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← Stats / BUF @ NYI

BUF @ NYI

Sunday, March 21, 2027 · 2:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
5-4-3 · Away
2:00 PM CT
New York Islanders
6-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock hasn't posted this game yet
Moneyline
BUF — · NYI —
Puck Line
—
Total
—
Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 67%
8-4
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
83%
5-1
100%
3-0
-0.78u
6-6
NYI-1.5 25%
3-9
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
33%
2-4
0%
0-3
-1.14u
7-5
Moneyline
win %
 BUF — 42%
5-7
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
33%
2-4
100%
3-0
-3.10u
5-7
NYI — 50%
6-6
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
67%
4-2
0%
0-3
-1.11u
6-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 75%
9-3
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
83%
5-1
0%
0-3
75%
9-3
 2.17 0.83 / 1.33
NYI 58%
7-5
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
67%
4-2
0%
0-3
58%
7-5
 1.75 0.92 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 83%
10-2
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
83%
5-1
67%
2-1
75%
9-3
 2.17 0.67 / 1.50
NYI 58%
7-5
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
67%
4-2
67%
2-1
58%
7-5
 2.00 1.25 / 0.75
3rd Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 50%
6-6
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
50%
3-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-12
 1.42 1.08 / 0.33
NYI 50%
6-6
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
3-3
67%
2-1
33%
4-8
 1.67 0.75 / 0.92
Team Comparison '26-27
BUFNYI
Record (W-L-OTL)5-4-36-4-2
Points %54.2%58.3%
Goals for / game2.753.00
Goals against / game3.422.67
Shots for / game27.526.2
Shots against / game26.326.3
Power play %9.8%15.8%
Penalty kill %71.4%85.4%
Faceoff %47.8%55.0%
1st period GF / GA0.83 / 1.330.92 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.67 / 1.501.25 / 0.75
3rd period GF / GA1.08 / 0.330.75 / 0.92
Avg game total6.175.67
Probable Goalies ESPN confirmed / expected, else last starter
BUF · Colten Ellis Last start
Last start Oct 27 · 4 GS · SV% .902 · GAA 2.28
NYI · Semyon Varlamov Last start
Last start Oct 27 · 4 GS · SV% .891 · GAA 2.40
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line

No Hard Rock player lines for this game yet — they usually post the morning of game day.

Injuries ESPN injury report
BUFStatusNote
Justin Danforth OUT Upper Body out
Jiri Kulich OUT Concussion Kulich has been placed in concussion protocol, per Rachel Lenzi of The Buffalo News on Monday.
Sam Carrick IR Upper Body ir
Alex Lyon IR Upper Body Lyon (upper body) had a setback in his recovery and is without a timeline to return, the team announced Thursday.
Matt Grzelcyk IR Lower Body Grzelcyk (lower body) suffered a "flare-up" and could be out for at least "a few days," head coach Lindy Ruff told Rachel Lenzi of The Buffalo News on Tuesday.
Conor Timmins IR Lower Body Timmins (lower body) doesn't have a timeline for his return yet, according to Heather Engel of NHL.com on Tuesday.
Jack Rathbone IR Undisclosed ir-nr
NYIStatusNote
Matias Maccelli IR Lower Body Maccelli (lower body) was placed on injured reserve Monday.
Calum Ritchie IR Lower Body ir
Alexander Romanov IR Knee ir
Mathew Barzal IR Knee Barzal (knee) will not join the Islanders for their two-game road trip, Andrew Gross of Newsday reports Thursday.
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 31, 2026 at BUF NYI 3–4 0–11–02–3 7 6.5 O BUF
Jan 24, 2026 at NYI NYI 0–5 0–00–20–3 5 6.5 U BUF
Dec 20, 2025 at BUF NYI 2–3 SO 0–11–11–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Dec 23, 2024 at NYI NYI 1–7 0–21–30–2 8 5.5 O BUF
Nov 30, 2024 at NYI NYI 3–0 0–02–01–0 3 5.5 U NYI
Nov 1, 2024 at BUF NYI 4–3 1–12–01–2 7 5.5 O NYI
Mar 14, 2024 at BUF NYI 0–4 0–00–30–1 4 — BUF
Oct 21, 2023 at BUF NYI 1–3 0–00–21–1 4 — BUF
Oct 14, 2023 at NYI NYI 3–2 2–00–11–1 5 — NYI
Mar 25, 2023 at NYI NYI 0–2 0–00–00–2 2 — BUF