← Stats / FLA @ BUF

FLA @ BUF

Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Away
0 – 3
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -150 · BUF +130
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+160) · BUF +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 33%
2-4
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
2-4
BUFo5.5 66%
54-28
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
68%
28-13
50%
2-2
61%
45-29-7
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 17%
1-5
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
-3.40u
1-5
BUF+1.5 62%
51-31
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
73%
30-11
50%
2-2
-8.23u
42-39
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -150 50%
3-3
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
-0.53u
3-2
BUF dog +130 44%
36-46
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
56%
23-18
25%
1-3
-2.60u
22-35
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-128/u+102 FLA 33%
2-4
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
2-4
 1.33 0.83 / 0.50
BUF 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
56%
23-18
50%
2-2
61%
50-32
 1.95 1.12 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-168/u+130 FLA 67%
4-2
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
67%
4-2
 1.83 0.83 / 1.00
BUF 74%
61-21
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
73%
30-11
100%
4-0
65%
53-29
 2.33 1.02 / 1.30
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 FLA 67%
4-2
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
4-2
 2.17 0.83 / 1.33
BUF 67%
55-27
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
66%
27-14
25%
1-3
49%
36-37
 2.35 1.05 / 1.30
Team Comparison '25-26
FLABUF
Record (W-L-OTL)40-38-450-23-9
Points %51.2%66.5%
Goals for / game3.063.51
Goals against / game3.372.94
Shots for / game28.028.1
Shots against / game26.829.1
Power play %19.5%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.0%81.9%
Faceoff %46.6%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.93 / 0.901.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA0.84 / 1.111.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.301.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.436.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
28 saves on 31 shots · 3 GA · L
BUF · Alex Lyon
32 saves on 32 shots · 0 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA0000320/7
BUF1200312/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+170
 50% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+250
 17% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+145
 33% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+250
 33% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+300
 17% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+575
 17% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+170
 17% 10% 100%3/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+750
 0% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+750
 17% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+650
 17% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+375
 0% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+550
 0% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1400
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 83% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 33% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 33% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 17% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 33% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 17% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 33% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 0% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 33% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 17% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 50% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 33% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 50% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 17% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 17% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 0% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 0% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 17% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 67% 70% 100%4/4 4 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 67% 60% 100%3/3 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 50% 33%1/3 4 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 50% 50% 0%0/4 1 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 50% 50% 0%0/4 7 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 33% 40% 75%3/4 4 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 50% 40% 33%1/3 3 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 33% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-130 / u+100
 63% 20% 100%1/1 28 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 38% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+250
 25% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 46% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 22% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+300
 14% 20% 0%0/1 2 O
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+575
 14% 20% — 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+300
 19% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1500
 7% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 9% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+300
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mason Geertsen G 0.5
o+1000
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 59% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 53% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+145
 65% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 37% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 33% 40% 0%0/1 2 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 31% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 41% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 29% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 35% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 21% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 27% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 35% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 33% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 45% 90% 0%0/1 6 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 56% 70% 67%2/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 51% 70% 50%2/4 4 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 71% 50% 100%2/2 3 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 40% 50%2/4 2 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+125 / u-170
 36% 40% 0%0/4 2 U
Alex Lyon SV 26.5
o-105 / u-125
 27% 60% — 32 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 12, 2025 at FLA BUF 2–3 SO 1–00–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Mar 8, 2025 at FLA BUF 0–4 0–10–20–1 4 6.5 U FLA
Oct 28, 2024 at BUF BUF 2–5 0–22–10–2 7 6 O FLA
Oct 12, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–2 2–12–11–0 7 6 O BUF
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 1–20–01–1 5 — FLA
Feb 15, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — FLA
Apr 4, 2023 at FLA BUF 1–2 1–10–00–1 3 — FLA
Feb 24, 2023 at FLA BUF 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — BUF
Jan 16, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–4 0–10–11–2 5 — FLA