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TOR @ NYR

Thursday, March 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
2 – 6
FINAL
New York Rangers
34-39-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +115 · NYR -135
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-230) · NYR -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · NYR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 66%
41-21
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
76%
22-7
25%
1-3
61%
37-24
NYRo5.5 45%
27-33
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
32%
9-19
25%
1-3
44%
26-33
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 66%
41-21
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
55%
16-13
75%
3-1
-17.72u
24-37
NYR-1.5 20%
12-48
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
4%
1-27
25%
1-3
-12.11u
28-31
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +115 44%
27-35
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
38%
11-18
75%
3-1
-5.03u
13-21
NYR fav -135 38%
23-37
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
25%
7-21
25%
1-3
-4.20u
11-12
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-112/u-112 TOR 23%
14-48
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
24%
7-22
25%
1-3
61%
38-24
 1.81 0.89 / 0.92
NYR 25%
15-45
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
18%
5-23
25%
1-3
50%
30-30
 1.78 0.78 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-156/u+124 TOR 40%
25-37
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
38%
11-18
25%
1-3
63%
39-23
 2.13 0.94 / 1.19
NYR 23%
14-46
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
25%
7-21
25%
1-3
55%
33-27
 1.78 0.77 / 1.02
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 TOR 45%
28-34
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
52%
15-14
25%
1-3
50%
31-31
 2.42 1.24 / 1.18
NYR 30%
18-42
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
25%
7-21
25%
1-3
53%
31-28
 1.98 0.97 / 1.02
Team Comparison '25-26
TORNYR
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1434-39-9
Points %47.6%47.0%
Goals for / game3.092.90
Goals against / game3.653.05
Shots for / game26.325.2
Shots against / game32.428.8
Power play %21.3%24.7%
Penalty kill %81.2%79.9%
Faceoff %54.3%54.6%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.82 / 0.95
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.230.95 / 0.96
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.02 / 1.02
Avg game total6.735.95
Starting Goalies from the box score
18 saves on 23 shots · 5 GA · L
30 saves on 32 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR1100320/1
NYR1140241/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 40% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+240
 24% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+195
 32% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+300
 20% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 14% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+375
 13% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+650
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+130
 39% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+425
 21% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+750
 15% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+425
 15% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Jacob Quillan G 0.5
o+750
 0% — — 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 64% 80% 75%3/4 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 70% 25%1/4 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+185
 71% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 43% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 50% 100%4/4 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 37% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 28% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 80% 25%1/4 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 56% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 28% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 32% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 40% 60% 50%2/4 2 U
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 37% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 49% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 47% 50% 25%1/4 2 U
Max Domi SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 42% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 40% 25%1/4 4 O
Joseph Woll SV 25.5
o-130 / u+100
 67% 70% — 18 U
NYRPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Mika Zibanejad G 0.5
o+135
 32% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Will Cuylle G 0.5
o+250
 20% 30% 25%1/4 2 O
Will Borgen G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Vladislav Gavrikov G 0.5
o+600
 17% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Taylor Raddysh G 0.5
o+450
 11% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Adam Edstrom G 0.5
o+650
 8% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alexis Lafrenière G 0.5
o+220
 20% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Adam Fox G 0.5
o+475
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Robertson G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Juuso Parssinen G 0.5
o+700
 14% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Tye Kartye G 0.5
o+550
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Gabe Perreault G 0.5
o+275
 11% 10% — 0 U
Jonny Brodzinski G 0.5
o+525
 10% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Sheary G 0.5
o+525
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Braden Schneider G 0.5
o+900
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Vincent Iorio G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% — 0 U
Noah Laba G 0.5
o+400
 11% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jaroslav Chmelar G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 1 O
Vladislav Gavrikov PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 32% 60% 0%0/3 1 O
Adam Fox PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 49% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Will Cuylle PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 40% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Alexis Lafrenière PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 37% 40% 25%1/4 3 O
Gabe Perreault PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 30% 20% — 0 U
Mika Zibanejad PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-240
 20% 0% 50%2/4 3 O
Vladislav Gavrikov A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 20% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Adam Fox A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 46% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Mika Zibanejad A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 39% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Alexis Lafrenière A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 28% 30% 0%0/4 2 O
Will Cuylle A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 25% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Gabe Perreault A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 22% 20% — 0 U
Vladislav Gavrikov SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 48% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Will Cuylle SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 37% 50% 50%2/4 5 O
Mika Zibanejad SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 29% 40% 0%0/4 2 U
Gabe Perreault SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 15% 30% — 1 U
Conor Sheary SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 43% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Adam Fox SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 30% 20% 0%0/3 1 U
Alexis Lafrenière SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 22% 20% 25%1/4 3 O
Igor Shesterkin SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 60% 25%1/4 30 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 16, 2025 at TOR NYR 1–2 OT 0–10–01–0 3 5.5 U TOR
Mar 20, 2025 at NYR NYR 3–4 1–21–21–0 7 5.5 O TOR
Feb 28, 2025 at NYR NYR 2–3 1–10–11–1 5 6.5 U TOR
Oct 19, 2024 at TOR NYR 4–1 1–01–02–1 5 6 U NYR
Mar 2, 2024 at TOR NYR 3–4 SO 1–01–21–1 7 — TOR
Dec 19, 2023 at TOR NYR 5–2 0–02–13–1 7 — NYR
Dec 12, 2023 at NYR NYR 3–7 1–42–00–3 10 — TOR
Apr 13, 2023 at NYR NYR 2–3 0–01–01–3 5 — TOR
Jan 25, 2023 at TOR NYR 2–3 OT 0–12–00–1 5 — TOR
Dec 15, 2022 at NYR NYR 3–1 1–11–01–0 4 — NYR