BUF @ FLA
Saturday, April 12, 2025 · 5:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +150 · FLA -180
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-185) · FLA -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)
Graded: total 5 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | BUF | o5.5 | 67% 52-26 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 64% 25-14 | 33% 2-4 | 61% 43-27-7 |
| FLA | o5.5 | 48% 38-41 | 0% 0-5 | 30% 3-7 | 49% 19-20 | 33% 2-4 | 44% 34-44-1 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | +1.5 | 63% 49-29 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 51% 20-19 | 50% 3-3 | -5.77u 41-36 |
| FLA | -1.5 | 38% 30-49 | 40% 2-3 | 20% 2-8 | 46% 18-21 | 50% 3-3 | -7.08u 35-44 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF dog | +150 | 45% 35-43 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 33% 13-26 | 17% 1-5 | +0.40u 22-32 |
| FLA fav | -180 | 58% 46-33 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 67% 26-13 | 83% 5-1 | -5.19u 39-26 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-118/u-106 | BUF | 62% 48-30 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 67% 26-13 | 67% 4-2 | 62% 48-30 | 1.95 | 1.10 / 0.85 |
| FLA | 53% 42-37 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 44% 17-22 | 67% 4-2 | 53% 42-37 | 1.73 | 0.91 / 0.82 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 | BUF | 74% 58-20 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 74% 29-10 | 50% 3-3 | 65% 51-27 | 2.33 | 1.06 / 1.27 |
| FLA | 60% 47-32 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 69% 27-12 | 50% 3-3 | 57% 45-34 | 1.99 | 1.11 / 0.87 | ||
| 3rd Period over 1.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 | BUF | 67% 52-26 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 69% 27-12 | 50% 3-3 | 49% 34-36 | 2.33 | 1.05 / 1.28 |
| FLA | 56% 44-35 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 54% 21-18 | 50% 3-3 | 49% 34-36 | 1.89 | 0.96 / 0.92 |
Team Comparison '24-25
| BUF | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 36-39-7 | 47-31-4 |
| Points % | 48.2% | 59.8% |
| Goals for / game | 3.28 | 3.07 |
| Goals against / game | 3.52 | 2.72 |
| Shots for / game | 27.8 | 31.6 |
| Shots against / game | 28.9 | 26.2 |
| Power play % | 18.8% | 23.5% |
| Penalty kill % | 76.3% | 80.7% |
| Faceoff % | 47.7% | 49.5% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.12 / 0.83 | 0.89 / 0.85 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.02 / 1.30 | 1.13 / 0.88 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.05 / 1.30 | 0.93 / 0.94 |
| Avg game total | 6.80 | 5.79 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
32 saves on 34 shots · 2 GA · OTL
FLA · Vitek Vanecek
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 2/3 |
| FLA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+230 |
37% | 70% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+135 |
49% | 70% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+425 |
22% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| JJ Peterka | G | 0.5 o+240 |
29% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+400 |
21% | 30% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+525 |
12% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+375 |
16% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+300 |
26% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Sam Lafferty | G | 0.5 o+800 |
5% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
7% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jacob Bernard-Docker | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jiri Kulich | G | 0.5 o+350 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Connor Clifton | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+850 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+850 |
9% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+400 |
14% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | G | 0.5 o+550 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-110 |
58% | 80% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
61% | 80% | 67%4/6 | 2 O |
| JJ Peterka | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
63% | 80% | 20%1/5 | 2 O |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+125 |
67% | 70% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
48% | 70% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
54% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-240 |
41% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
37% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
52% | 70% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
33% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
31% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
45% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
36% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
32% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
35% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
33% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+125 |
77% | 80% | 67%4/6 | 2 O |
| JJ Peterka | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+125 |
66% | 80% | 100%5/5 | 1 U |
| Jiri Kulich | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
72% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 5 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 2.5 o-150 / u+110 |
58% | 60% | 67%4/6 | 2 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-180 |
49% | 50% | 50%3/6 | 6 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
55% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 2 O |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 25.5 o-115 / u-115 |
36% | 20% | 100%4/4 | 32 O |
| FLA | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jones | G | 0.5 o+425 |
15% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | G | 0.5 o+525 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Anton Lundell | G | 0.5 o+240 |
21% | 20% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | G | 0.5 o+200 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Brad Marchand | G | 0.5 o+200 |
29% | 10% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | G | 0.5 o+200 |
19% | 10% | 60%3/5 | 1 O |
| Evan Rodrigues | G | 0.5 o+260 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Niko Mikkola | G | 0.5 o+850 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Jonah Gadjovich | G | 0.5 o+575 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | G | 0.5 o+425 |
12% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Jaycob Megna | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| A.J. Greer | G | 0.5 o+600 |
8% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jesse Puljujarvi | G | 0.5 o+400 |
11% | 0% | 100%1/1 | 1 O |
| Jesper Boqvist | G | 0.5 o+475 |
13% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Nico Sturm | G | 0.5 o+550 |
12% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Uvis Balinskis | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
6% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Asplund | G | 0.5 o+700 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
35% | 60% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
39% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
47% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
46% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Brad Marchand | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
58% | 30% | 100%5/5 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
46% | 30% | 80%4/5 | 2 O |
| Evan Rodrigues | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
32% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Gustav Forsling | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
21% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
19% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
37% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Brad Marchand | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
38% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
37% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Evan Rodrigues | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
18% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
31% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+140 |
67% | 90% | 80%4/5 | 3 O |
| Gustav Forsling | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-180 |
39% | 70% | 17%1/6 | 1 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | SOG | 2.5 o-155 / u+115 |
55% | 60% | 40%2/5 | 3 O |
| Anton Lundell | SOG | 2.5 o+120 / u-160 |
35% | 60% | 33%2/6 | 1 U |
| Brad Marchand | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
55% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 2 U |
| Evan Rodrigues | SOG | 2.5 o+130 / u-170 |
30% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 4 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
27% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 1 U |
| Vitek Vanecek | SV | 21.5 o-125 / u-105 |
77% | 80% | 33%1/3 | 26 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | at FLA | FLA 4–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 4 | 6.5 U | FLA |
| Oct 28, 2024 | at BUF | FLA 5–2 | 2–0 | 1–2 | 2–0 | 7 | 6 O | FLA |
| Oct 12, 2024 | at BUF | FLA 2–5 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–1 | 7 | 6 O | BUF |
| Apr 13, 2024 | at FLA | FLA 3–2 OT | 2–2 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 | — | FLA |
| Feb 27, 2024 | at FLA | FLA 3–2 | 2–1 | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5 | — | FLA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | at BUF | FLA 4–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 4 | — | FLA |
| Apr 4, 2023 | at FLA | FLA 2–1 | 1–1 | 0–0 | 1–0 | 3 | — | FLA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | at FLA | FLA 1–3 | 0–0 | 0–2 | 1–1 | 4 | — | BUF |
| Jan 16, 2023 | at BUF | FLA 4–1 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 2–1 | 5 | — | FLA |
| Oct 15, 2022 | at BUF | FLA 4–3 | 2–2 | 2–1 | 0–0 | 7 | — | FLA |