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← Stats / CAR @ BUF

CAR @ BUF

Sunday, November 23, 2025 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Away
1 – 4
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
CAR -190 · BUF +160
Puck Line
CAR -1.5 (+115) · BUF +1.5 (-145)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 CARo6.5 62%
13-8
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
42%
5-7
50%
2-2
62%
13-8
BUFo6.5 57%
12-9
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
46%
6-7
50%
2-2
57%
12-9
Puck Line
cover %
 CAR-1.5 33%
7-14
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
4-8
50%
2-2
-2.55u
9-12
BUF+1.5 57%
12-9
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
69%
9-4
50%
2-2
-5.46u
9-12
Moneyline
win %
 CAR fav -190 67%
14-7
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
8-4
50%
2-2
+2.01u
13-5
BUF dog +160 38%
8-13
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
54%
7-6
50%
2-2
-2.90u
5-9
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-168/u+130 CAR 86%
18-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
75%
9-3
75%
3-1
62%
13-8
 2.24 1.19 / 1.05
BUF 91%
19-2
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
85%
11-2
75%
3-1
52%
11-10
 1.90 0.86 / 1.05
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 2.5 o+146/u-190 CAR 91%
19-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
92%
11-1
100%
4-0
43%
9-12
 1.76 1.10 / 0.67
BUF 91%
19-2
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
85%
11-2
100%
4-0
52%
11-10
 2.14 1.19 / 0.95
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 CAR 95%
20-1
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
100%
12-0
100%
4-0
33%
7-14
 2.29 1.19 / 1.10
BUF 86%
18-3
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
77%
10-3
100%
4-0
40%
8-12
 2.38 1.05 / 1.33
Team Comparison '25-26
CARBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)53-22-750-23-9
Points %68.9%66.5%
Goals for / game3.613.51
Goals against / game2.932.94
Shots for / game32.228.1
Shots against / game23.929.1
Power play %24.9%19.5%
Penalty kill %80.5%81.9%
Faceoff %50.3%45.9%
1st period GF / GA1.18 / 0.781.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA0.98 / 0.981.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.28 / 1.091.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.546.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 20 shots · 3 GA · L
29 saves on 30 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
CAR1000301/4
BUF1210211/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+185
 19% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+145
 38% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+160
 29% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+150
 43% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+350
 24% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+650
 19% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+550
 33% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+275
 24% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+700
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere G 0.5
o+650
 8% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Jesperi Kotkaniemi G 0.5
o+500
 13% 10% 33%1/3 DNP
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+325
 24% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+550
 10% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
William Carrier G 0.5
o+600
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
K'Andre Miller G 0.5
o+650
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Joel Nystrom G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 62% 90% 100%2/2 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 76% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 38% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 48% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 62% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
K'Andre Miller PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 40% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 58% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
K'Andre Miller A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 33% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 24% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 43% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 33% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 33% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 24% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
K'Andre Miller SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 80% 80% 50%2/4 1 U
Logan Stankoven SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 76% 70% 75%3/4 4 O
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 60% 60%3/5 2 O
Sean Walker SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 52% 60% 25%1/4 2 U
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 48% 60% 25%1/4 5 O
Shayne Gostisbehere SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 42% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-110
 43% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 52% 50% 100%4/4 2 U
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 48% 40% 50%2/4 3 O
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 62% 30% 50%2/4 3 O
Frederik Andersen SV 22.5
o+100 / u-130
 36% 40% — 17 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+120
 48% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+275
 31% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+230
 33% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 21% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 19% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 19% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+275
 24% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+450
 15% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
 5% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 9% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 14% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+650
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+275
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 62% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 54% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 61% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 50% 100%4/4 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-240
 48% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 63% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 43% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 30% 100%4/4 2 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 29% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 63% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 31% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 43% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 33% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 24% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 24% 20% 75%3/4 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 71% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 62% 70% 0%0/4 6 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 71% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
 62% 50% 25%1/4 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 56% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 46% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
 35% 30% 50%1/2 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 8, 2025 at CAR BUF 3–6 1–10–22–3 9 6.5 O CAR
Apr 8, 2025 at BUF BUF 3–0 0–02–01–0 3 6.5 U BUF
Feb 27, 2025 at CAR BUF 2–5 1–30–11–1 7 6.5 O CAR
Jan 15, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–2 1–02–01–2 6 6 P BUF
Feb 25, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–2 SO 0–11–01–1 5 — BUF
Dec 2, 2023 at CAR BUF 2–6 0–20–32–1 8 — CAR
Nov 7, 2023 at CAR BUF 2–3 OT 0–11–01–1 5 — CAR
Apr 8, 2023 at BUF BUF 4–3 1–22–11–0 7 — BUF
Feb 1, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–5 1–30–00–2 6 — CAR
Nov 4, 2022 at CAR BUF 3–5 2–20–11–2 8 — CAR