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TOR @ FLA

Friday, May 16, 2025 · 7:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Away
2 – 0
FINAL
Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +175 · FLA -225
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-145) · FLA -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 2 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 56%
52-41
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
65%
30-16
54%
7-6
51%
45-44-3
FLAo5.5 52%
48-44
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
51%
23-22
54%
7-6
48%
44-47-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 73%
68-25
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
76%
35-11
54%
7-6
+1.03u
47-45
FLA-1.5 39%
36-56
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
44%
20-25
46%
6-7
-8.32u
41-51
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +175 62%
58-35
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
59%
27-19
39%
5-8
+6.80u
17-14
FLA fav -225 59%
54-38
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
30-15
62%
8-5
-6.24u
44-30
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-110/u-120 FD 1.5 o-106/u-122 TOR 51%
47-46
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
59%
27-19
62%
8-5
51%
47-46
 1.73 0.90 / 0.83
FLA 54%
50-42
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
20-25
62%
8-5
54%
50-42
 1.78 0.91 / 0.87
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 TOR 65%
60-33
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
63%
29-17
62%
8-5
58%
54-39
 2.09 1.18 / 0.90
FLA 61%
56-36
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
69%
31-14
62%
8-5
59%
54-38
 2.03 1.15 / 0.88
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 TOR 66%
61-32
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
65%
30-16
54%
7-6
55%
45-37
 2.09 1.01 / 1.08
FLA 55%
51-41
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
53%
24-21
54%
7-6
49%
41-42
 1.89 0.98 / 0.91
Team Comparison '24-25
TORFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)7-4-216-5-2
Points %61.5%73.9%
Goals for / game2.774.09
Goals against / game3.232.43
Shots for / game24.928.2
Shots against / game27.827.0
Power play %21.6%25.3%
Penalty kill %81.6%86.4%
Faceoff %57.0%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.92 / 0.621.30 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA0.69 / 1.081.17 / 0.70
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.381.52 / 0.91
Avg game total6.006.52
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 22 shots · 0 GA · W
15 saves on 17 shots · 2 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0020170/2
FLA0000220/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 33% 40% 33%4/12 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+180
 37% 30% 39%5/13 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 12% 30% 17%2/12 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 41% 30% 15%2/13 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+450
 13% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+500
 12% 20% 18%2/11 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+155
 41% 20% 8%1/12 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 10% 9%1/11 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+275
 26% 10% 33%4/12 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 0%0/12 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+700
 10% 0% 0%0/14 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/12 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1400
 1% 0% 14%3/21 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 8% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+525
 20% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 70% 46%6/13 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 74% 70% 58%7/12 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 73% 60% 33%4/12 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 50% 33%4/12 0 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 28% 40% 57%4/7 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 35% 40% 36%4/11 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 40% 33%4/12 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 64% 30% 46%6/13 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 32% 30% 33%3/9 0 U
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 30% 25%3/12 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 40% 60% 39%5/13 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 62% 60% 33%4/12 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 49% 50% 33%4/12 0 U
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 22% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 26% 30% 25%3/12 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 28% 30% 27%3/11 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 26% 20% 33%3/9 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 20% 17%2/12 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 20% 33%4/12 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 37% 10% 8%1/13 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 56% 80% 67%8/12 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 60% 54%7/13 3 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 50% 39%5/13 1 U
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o+145 / u-195
 52% 40% 14%1/7 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 55% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 30% 50%6/12 4 O
Joseph Woll SV 27.5
o-105 / u-125
 42% 60% 71%5/7 22 U
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+200
 33% 60% 64%7/11 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+190
 23% 40% 39%5/13 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+175
 29% 30% 25%3/12 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+140
 39% 30% 46%6/13 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+300
 21% 30% 8%1/12 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+260
 28% 20% 32%7/22 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+900
 8% 20% 0%0/11 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+525
 15% 20% 9%1/11 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+525
 8% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+165
 31% 20% 0%0/10 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+475
 12% 20% 15%2/13 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1600
 6% 10% 9%1/11 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 20%2/10 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 15%2/13 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+750
 11% 10% 10%1/10 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 7%1/15 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+750
 2% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+800
 12% 0% 15%2/13 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 90% 86%6/7 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 80% 82%9/11 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 59% 70% 73%16/22 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 69% 70% 67%8/12 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+165
 63% 70% 70%7/10 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 50% 60% 54%7/13 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 66% 60% 62%8/13 0 U
Nate Schmidt PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 26% 50% 27%3/11 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 31% 50% 54%7/13 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 46% 50% 33%4/12 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 40% 36%4/11 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 33% 20% 31%4/13 0 U
Jesper Boqvist PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 24% 10% 13%2/15 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 45% 80% 86%6/7 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 60% 39%5/13 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 60% 70%7/10 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 38% 50% 59%13/22 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 33% 50% 33%4/12 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 40% 50%6/12 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 20% 40% 39%5/13 0 U
Nate Schmidt A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 18% 30% 27%3/11 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 30% 31%4/13 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 33% 30% 36%4/11 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 20% 27%3/11 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 21% 20% 15%2/13 0 U
Jesper Boqvist A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 13% 10% 13%2/15 0 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 54% 60% 69%9/13 1 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 60% 55%6/11 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 54% 60% 67%8/12 0 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 50% 25%3/12 2 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 64% 50% 55%6/11 0 U
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 50% 86%6/7 4 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 69% 50% 39%5/13 1 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 40% 31%4/13 4 O
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 73% 30% 68%15/22 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 20% 60%6/10 3 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-130 / u+100
 61% 50% 73%8/11 15 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 14, 2025 at TOR FLA 6–1 1–03–02–1 7 5.5 O FLA
May 11, 2025 at FLA FLA 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U FLA
May 9, 2025 at FLA FLA 5–4 OT 1–23–10–1 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–4 1–11–21–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR FLA 4–5 1–30–13–1 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA FLA 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR FLA 2–3 0–01–11–2 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–2 1–12–00–1 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA FLA 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA FLA 5–2 0–24–01–0 7 — FLA