← Stats / BUF @ FLA

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

36-39-7 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL / SO
47-31-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +150 · FLA -180
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-185) · FLA -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
BUFo5.5 67%
52-26
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
64%
25-14
33%
2-4
61%
43-27-7
FLAo5.5 48%
38-41
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
49%
19-20
33%
2-4
44%
34-44-1
Puck Line
cover %
BUF+1.5 63%
49-29
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
51%
20-19
50%
3-3
-5.77u
41-36
FLA-1.5 38%
30-49
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
46%
18-21
50%
3-3
-7.08u
35-44
Moneyline
win %
BUF dog +150 45%
35-43
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
33%
13-26
17%
1-5
+0.40u
22-32
FLA fav -180 58%
46-33
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
67%
26-13
83%
5-1
-5.19u
39-26
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-118/u-106 BUF 62%
48-30
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
26-13
67%
4-2
62%
48-30
1.95 1.10 / 0.85
FLA 53%
42-37
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
44%
17-22
67%
4-2
53%
42-37
1.73 0.91 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 BUF 74%
58-20
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
74%
29-10
50%
3-3
65%
51-27
2.33 1.06 / 1.27
FLA 60%
47-32
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
69%
27-12
50%
3-3
57%
45-34
1.99 1.11 / 0.87
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 BUF 67%
52-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
69%
27-12
50%
3-3
49%
34-36
2.33 1.05 / 1.28
FLA 56%
44-35
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
54%
21-18
50%
3-3
49%
34-36
1.89 0.96 / 0.92
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-747-31-4
Points %48.2%59.8%
Goals for / game3.283.07
Goals against / game3.522.72
Shots for / game27.831.6
Shots against / game28.926.2
Power play %18.8%23.5%
Penalty kill %76.3%80.7%
Faceoff %47.7%49.5%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.89 / 0.85
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.301.13 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.300.93 / 0.94
Avg game total6.805.79
Starting Goalies from the box score
32 saves on 34 shots · 2 GA · OTL
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1010282/3
FLA0200340/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+230
37% 70% 17%1/6 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
49% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
22% 40% 17%1/6 1 O
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+240
29% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
21% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
12% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+375
16% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
26% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+800
5% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
7% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1750
6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+350
19% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1500
0% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
5% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+1000
8% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
9% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
14% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+550
0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-110
58% 80% 33%2/6 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
61% 80% 67%4/6 2 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
63% 80% 20%1/5 2 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
67% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
48% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
54% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-240
41% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
37% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
52% 70% 50%3/6 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
33% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
31% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
45% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
36% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
32% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
35% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
33% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
77% 80% 67%4/6 2 O
JJ Peterka SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
66% 80% 100%5/5 1 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
72% 70% 100%1/1 5 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
58% 60% 67%4/6 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
49% 50% 50%3/6 6 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
55% 40% 60%3/5 2 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
36% 20% 100%4/4 32 O
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+425
15% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+525
14% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+240
21% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+200
21% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+200
29% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+200
19% 10% 60%3/5 1 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+260
19% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+850
8% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+575
10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+425
12% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Jaycob Megna G 0.5
o+1750
0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+600
8% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Jesse Puljujarvi G 0.5
o+400
11% 0% 100%1/1 1 O
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+475
13% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+550
12% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1100
6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Asplund G 0.5
o+700
0% — — 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
35% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
39% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
47% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
46% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
58% 30% 100%5/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
46% 30% 80%4/5 2 O
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
32% 30% 17%1/6 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
21% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
19% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
37% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
38% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
37% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
18% 20% 17%1/6 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
31% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
67% 90% 80%4/5 3 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
39% 70% 17%1/6 1 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
55% 60% 40%2/5 3 O
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
35% 60% 33%2/6 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
55% 40% 60%3/5 2 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
30% 40% 67%4/6 4 O
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
27% 40% 0%0/3 1 U
Vitek Vanecek SV 21.5
o-125 / u-105
77% 80% 33%1/3 26 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 8, 2025 at FLA FLA 4–0 1–02–01–0 4 6.5 U FLA
Oct 28, 2024 at BUF FLA 5–2 2–01–22–0 7 6 O FLA
Oct 12, 2024 at BUF FLA 2–5 1–21–20–1 7 6 O BUF
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 2–10–01–1 5 — FLA
Feb 15, 2024 at BUF FLA 4–0 1–01–02–0 4 — FLA
Apr 4, 2023 at FLA FLA 2–1 1–10–01–0 3 — FLA
Feb 24, 2023 at FLA FLA 1–3 0–00–21–1 4 — BUF
Jan 16, 2023 at BUF FLA 4–1 1–01–02–1 5 — FLA
Oct 15, 2022 at BUF FLA 4–3 2–22–10–0 7 — FLA