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FLA @ TOR

Wednesday, May 14, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Away
6 – 1
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -135 · TOR +115
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+175) · TOR +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 52%
47-44
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
52%
24-22
50%
6-6
48%
43-47-1
TORo5.5 55%
51-41
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
46%
21-25
50%
6-6
50%
44-44-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 39%
35-56
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
33%
15-31
42%
5-7
-10.07u
40-51
TOR+1.5 74%
68-24
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
72%
33-13
58%
7-5
+2.03u
47-44
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -135 58%
53-38
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
50%
23-23
58%
7-5
-6.99u
43-30
TOR dog +115 63%
58-34
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
67%
31-15
42%
5-7
+7.80u
17-13
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-132/u+104 FLA 26%
24-67
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
37%
17-29
17%
2-10
55%
50-41
 1.79 0.91 / 0.88
TOR 28%
26-66
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
22%
10-36
17%
2-10
51%
47-45
 1.74 0.91 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 FLA 31%
28-63
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
24%
11-35
33%
4-8
58%
53-38
 2.02 1.13 / 0.89
TOR 30%
28-64
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
22%
10-36
33%
4-8
58%
53-39
 2.08 1.20 / 0.88
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 FLA 28%
25-66
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
35%
16-30
25%
3-9
49%
40-42
 1.88 0.97 / 0.91
TOR 36%
33-59
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
39%
18-28
25%
3-9
54%
44-37
 2.08 1.01 / 1.07
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)16-5-27-4-2
Points %73.9%61.5%
Goals for / game4.092.77
Goals against / game2.433.23
Shots for / game28.224.9
Shots against / game27.027.8
Power play %25.3%21.6%
Penalty kill %86.4%81.6%
Faceoff %47.3%57.0%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.740.92 / 0.62
2nd period GF / GA1.17 / 0.700.69 / 1.08
3rd period GF / GA1.52 / 0.911.00 / 1.38
Avg game total6.526.00
Starting Goalies from the box score
31 saves on 32 shots · 1 GA · W
20 saves on 25 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1320321/4
TOR0010320/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+210
 32% 50% 60%6/10 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+200
 23% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+150
 40% 40% 50%6/12 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+275
 29% 30% 33%7/21 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+190
 29% 30% 27%3/11 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+175
 31% 30% 0%0/9 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+325
 22% 30% 9%1/11 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+900
 8% 20% 0%0/10 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+575
 15% 20% 10%1/10 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+500
 12% 20% 17%2/12 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+600
 7% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+900
 11% 10% 11%1/9 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+2000
 5% 0% 0%0/10 1 O
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+800
 12% 0% 17%2/12 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% 11%1/9 1 O
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 0% 8%1/12 1 O
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+475
 12% 0% 0%0/14 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 48% 90% 83%5/6 2 O
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 70% 80% 73%8/11 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 59% 70% 71%15/21 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 50% 70% 58%7/12 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 57% 70% 80%8/10 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 62% 70% 67%6/9 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+145
 66% 60% 58%7/12 2 O
Nate Schmidt PTS 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 25% 40% 20%2/10 2 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 40% 40%4/10 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 40% 50%6/12 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 46% 40% 27%3/11 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 33% 20% 25%3/12 1 O
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 44% 80% 83%5/6 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 49% 60% 67%6/9 1 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 50% 55%6/11 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 50% 33%4/12 2 O
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 38% 40% 57%12/21 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 40% 33%4/12 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 32% 40% 27%3/11 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 30% 40%4/10 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 19% 30% 33%4/12 1 O
Nate Schmidt A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 17% 20% 20%2/10 2 O
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 20% 30%3/10 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 20% 20% 8%1/12 1 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 53% 60% 67%8/12 6 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 64% 60% 60%6/10 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 55% 60% 73%8/11 1 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 50% 27%3/11 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 64% 50% 50%5/10 3 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 53% 50% 83%5/6 6 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 70% 50% 42%5/12 0 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 74% 40% 71%15/21 1 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 40% 33%4/12 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-110
 48% 30% 67%6/9 2 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-135 / u+100
 60% 40% 70%7/10 31 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+200
 33% 50% 36%4/11 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+150
 38% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 12% 40% 18%2/11 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+135
 41% 40% 17%2/12 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+350
 13% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+900
 7% 20% 0%0/8 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+500
 12% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+240
 26% 20% 36%4/11 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+130
 42% 20% 9%1/11 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+500
 18% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 10% 10%1/10 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+800
 9% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 2% 10% 0%0/11 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
 10% 0% 0%0/13 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 1% 0% 15%3/20 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+500
 20% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 64% 80% 50%6/12 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 74% 70% 36%4/11 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 60% 36%4/11 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 52% 50% 36%4/11 0 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 29% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 65% 40% 50%6/12 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 32% 40% 38%3/8 0 U
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 26% 30% 27%3/11 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 35% 30% 30%3/10 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 39% 30% 18%2/11 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 70% 42%5/12 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 63% 70% 36%4/11 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 60% 36%4/11 0 U
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 22% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 30% 27%3/11 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 20% 8%1/12 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 20% 38%3/8 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 20% 18%2/11 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 27% 20% 20%2/10 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 20% 36%4/11 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 47% 70% 58%7/12 2 U
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 50% 17%1/6 1 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 45% 50% 46%5/11 0 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 57% 40% 33%4/12 6 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 40% 46%5/11 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 30% 40% 46%5/11 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 30% 46%5/11 6 O
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-130 / u+100
 50% 80% 83%5/6 20 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 11, 2025 at FLA TOR 0–2 0–10–00–1 2 5.5 U FLA
May 9, 2025 at FLA TOR 4–5 OT 2–11–31–0 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR TOR 4–3 1–12–11–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR TOR 5–4 3–11–01–3 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 0–01–12–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–3 1–10–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA TOR 2–5 2–00–40–1 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR TOR 6–4 2–03–11–3 10 — TOR