← Stats / TOR @ BUF

TOR @ BUF

Friday, October 24, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
3 – 5
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR -125 · BUF +105
Puck Line
TOR -1.5 (+180) · BUF +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 71%
5-2
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
100%
1-0
67%
2-1
71%
5-2
BUFo6.5 14%
1-6
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
20%
1-4
67%
2-1
14%
1-6
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR-1.5 29%
2-5
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
0%
0-1
100%
3-0
-2.30u
2-5
BUF+1.5 43%
3-4
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
60%
3-2
0%
0-3
-1.32u
3-4
Moneyline
win %
 TOR fav -125 43%
3-4
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
0%
0-1
100%
3-0
-2.18u
3-4
BUF dog +105 43%
3-4
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
60%
3-2
0%
0-3
-1.75u
2-4
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 TOR 57%
4-3
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
100%
1-0
67%
2-1
57%
4-3
 1.57 1.14 / 0.43
BUF 29%
2-5
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
29%
2-5
 1.14 0.43 / 0.71
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 TOR 71%
5-2
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
100%
1-0
67%
2-1
57%
4-3
 2.43 0.71 / 1.71
BUF 57%
4-3
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
43%
3-4
 2.14 1.29 / 0.86
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+156/u-200 TOR 57%
4-3
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
100%
1-0
33%
1-2
57%
4-3
 2.71 1.43 / 1.29
BUF 43%
3-4
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
67%
4-2
 2.29 1.00 / 1.29
Team Comparison '25-26
TORBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1450-23-9
Points %47.6%66.5%
Goals for / game3.093.51
Goals against / game3.652.94
Shots for / game26.328.1
Shots against / game32.429.1
Power play %21.3%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.2%81.9%
Faceoff %54.3%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.991.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.736.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 30 shots · 5 GA · L
BUF · Alex Lyon
31 saves on 34 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2010341/4
BUF2210300/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+100
 43% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+175
 43% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+600
 50% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+150
 29% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+475
 14% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+260
 29% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+190
 29% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+750
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+475
 14% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+700
 10% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+400
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Dakota Mermis G 0.5
o+1600
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+475
 0% — — 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 71% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 71% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 43% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 14% 20% 33%1/3 1 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 29% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 86% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 57% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 43% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 43% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 29% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 14% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 86% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 50% 100%3/3 4 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 29% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 29% 30% 50%1/2 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 14% 20% 33%1/3 3 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 14% 20% 67%2/3 2 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 25.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 60% 100%1/1 25 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+185
 29% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+275
 43% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+350
 29% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+525
 33% 30% — 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+275
 29% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+200
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
 14% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+600
 0% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 17% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% — 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 33%1/3 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+260
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+575
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1750
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 57% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 57% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 43% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 43% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 43% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 31% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 29% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 33% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 29% 30% 33%1/3 2 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-240
 29% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 43% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 29% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 21% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 29% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 14% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 29% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 29% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 17% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 0% 0% 33%1/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 71% 70% 100%2/2 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 57% 60% 0%0/1 3 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 71% 60% 100%3/3 1 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 52% 60% 0%0/3 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-125
 57% 50% 33%1/3 5 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 43% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 43% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Alex Lyon SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 100% 70% — 31 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 15, 2025 at BUF BUF 0–4 0–00–10–3 4 6.5 U TOR
Dec 20, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–6 0–22–31–1 9 6 O TOR
Dec 15, 2024 at TOR BUF 3–5 2–11–30–1 8 6 O TOR
Mar 30, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–3 0–10–10–1 3 — TOR
Mar 6, 2024 at TOR BUF 1–2 OT 0–01–10–0 3 — TOR
Dec 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 9–3 3–23–13–0 12 — BUF
Nov 4, 2023 at TOR BUF 6–4 1–12–13–2 10 — BUF
Mar 13, 2023 at TOR BUF 4–3 0–01–23–1 7 — BUF
Feb 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–6 0–40–13–1 9 — TOR
Nov 19, 2022 at TOR BUF 2–5 0–31–11–1 7 — TOR