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CAR @ TOR

Sunday, November 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Away
5 – 4
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
CAR -130 · TOR +110
Puck Line
CAR -1.5 (+175) · TOR +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 CARo6.5 57%
8-6
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
25%
2-6
67%
2-1
57%
8-6
TORo6.5 87%
13-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
82%
9-2
67%
2-1
87%
13-2
Puck Line
cover %
 CAR-1.5 43%
6-8
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
38%
3-5
33%
1-2
+2.30u
8-6
TOR+1.5 67%
10-5
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
82%
9-2
67%
2-1
-4.90u
4-11
Moneyline
win %
 CAR fav -130 71%
10-4
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
5-3
33%
1-2
+2.78u
9-2
TOR dog +110 53%
8-7
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
64%
7-4
67%
2-1
-1.00u
0-1
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 CAR 57%
8-6
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
50%
4-4
67%
2-1
57%
8-6
 2.07 1.36 / 0.71
TOR 67%
10-5
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
55%
6-5
67%
2-1
67%
10-5
 1.93 0.93 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 CAR 57%
8-6
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
50%
4-4
33%
1-2
43%
6-8
 1.86 1.07 / 0.79
TOR 80%
12-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
73%
8-3
33%
1-2
67%
10-5
 2.47 0.93 / 1.53
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+134/u-172 CAR 64%
9-5
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
5-3
100%
3-0
43%
6-8
 2.43 1.21 / 1.21
TOR 73%
11-4
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
64%
7-4
100%
3-0
60%
9-6
 2.73 1.67 / 1.07
Team Comparison '25-26
CARTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)53-22-732-36-14
Points %68.9%47.6%
Goals for / game3.613.09
Goals against / game2.933.65
Shots for / game32.226.3
Shots against / game23.932.4
Power play %24.9%21.3%
Penalty kill %80.5%81.2%
Faceoff %50.3%54.3%
1st period GF / GA1.18 / 0.780.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA0.98 / 0.980.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.28 / 1.091.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.546.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
16 saves on 20 shots · 4 GA · W
42 saves on 47 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
CAR2120471/4
TOR3100201/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+150
 36% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+575
 50% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+185
 29% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+165
 50% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+300
 29% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+275
 29% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+425
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+220
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+600
 21% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Jesperi Kotkaniemi G 0.5
o+500
 17% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mike Reilly G 0.5
o+900
 9% 10% — 0 U
William Carrier G 0.5
o+650
 13% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
K'Andre Miller G 0.5
o+600
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+1000
 14% 10% — 0 U
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+400
 14% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Joel Nystrom G 0.5
o+1100
 0% — — 0 U
Charles Alexis Legault G 0.5
o+1100
 14% — — 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 86% 80% 67%2/3 1 O
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
K'Andre Miller PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 50% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 71% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 64% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 29% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 43% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 36% 50% 50%1/2 2 O
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 64% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
K'Andre Miller A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 36% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 43% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 14% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 14% 10% 67%2/3 1 O
K'Andre Miller SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 88% 80% 100%3/3 4 O
Sean Walker SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 57% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Logan Stankoven SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 79% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 71% 60% 100%3/3 3 O
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 50% 100%3/3 6 O
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 50% 50% 67%2/3 5 O
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 43% 40% 0%0/2 5 O
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 36% 40% 67%2/3 6 O
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 50% 40% 0%0/3 5 O
Brandon Bussi SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
 75% — — 16 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+150
 47% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
William Nylander G 0.5
o+135
 42% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+110
 47% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+275
 29% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+375
 29% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+550
 13% 20% — 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+180
 27% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+350
 20% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+650
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 DNP
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 73% 90% 67%2/3 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 73% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 57% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 58% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 67% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 50% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Robertson PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 43% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 83% 80% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 67% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 53% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 47% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 27% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Nick Robertson A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 29% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 29% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 13% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 80% 100%3/3 5 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-125 / u-105
 67% 70% 0%0/3 4 O
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 70% 67%2/3 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 60% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 43% 30% 0%0/3 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 17% 20% 33%1/3 3 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 27% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Dennis Hildeby SV 26.5
o-105 / u-125
 33% — — 42 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 13, 2025 at CAR TOR 4–1 1–01–02–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Feb 22, 2025 at TOR TOR 6–3 4–00–02–3 9 5.5 O TOR
Jan 9, 2025 at CAR TOR 3–6 2–21–20–2 9 5.5 O CAR
Mar 24, 2024 at CAR TOR 1–2 0–20–01–0 3 — CAR
Mar 16, 2024 at TOR TOR 4–5 SO 0–03–21–2 9 — CAR
Dec 30, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 0–10–12–1 5 — CAR
Mar 25, 2023 at CAR TOR 3–5 0–22–01–3 8 — CAR
Mar 17, 2023 at TOR TOR 5–2 3–11–11–0 7 — TOR
Nov 6, 2022 at CAR TOR 3–1 0–11–02–0 4 — TOR
Mar 17, 2022 at TOR TOR 3–2 1–01–01–2 5 — TOR