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← Stats / WSH @ TOR

WSH @ TOR

Saturday, December 28, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Washington Capitals
51-22-9 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
WSH -125 · TOR +105
Puck Line
WSH -1.5 (+180) · TOR +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 6 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6
 WSHo6 48%
14-15-5
0%
0-5
0%
0-8-2
47%
7-8-2
50%
2-2-1
47%
14-16-4
TORo6 50%
15-15-6
100%
5-0
78%
7-2-1
33%
6-12-2
50%
2-2-1
49%
16-17-3
Puck Line
cover %
 WSH-1.5 47%
16-18
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
47%
8-9
20%
1-4
+5.13u
22-12
TOR+1.5 69%
25-11
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
70%
14-6
80%
4-1
+6.98u
20-16
Moneyline
win %
 WSH fav -125 68%
23-11
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
71%
12-5
20%
1-4
+2.18u
10-4
TOR dog +105 61%
22-14
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
70%
14-6
80%
4-1
+4.05u
5-2
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 WSH 65%
22-12
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
71%
12-5
20%
1-4
65%
22-12
 2.00 1.24 / 0.76
TOR 47%
17-19
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
35%
7-13
20%
1-4
47%
17-19
 1.67 0.83 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 WSH 68%
23-11
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
59%
10-7
80%
4-1
65%
22-12
 2.24 1.18 / 1.06
TOR 69%
25-11
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
70%
14-6
80%
4-1
64%
23-13
 2.17 1.36 / 0.81
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+150/u-196 WSH 29%
10-24
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
47%
8-9
20%
1-4
32%
9-19
 1.91 1.18 / 0.74
TOR 33%
12-24
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
8-12
20%
1-4
48%
14-15
 1.94 0.86 / 1.08
Team Comparison '24-25
WSHTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)51-22-952-26-4
Points %67.7%65.9%
Goals for / game3.513.27
Goals against / game2.832.82
Shots for / game27.628.0
Shots against / game27.229.3
Power play %23.5%24.8%
Penalty kill %82.0%77.9%
Faceoff %50.3%53.7%
1st period GF / GA1.10 / 0.960.88 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.04 / 0.951.23 / 0.89
3rd period GF / GA1.28 / 0.801.02 / 1.04
Avg game total6.346.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
35 saves on 37 shots · 2 GA · W
TOR · Matt Murray
27 saves on 31 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
WSH2120321/1
TOR1100370/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+165
 56% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Jakub Vrana G 0.5
o+475
 33% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+325
 35% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+275
 32% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Nic Dowd G 0.5
o+600
 24% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+250
 27% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Andrew Mangiapane G 0.5
o+475
 21% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Pierre-Luc Dubois G 0.5
o+325
 15% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor McMichael G 0.5
o+220
 35% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+450
 31% 10% 17%1/6 1 O
John Carlson G 0.5
o+650
 9% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Trevor van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Taylor Raddysh G 0.5
o+550
 12% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+700
 12% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Rasmus Sandin G 0.5
o+1100
 12% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+105
 78% 90% 75%3/4 1 O
Pierre-Luc Dubois PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 59% 80% 75%3/4 1 O
Connor McMichael PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 62% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 56% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 68% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 48% 40% 50%3/6 2 O
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 53% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+165 / u-220
 39% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 40% 50%3/6 1 O
Connor McMichael A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 29% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 44% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 29% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 53% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 35% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 50% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Ovechkin SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 56% 70% 50%2/4 3 U
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 56% 60% 0%0/5 5 O
Pierre-Luc Dubois SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 44% 50% 25%1/4 1 U
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 35% 40% 17%1/6 4 O
John Carlson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 50% 30% 60%3/5 1 U
Tom Wilson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 32% 30% 75%3/4 3 O
Connor McMichael SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 41% 30% 20%1/5 1 U
Logan Thompson SV 25.5
o+100 / u-130
 41% 30% 100%1/1 35 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+115
 50% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+375
 21% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+325
 11% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+275
 25% 30% 100%3/3 1 O
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+300
 17% 20% — 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+155
 31% 20% 80%4/5 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+175
 28% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+600
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+275
 32% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 11% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/1 DNP
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 69% 70% 100%5/5 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 33% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-240
 39% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 50% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 30% 30% — 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 42% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 50% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 64% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 42% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 31% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 17% 20% — 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 24% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 47% 60% 0%0/3 2 U
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 52% 50% — 2 O
William Nylander SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 47% 50% 40%2/5 4 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 51% 30% 80%4/5 6 O
Bobby McMann SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 43% 30% 67%2/3 2 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 47% 20% 50%2/4 3 O
Matt Murray SV 26.5
o-105 / u-125
 0% — — 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 6, 2024 at TOR TOR 1–3 0–01–10–2 4 6 U WSH
Nov 13, 2024 at WSH TOR 4–3 OT 1–20–12–0 7 6 O TOR
Mar 28, 2024 at TOR TOR 5–1 1–02–12–0 6 — TOR
Mar 20, 2024 at WSH TOR 7–3 1–03–23–1 10 — TOR
Oct 24, 2023 at WSH TOR 4–1 1–03–10–0 5 — TOR
Jan 29, 2023 at TOR TOR 5–1 0–14–01–0 6 — TOR
Dec 17, 2022 at WSH TOR 2–5 1–21–10–2 7 — WSH
Oct 13, 2022 at TOR TOR 3–2 1–21–01–0 5 — TOR
Apr 24, 2022 at WSH TOR 4–3 SO 1–10–02–2 7 — TOR
Apr 14, 2022 at TOR TOR 7–3 2–04–21–1 10 — TOR