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OTT @ TOR

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Ottawa Senators
7-3-0 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
5-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
OTT -110 · TOR -110
Puck Line
OTT -1.5 (+200) · TOR +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 OTTo6.5 49%
40-42
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
75%
3-1
53%
42-38
TORo6.5 56%
46-36
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
25-16
75%
3-1
61%
49-32
Puck Line
cover %
 OTT-1.5 34%
28-54
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
27%
11-30
75%
3-1
-0.72u
39-41
TOR+1.5 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
71%
29-12
25%
1-3
-21.30u
33-48
Moneyline
win %
 OTT dog -110 54%
44-38
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
51%
21-20
75%
3-1
-5.58u
9-16
TOR dog -110 39%
32-50
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
44%
18-23
25%
1-3
-12.83u
17-35
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 OTT 60%
49-33
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
61%
25-16
50%
2-2
60%
49-33
 1.84 0.95 / 0.89
TOR 62%
51-31
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
68%
28-13
50%
2-2
62%
51-31
 1.83 0.84 / 0.99
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 OTT 63%
52-30
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
73%
30-11
75%
3-1
57%
47-35
 2.13 1.16 / 0.98
TOR 72%
59-23
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
71%
29-12
75%
3-1
66%
54-28
 2.18 0.95 / 1.23
3rd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 2.5 o+140/u-180 OTT 39%
32-50
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
37%
15-26
50%
2-2
49%
40-42
 2.21 1.21 / 1.00
TOR 46%
38-44
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
39%
16-25
50%
2-2
50%
41-41
 2.44 1.18 / 1.26
Team Comparison '26-27
OTTTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)7-3-05-4-2
Points %70.0%54.5%
Goals for / game2.903.45
Goals against / game2.403.18
Shots for / game23.827.8
Shots against / game25.530.3
Power play %13.0%27.5%
Penalty kill %79.5%97.4%
Faceoff %52.3%52.4%
1st period GF / GA0.60 / 0.700.91 / 1.09
2nd period GF / GA1.20 / 0.901.55 / 1.18
3rd period GF / GA0.90 / 0.800.91 / 0.73
Avg game total5.306.64
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 29 shots · 2 GA · W
26 saves on 29 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
OTT1110290/4
TOR0200291/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+185
 32% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+195
 31% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+325
 29% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+450
 19% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+350
 18% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Jordan Spence G 0.5
o+800
 10% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
William Eklund G 0.5
o+275
 18% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+325
 17% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+425
 19% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+185
 38% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Stephen Halliday G 0.5
o+600
 10% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Warren Foegele G 0.5
o+325
 19% 10% 100%3/3 0 U
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+650
 11% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+900
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+700
 11% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Hayden Hodgson G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Carter Yakemchuk G 0.5
o+650
 25% — — 0 U
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 62% 70% 100%4/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 70% 100%4/4 0 U
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 68% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 53% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
William Eklund PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-120
 54% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 44% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
William Eklund A 0.5
o+165 / u-220
 45% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 29% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 35% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 39% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 34% 20% 50%2/4 2 O
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-145 / u-105
 65% 60% 100%3/3 4 O
Jake Sanderson SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Claude Giroux SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 50% 75%3/4 4 O
Warren Foegele SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 40% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 56% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 46% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o-160 / u-110
 43% 50% 50%2/4 2 U
William Eklund SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 68% 50% 100%2/2 4 O
Tim Stützle SOG 2.5
o-155 / u-135
 45% 40% 100%3/3 2 U
Drake Batherson SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 37% 10% 50%2/4 2 U
Linus Ullmark SV 24.5
o-115 / u-115
 25% 40% 0%0/3 27 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 40% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+230
 34% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+350
 17% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
 14% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Colton Sissons G 0.5
o+550
 9% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+475
 26% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Kirill Marchenko G 0.5
o+210
 29% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Teddy Blueger G 0.5
o+500
 23% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+500
 14% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Jack Roslovic G 0.5
o+325
 26% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+150
 38% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 10% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bo Groulx G 0.5
o+550
 15% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Gavin McKenna G 0.5
o+375
 0% — — 0 U
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 41% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-155 / u-115
 62% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 71% 70% 100%4/4 1 O
Kirill Marchenko PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 67% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 37% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 56% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Roslovic PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 62% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
Gavin McKenna PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-210
 0% — — 0 U
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 26% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+155 / u-240
 40% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Kirill Marchenko A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 46% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+120 / u-220
 54% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Jack Roslovic A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 20% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 26% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 40% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Gavin McKenna A 0.5
o+175 / u-400
 0% — — 0 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 43% 70% 50%2/4 2 U
Kirill Marchenko SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 55% 70% 67%2/3 2 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-165
 58% 60% 67%2/3 2 U
Jack Roslovic SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 65% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
John Tavares SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 67% 40% 50%2/4 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-170
 53% 40% 50%1/2 6 O
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 37% 30% 33%1/3 26 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 15, 2026 at OTT TOR 1–3 0–10–11–1 4 6.5 U OTT
Mar 21, 2026 at OTT TOR 2–5 0–11–21–2 7 6.5 O OTT
Feb 28, 2026 at TOR TOR 2–5 1–11–40–0 7 6.5 O OTT
Dec 27, 2025 at TOR TOR 7–5 2–13–12–3 12 6.5 O TOR
May 1, 2025 at OTT TOR 4–2 1–01–12–1 6 5.5 O TOR
Apr 29, 2025 at TOR TOR 0–4 0–00–10–3 4 5.5 U OTT
Apr 26, 2025 at OTT TOR 3–4 OT 1–21–01–1 7 5.5 O OTT
Apr 24, 2025 at OTT TOR 3–2 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 22, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 OT 2–00–10–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 20, 2025 at TOR TOR 6–2 2–12–02–1 8 5.5 O TOR