O |
| Josh Anderson | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
27% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+300 / u-425 |
33% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
36% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
40% | 10% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
59% | 80% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-425 |
20% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
62% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 3 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
25% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
43% | 40% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-575 |
16% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Carrier | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-500 |
21% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
41% | 30% | 67%4/6 | 1 O |
| Josh Anderson | A | 0.5 o+450 / u-750 |
12% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
22% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-230 |
40% | 20% | 67%4/6 | 1 O |
| Alex Newhook | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
23% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | A | 0.5 o+550 / u-950 |
21% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
30% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
31% | 10% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+575 / u-1000 |
16% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
43% | 70% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | SOG | 0.5 o-250 / u+185 |
74% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-145 |
38% | 60% | 0%0/6 | 4 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-150 / u+115 |
47% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 3 O |
| Josh Anderson | SOG | 1.5 o+145 / u-195 |
36% | 50% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-145 / u+110 |
61% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 1 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o+140 / u-190 |
34% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 4 O |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-115 / u-115 |
57% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 1 U |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
47% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 1 U |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 28.5 o-125 / u-105 |
34% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 26 U |
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Stankoven | G | 0.5 o+190 |
28% | 60% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+250 |
23% | 40% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | G | 0.5 o+210 |
27% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+190 |
30% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+170 |
32% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+250 |
25% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+350 |
23% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Mark Jankowski | G | 0.5 o+650 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+500 |
15% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | G | 0.5 o+850 |
2% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
4% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | G | 0.5 o+800 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | G | 0.5 o+700 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Seth Jarvis | G | 0.5 o+170 |
34% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | G | 0.5 o+525 |
19% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| William Carrier | G | 0.5 o+700 |
9% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+700 |
16% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Alexander Nikishin | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
13% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
48% | 80% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
44% | 80% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
43% | 70% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
53% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
57% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
42% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+130 |
63% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 1 O |
| Sean Walker | PTS | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
32% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
52% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 1 O |
| Jaccob Slavin | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
19% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Seth Jarvis | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
62% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
54% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jordan Martinook | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
35% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | PTS | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Alexander Nikishin | PTS | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
35% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
38% | 70% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
36% | 60% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
36% | 60% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-425 |
22% | 50% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
42% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
26% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
36% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Logan Stankoven | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
25% | 30% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
43% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-475 |
17% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o+120 / u-155 |
45% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Seth Jarvis | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
38% | 20% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Alexander Nikishin | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-575 |
25% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Martinook | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
20% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-550 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
46% | 70% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
51% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o-175 / u+130 |
45% | 70% | 33%2/6 | 2 U |
| Logan Stankoven | SOG | 2.5 o-135 / u+105 |
34% | 70% | 43%3/7 | 2 U |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
28% | 60% | 14%1/7 | 1 U |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-145 |
43% | 60% | 60%3/5 | 4 O |
| Jordan Martinook | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
42% | 50% | 0%0/5 | 2 O |
| Jalen Chatfield | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
40% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 2 O |
| Sean Walker | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
66% | 50% | 50%3/6 | 1 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | SOG | 2.5 o-130 / u-105 |
42% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 1 U |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o-135 / u+100 |
44% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 3 O |
| K'Andre Miller | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
46% | 30% | 83%5/6 | 1 U |
| Seth Jarvis | SOG | 2.5 o-175 / u+130 |
51% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 5 O |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-185 |
27% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Frederik Andersen | SV | 21.5 o-105 / u-125 |
44% | 60% | 0%0/4 | 16 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | at CAR | CAR 1–3 | 1–0 | 0–3 | 0–0 | 4 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 24, 2026 | at MTL | CAR 2–5 | 2–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Jan 1, 2026 | at CAR | CAR 5–7 | 3–2 | 1–3 | 1–2 | 12 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Apr 16, 2025 | at MTL | CAR 2–4 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 1–1 | 6 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 28, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 4–1 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 5 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Feb 25, 2025 | at MTL | CAR 0–4 | 0–2 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 4 | 5.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 30, 2024 | at MTL | CAR 3–0 | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 3 | — | CAR |
| Mar 7, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 4–1 | 1–1 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 5 | — | CAR |
| Dec 28, 2023 | at CAR | CAR 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–0 | 2–1 | 8 | — | CAR |
| Apr 1, 2023 | at MTL | CAR 3–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 0–0 | 3 | — | CAR |