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← Stats / TOR @ DET

TOR @ DET

Sunday, December 28, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL / OT
Detroit Red Wings
41-31-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +115 · DET -135
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-210) · DET -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · DET -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 60%
22-15
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
53%
8-7
50%
3-3
62%
23-14
DETo6.5 49%
19-20
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
45%
9-11
50%
3-3
54%
21-18
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 68%
25-12
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
40%
6-9
67%
4-2
-9.60u
14-23
DET-1.5 26%
10-29
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
30%
6-14
33%
2-4
-6.98u
18-21
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +115 46%
17-20
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
33%
5-10
50%
3-3
-2.03u
7-10
DET fav -135 56%
22-17
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
60%
12-8
50%
3-3
-0.25u
11-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 TOR 65%
24-13
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
73%
11-4
50%
3-3
65%
24-13
 1.92 1.00 / 0.92
DET 41%
16-23
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
45%
9-11
50%
3-3
41%
16-23
 1.31 0.56 / 0.74
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 TOR 70%
26-11
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
67%
10-5
83%
5-1
62%
23-14
 2.05 0.92 / 1.14
DET 77%
30-9
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
80%
16-4
83%
5-1
72%
28-11
 2.54 1.36 / 1.18
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 TOR 70%
26-11
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
93%
14-1
83%
5-1
49%
18-19
 2.49 1.27 / 1.22
DET 69%
27-12
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
75%
15-5
83%
5-1
62%
24-15
 2.31 1.05 / 1.26
Team Comparison '25-26
TORDET
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1441-31-10
Points %47.6%56.1%
Goals for / game3.092.94
Goals against / game3.653.15
Shots for / game26.328.2
Shots against / game32.427.7
Power play %21.3%22.6%
Penalty kill %81.2%77.1%
Faceoff %54.3%51.2%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.60 / 0.77
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.12 / 1.04
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.09 / 1.22
Avg game total6.736.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
33 saves on 36 shots · 3 GA · OTL
DET · Cam Talbot
25 saves on 27 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0110271/2
DET0111360/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+135
 44% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+300
 28% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+165
 35% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+650
 16% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+575
 21% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+650
 17% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 13% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+350
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+375
 9% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+500
 9% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 20% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+350
 19% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 21% 10% 33%2/6 1 O
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 40% 33%2/6 2 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 56% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 31% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 59% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 51% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 59% 30% 50%3/6 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 26% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 27% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 53% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 41% 20% 17%1/6 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 31% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 41% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 17% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 58% 80% 33%2/6 1 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 44% 50% 83%5/6 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 56% 40% 75%3/4 5 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 56% 30% 33%2/6 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 10% 17%1/6 3 O
Dennis Hildeby SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 78% 70% — 33 O
DETPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Dylan Larkin G 0.5
o+140
 44% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Patrick Kane G 0.5
o+240
 25% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Alex DeBrincat G 0.5
o+130
 39% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Emmitt Finnie G 0.5
o+275
 21% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Andrew Copp G 0.5
o+425
 10% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Moritz Seider G 0.5
o+450
 15% 20% 17%1/6 1 O
Axel Sandin-Pellikka G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Rasmussen G 0.5
o+500
 15% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Lucas Raymond G 0.5
o+195
 27% 10% 50%3/6 0 U
Simon Edvinsson G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 33%2/6 1 O
Nate Danielson G 0.5
o+500
 8% 10% — 0 U
Ben Chiarot G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
J.T. Compher G 0.5
o+450
 10% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Mason Appleton G 0.5
o+600
 7% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Albert Johansson G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Marco Kasper G 0.5
o+475
 5% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
John Leonard G 0.5
o+400
 33% — — 0 U
Patrick Kane PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 63% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Andrew Copp PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Lucas Raymond PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 70% 60% 83%5/6 1 O
Alex DeBrincat PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 62% 50% 67%4/6 0 U
Dylan Larkin PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 67% 40% 83%5/6 0 U
Moritz Seider PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 49% 40% 50%3/6 1 O
Emmitt Finnie PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Patrick Kane A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 50% 60% 50%3/6 0 U
Lucas Raymond A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 57% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Andrew Copp A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 31% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Alex DeBrincat A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 41% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Moritz Seider A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Emmitt Finnie A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 23% 10% 100%2/2 0 U
Dylan Larkin A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 33% 0% 50%3/6 0 U
Patrick Kane SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 60% 50%3/6 4 O
Emmitt Finnie SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 54% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Dylan Larkin SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+110
 67% 50% 67%4/6 1 U
Moritz Seider SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 44% 50% 33%2/6 3 O
Alex DeBrincat SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 40% 50%3/6 1 U
Lucas Raymond SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 30% 0%0/6 3 O
Cam Talbot SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 60% 20%1/5 25 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 13, 2025 at TOR DET 3–2 1–00–02–2 5 6.5 U DET
Oct 11, 2025 at DET DET 6–3 0–23–03–1 9 5.5 O DET
Apr 17, 2025 at TOR DET 3–4 OT 1–12–00–2 7 5.5 O TOR
Dec 27, 2024 at DET DET 2–5 0–30–22–0 7 5.5 O TOR
Dec 14, 2024 at DET DET 4–2 1–01–12–1 6 6 P DET
Nov 8, 2024 at TOR DET 1–3 0–11–10–1 4 6 U TOR
Apr 13, 2024 at TOR DET 5–4 OT 4–10–30–0 9 — DET
Jan 14, 2024 at TOR DET 4–2 0–01–23–0 6 — DET
Nov 17, 2023 at DET DET 2–3 0–02–00–3 5 — TOR
Apr 2, 2023 at TOR DET 5–2 3–10–02–1 7 — DET