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TOR @ FLA

Friday, May 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Away
4 – 5
FINAL / OT
Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +170 · FLA -220
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-145) · FLA -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 56%
50-40
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
66%
29-15
50%
5-5
50%
43-43-3
FLAo5.5 52%
46-43
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
51%
22-21
50%
5-5
48%
42-46-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 74%
67-23
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
77%
34-10
60%
6-4
+2.34u
46-43
FLA-1.5 38%
34-55
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
44%
19-24
40%
4-6
-10.37u
39-50
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +170 64%
58-32
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
61%
27-17
50%
5-5
+9.80u
17-11
FLA fav -220 57%
51-38
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
65%
28-15
50%
5-5
-7.94u
41-30
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-132/u+104 TOR 28%
25-65
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
34%
15-29
10%
1-9
51%
46-44
 1.73 0.91 / 0.82
FLA 26%
23-66
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
14%
6-37
10%
1-9
55%
49-40
 1.79 0.91 / 0.88
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-168/u+132 TOR 30%
27-63
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
39%
17-27
30%
3-7
58%
52-38
 2.08 1.21 / 0.87
FLA 30%
27-62
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
37%
16-27
30%
3-7
58%
52-37
 2.02 1.12 / 0.90
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 TOR 37%
33-57
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
34%
15-29
30%
3-7
56%
44-35
 2.10 1.02 / 1.08
FLA 28%
25-64
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
21%
9-34
30%
3-7
50%
40-40
 1.90 0.98 / 0.92
Team Comparison '24-25
TORFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)7-4-216-5-2
Points %61.5%73.9%
Goals for / game2.774.09
Goals against / game3.232.43
Shots for / game24.928.2
Shots against / game27.827.0
Power play %21.6%25.3%
Penalty kill %81.6%86.4%
Faceoff %57.0%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.92 / 0.621.30 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA0.69 / 1.081.17 / 0.70
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.381.52 / 0.91
Avg game total6.006.52
Starting Goalies from the box score
31 saves on 36 shots · 5 GA · L
27 saves on 31 shots · 4 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2110311/4
FLA1301360/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 42% 40% 20%2/10 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+140
 43% 40% 11%1/9 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+230
 33% 40% 33%3/9 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+195
 37% 30% 40%4/10 2 O
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 11% 30% 11%1/9 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+240
 27% 30% 44%4/9 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+350
 14% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 20% 13%1/8 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+525
 12% 20% 25%2/8 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
 10% 10% 0%0/11 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+850
 9% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1500
 1% 0% 17%3/18 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+900
 8% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+525
 21% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 75% 90% 67%6/9 2 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 75% 80% 33%3/9 2 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 70% 50%5/10 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 60% 33%3/9 2 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 41% 50% 33%3/9 1 O
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 28% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 33% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 65% 30% 50%5/10 2 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 35% 30% 38%3/8 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 63% 70% 33%3/9 2 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 60% 40%4/10 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 49% 60% 33%3/9 2 O
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 21% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 30% 33%3/9 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 39% 20% 10%1/10 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 27% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 32% 20% 22%2/9 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 28% 20% 25%2/8 0 U
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 55% 70% 56%5/9 3 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 65% 60% 43%3/7 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 50% 50%5/10 6 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 50% 44%4/9 2 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 57% 40% 30%3/10 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 57% 40% 56%5/9 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 40% 56%5/9 3 U
Joseph Woll SV 27.5
o-105 / u-130
 41% 60% 75%3/4 31 O
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+150
 32% 50% 0%0/7 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+190
 22% 40% 30%3/10 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+195
 31% 40% 63%5/8 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+275
 28% 30% 32%6/19 1 O
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+180
 28% 30% 22%2/9 1 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+145
 40% 30% 50%5/10 1 O
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+300
 22% 30% 11%1/9 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1300
 8% 20% 0%0/8 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+475
 16% 20% 13%1/8 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+475
 13% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+850
 2% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 13% 0% 20%2/10 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 14%1/7 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+425
 17% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 10%1/10 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 69% 80% 67%6/9 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 80% 75%3/4 1 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 59% 70% 74%14/19 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 49% 70% 50%5/10 2 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 61% 70% 57%4/7 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 60% 50%4/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 66% 60% 60%6/10 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 60% 75%6/8 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 50% 33%3/9 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 30% 30%3/10 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 30% 10%1/10 2 O
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 50% 56%5/9 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 50% 30%3/10 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 50% 57%4/7 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 33% 50% 33%3/9 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 39% 40% 63%12/19 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 40% 30%3/10 1 O
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 40% 38%3/8 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 33% 30% 38%3/8 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 30% 10%1/10 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+400 / u-600
 19% 30% 10%1/10 2 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 64% 70% 63%5/8 0 U
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 53% 60% 100%4/4 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 71% 60% 50%5/10 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 76% 50% 79%15/19 1 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 55% 50% 30%3/10 3 O
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 64% 50% 50%4/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 52% 50% 60%6/10 6 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 58% 50% 30%3/10 5 O
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 50% 67%6/9 3 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 40% 11%1/9 4 O
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 49% 40% 86%6/7 1 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 21.5
o-130 / u+100
 61% 30% 63%5/8 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 7, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–4 1–11–21–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR FLA 4–5 1–30–13–1 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA FLA 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR FLA 2–3 0–01–11–2 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–2 1–12–00–1 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA FLA 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA FLA 5–2 0–24–01–0 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR FLA 4–6 0–21–33–1 10 — TOR
Nov 28, 2023 at TOR FLA 1–2 SO 1–00–10–0 3 — TOR
Oct 19, 2023 at FLA FLA 3–1 2–00–11–0 4 — FLA