← Stats / TOR @ CAR

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

52-26-4 · Away
4 – 1
FINAL
47-30-5 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +170 · CAR -220
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-145) · CAR -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · CAR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
TORo5.5 56%
44-35
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
69%
27-12
60%
3-2
49%
37-38-3
CARo5.5 53%
42-37
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
55%
22-18
60%
3-2
45%
33-40-5
Puck Line
cover %
TOR+1.5 72%
57-22
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
74%
29-10
80%
4-1
-0.33u
38-40
CAR-1.5 44%
35-44
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
60%
24-16
20%
1-4
+1.89u
37-41
Moneyline
win %
TOR dog +170 62%
49-30
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
59%
23-16
20%
1-4
+4.70u
12-10
CAR fav -220 60%
47-32
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
78%
31-9
80%
4-1
-8.83u
43-30
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-134/u+106 TOR 51%
40-39
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
64%
25-14
60%
3-2
51%
40-39
1.75 0.89 / 0.86
CAR 52%
41-38
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
63%
25-15
60%
3-2
52%
41-38
1.70 0.82 / 0.87
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-174/u+138 TOR 67%
53-26
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
67%
26-13
40%
2-3
60%
47-32
2.15 1.25 / 0.90
CAR 60%
47-32
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
65%
26-14
40%
2-3
56%
44-35
2.01 1.15 / 0.86
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 TOR 63%
50-29
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
64%
25-14
80%
4-1
51%
35-34
2.04 0.97 / 1.06
CAR 68%
54-25
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
73%
29-11
80%
4-1
49%
36-37
2.19 1.23 / 0.96
Team Comparison '24-25
TORCAR
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-447-30-5
Points %65.9%60.4%
Goals for / game3.273.24
Goals against / game2.822.84
Shots for / game28.031.7
Shots against / game29.324.9
Power play %24.8%18.7%
Penalty kill %77.9%83.6%
Faceoff %53.7%52.6%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.840.83 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.891.15 / 0.87
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.21 / 1.01
Avg game total6.096.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 26 shots · 1 GA · W
16 saves on 20 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR1120200/2
CAR0010261/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+200
38% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+210
27% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+160
42% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+125
42% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+500
11% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+450
18% 20% 80%4/5 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+195
32% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
10% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Dakota Mermis G 0.5
o+2000
6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+400
24% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1500
3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+500
6% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
9% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
1% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1500
3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+800
8% 0% 20%1/5 1 O
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
1% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
73% 90% 33%1/3 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
69% 80% 40%2/5 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
73% 70% 60%3/5 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
63% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
52% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
39% 30% 20%1/5 3 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
62% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
48% 70% 20%1/5 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
42% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
31% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
33% 30% 20%1/5 3 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
38% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
53% 70% 40%2/5 1 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
60% 60% 100%3/3 1 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
65% 60% 80%4/5 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
44% 50% 60%3/5 4 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
60% 50% 80%4/5 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
55% 50% 60%3/5 2 U
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
49% 70% 100%2/2 25 U
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+220
20% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+140
38% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+275
16% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+250
18% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+550
18% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Dmitry Orlov G 0.5
o+900
7% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+150
35% 20% 60%3/5 1 O
Brent Burns G 0.5
o+600
8% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+500
15% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
William Carrier G 0.5
o+550
10% 10% — 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1100
9% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+800
6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+525
18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+260
23% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Scott Morrow G 0.5
o+900
9% 10% — 0 U
Jaccob Slavin G 0.5
o+850
8% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Jack Roslovic G 0.5
o+300
23% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyson Jost G 0.5
o+575
6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
61% 80% 60%3/5 1 O
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
34% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
64% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
40% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Jack Roslovic PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
40% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
51% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
35% 70% 0%0/5 1 O
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
45% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Jack Roslovic A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
21% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
18% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
35% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
27% 10% 100%2/2 0 U
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
50% 80% 20%1/5 1 U
Brent Burns SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
60% 50% 60%3/5 1 U
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
47% 50% 60%3/5 4 O
Jack Roslovic SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
53% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Sean Walker SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
48% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
43% 50% 100%2/2 2 O
Logan Stankoven SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
44% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
65% 30% 80%4/5 5 O
Frederik Andersen SV 21.5
o-115 / u-115
65% 70% 100%1/1 16 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 22, 2025 at TOR CAR 3–6 0–40–03–2 9 5.5 O TOR
Jan 9, 2025 at CAR CAR 6–3 2–22–12–0 9 5.5 O CAR
Mar 24, 2024 at CAR CAR 2–1 2–00–00–1 3 — CAR
Mar 16, 2024 at TOR CAR 5–4 SO 0–02–32–1 9 — CAR
Dec 30, 2023 at TOR CAR 3–2 1–01–01–2 5 — CAR
Mar 25, 2023 at CAR CAR 5–3 2–00–23–1 8 — CAR
Mar 17, 2023 at TOR CAR 2–5 1–31–10–1 7 — TOR
Nov 6, 2022 at CAR CAR 1–3 1–00–10–2 4 — TOR
Mar 17, 2022 at TOR CAR 2–3 0–10–12–1 5 — TOR
Feb 7, 2022 at TOR CAR 3–4 OT 1–00–22–1 7 — TOR