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FLA @ TOR

Wednesday, May 7, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -140 · TOR +120
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+160) · TOR +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 51%
45-43
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
51%
23-22
44%
4-5
47%
41-46-1
TORo5.5 55%
49-40
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
44%
20-25
44%
4-5
49%
42-43-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 39%
34-54
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
33%
15-30
44%
4-5
-9.37u
39-49
TOR+1.5 74%
66-23
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
71%
32-13
56%
5-4
+1.86u
45-43
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -140 58%
51-37
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
51%
23-22
56%
5-4
-6.94u
41-29
TOR dog +120 64%
57-32
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
67%
30-15
44%
4-5
+8.60u
16-11
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 FLA 26%
23-65
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
38%
17-28
11%
1-8
55%
48-40
 1.78 0.91 / 0.88
TOR 28%
25-64
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
22%
10-35
11%
1-8
51%
45-44
 1.73 0.91 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 FLA 30%
26-62
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
22%
10-35
22%
2-7
58%
51-37
 2.01 1.13 / 0.89
TOR 29%
26-63
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
20%
9-36
22%
2-7
57%
51-38
 2.07 1.20 / 0.87
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 FLA 28%
25-63
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
36%
16-29
33%
3-6
49%
39-40
 1.90 0.98 / 0.92
TOR 37%
33-56
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
40%
18-27
33%
3-6
55%
43-35
 2.10 1.02 / 1.08
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)16-5-27-4-2
Points %73.9%61.5%
Goals for / game4.092.77
Goals against / game2.433.23
Shots for / game28.224.9
Shots against / game27.027.8
Power play %25.3%21.6%
Penalty kill %86.4%81.6%
Faceoff %47.3%57.0%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.740.92 / 0.62
2nd period GF / GA1.17 / 0.700.69 / 1.08
3rd period GF / GA1.52 / 0.911.00 / 1.38
Avg game total6.526.00
Starting Goalies from the box score
16 saves on 20 shots · 4 GA · L
25 saves on 28 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1110281/2
TOR1210201/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+165
 33% 60% 0%0/6 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+210
 22% 50% 33%3/9 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+220
 32% 40% 71%5/7 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+150
 40% 30% 56%5/9 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+575
 13% 30% 22%2/9 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+350
 21% 30% 0%0/8 1 O
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+300
 27% 20% 28%5/18 1 O
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+210
 27% 20% 13%1/8 1 O
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+500
 16% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+750
 13% 10% 22%2/9 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+375
 17% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+475
 20% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 0% 11%1/9 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+1000
 12% 0% 0%0/13 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 49% 80% 56%5/9 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 62% 80% 67%4/6 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 58% 70% 72%13/18 1 O
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 69% 70% 63%5/8 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 45% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 56% 70% 86%6/7 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 60% 43%3/7 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 60% 67%6/9 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 50% 25%2/8 2 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 34% 40% 33%3/9 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 32% 40% 11%1/9 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 41% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 39% 50% 67%12/18 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 50% 63%5/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 45% 50% 33%3/9 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 40% 33%3/9 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 36% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 33% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 32% 40% 25%2/8 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 30% 11%1/9 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 19% 30% 11%1/9 0 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 65% 70% 71%5/7 1 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 65% 60% 57%4/7 0 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 71% 60% 44%4/9 3 O
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 75% 50% 78%14/18 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 55% 50% 33%3/9 1 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 50% 13%1/8 1 U
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 52% 50% 100%3/3 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 53% 50% 67%6/9 2 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 58% 50% 22%2/9 2 O
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 50% 63%5/8 3 O
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 48% 40% 83%5/6 3 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 23.5
o+100 / u-130
 50% 20% 29%2/7 16 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+130
 43% 50% 13%1/8 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+180
 38% 40% 44%4/9 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+145
 42% 40% 11%1/9 1 O
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+210
 33% 40% 38%3/8 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 11% 30% 13%1/8 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+900
 7% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+225
 26% 20% 38%3/8 1 O
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+375
 12% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+600
 10% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+525
 11% 10% 14%1/7 1 O
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 2% 10% 0%0/8 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+700
 4% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1400
 1% 0% 18%3/17 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+500
 21% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 74% 80% 25%2/8 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 64% 70% 44%4/9 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 53% 60% 38%3/8 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 50% 25%2/8 2 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 66% 40% 56%5/9 0 U
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 26% 40% 25%2/8 1 O
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 26% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 32% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 35% 30% 29%2/7 2 O
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 39% 30% 13%1/8 1 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 64% 80% 38%3/8 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 60% 44%4/9 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 49% 50% 25%2/8 1 O
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 40% 25%2/8 1 O
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 19% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 31% 30% 38%3/8 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 39% 20% 11%1/9 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 20% 13%1/8 2 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 27% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 10% 40%2/5 1 O
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 57% 80% 33%1/3 1 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 65% 70% 50%3/6 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 60% 56%5/9 2 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 54% 60% 50%4/8 2 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 50% 50%4/8 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 40% 33%3/9 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 58% 40% 63%5/8 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 40% 63%5/8 3 U
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
 49% 70% 100%3/3 25 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 5, 2025 at TOR TOR 5–4 3–11–01–3 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 0–01–12–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–3 1–10–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA TOR 2–5 2–00–40–1 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR TOR 6–4 2–03–11–3 10 — TOR
Nov 28, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–1 SO 0–11–00–0 3 — TOR
Oct 19, 2023 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–21–00–1 4 — FLA
May 12, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — FLA