NHL Today
6:30 PM
EDM -140 15-3-3
PHI 5.5 6-10-6
7:00 PM
FLA 5.5 12-7-2
DAL -130 11-6-2
7:00 PM
CGY 6.5 9-10-1
ANA -150 10-9-1
8:00 PM
VAN 6.5 3-17-1
VGK -450 13-5-3
8:00 PM
NSH -170 11-4-5
SJS 6.5 9-11-2
← Models / Points Model — Pick History

Pick History

What's listed

Every over/under pick the points model made, at the Hard Rock line closest to even money, and how it graded. Live picks are the model's last prediction before puck drop. Backtest picks replay past seasons at Hard Rock's closing line, using only information from before each game.

Columns

  • Conf — the model's probability that the pick wins. Book — Hard Rock's de-vigged probability of the same side.
  • Units — result of a flat 1-unit bet at the listed price.

Tiers

Top, strong and lean are confidence bands; a toss-up is a player the model has almost no opinion on. The default view hides toss-ups.

Settlement

Overtime counts, shootouts don't, and a player who doesn't play is a void.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Record
20667-12503
0 void · 0 pending
Accuracy
62.3%
expected 62.2%
Book favorite, same picks
62.3%
always taking Hard Rock's favored side
Units
-1,634.44u
ROI -4.9% · flat 1u
DatePlayerGamePickTierPriceConfBook PointsResultUnits
2026-10-24 CBJ vs VGK OVER 0.5 Strong -185 61.4% 60.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NSH @ PIT OVER 0.5 Strong -170 61.3% 59.2% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 61.3% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-24 SEA vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 61.3% 61.1% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 CGY vs DET UNDER 0.5 Strong -175 61.3% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-24 NJD vs LAK UNDER 0.5 Strong -180 61.2% 60.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 CBJ vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 61.1% 60.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA UNDER 1.5 Strong -170 61.0% 59.2% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-24 VGK @ CBJ UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 61.0% 61.8% 0 W +0.51
2026-10-24 EDM vs TOR OVER 0.5 Lean -180 61.0% 60.2% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL OVER 0.5 Lean -175 60.9% 59.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 STL vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 60.6% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-10-24 EDM vs TOR UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 60.4% 60.4% 0 W +0.54
2026-10-24 WSH vs BUF UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 60.2% 60.9% 0 W +0.54
2026-10-24 STL vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 60.1% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 60.1% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-24 PIT vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 60.0% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-10-24 NYR @ OTT OVER 0.5 Lean -185 59.9% 60.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 VGK @ CBJ UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 59.9% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-10-24 DET @ CGY UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 59.8% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-24 TBL @ UTA UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 59.8% 59.2% 0 W +0.59
2026-10-24 SEA vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 59.8% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 59.6% 59.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 TBL @ UTA OVER 0.5 Lean -175 59.4% 59.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NYR @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 59.4% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-24 DET @ CGY OVER 0.5 Lean -165 59.4% 58.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NSH @ PIT UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 59.4% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-10-24 DET @ CGY OVER 0.5 Lean -165 59.3% 58.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NJD vs LAK OVER 0.5 Lean -170 59.2% 58.6% 1 W +0.59
2026-10-24 TBL @ UTA OVER 0.5 Lean -165 59.0% 58.4% 1 W +0.61
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 58.9% 59.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 STL vs CAR OVER 0.5 Lean -165 58.8% 58.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 PIT vs NSH OVER 0.5 Lean -150 58.6% 56.3% 1 W +0.67
2026-10-24 CAR @ STL OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.6% 57.5% 1 W +0.63
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 58.6% 57.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NJD vs LAK OVER 0.5 Lean -155 58.6% 57.2% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 TOR @ EDM OVER 0.5 Lean -165 58.5% 56.7% 2 W +0.61
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 58.4% 58.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 LAK @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 58.4% 56.7% 0 W +0.65
2026-10-24 NJD vs LAK UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 58.3% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-24 OTT vs NYR OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.2% 57.5% 4 W +0.63
2026-10-24 CAR @ STL OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.2% 57.5% 1 W +0.63
2026-10-24 NJD vs LAK UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 58.0% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-10-24 STL vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 57.9% 59.2% 0 W +0.59
2026-10-24 WSH vs BUF UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 57.8% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.7% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.6% 57.5% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-24 CBJ vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Lean -145 57.4% 55.4% 0 W +0.69
2026-10-24 TBL @ UTA UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 57.3% 56.7% 0 W +0.65
2026-10-24 NSH @ PIT OVER 0.5 Lean -145 57.3% 55.4% 1 W +0.69
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS UNDER 1.5 Lean -165 57.3% 58.4% 1 W +0.61
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.2% 55.8% 1 W +0.67
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH OVER 0.5 Lean -145 57.1% 55.4% 1 W +0.69
2026-10-24 SEA vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.1% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -145 57.1% 55.4% 0 W +0.69
2026-10-24 WSH vs BUF UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 57.1% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-24 VGK @ CBJ UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.1% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 57.0% 56.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 CGY vs DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -140 56.9% 54.5% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NSH @ PIT OVER 0.5 Lean -140 56.8% 54.5% 1 W +0.71
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.7% 57.5% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-24 PIT vs NSH OVER 0.5 Lean -150 56.7% 55.8% 1 W +0.67
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.6% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-24 SEA vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.4% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-24 LAK @ NJD OVER 0.5 Lean -155 56.4% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-10-24 TBL @ UTA UNDER 0.5 Lean -130 56.2% 53.1% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-23 MTL @ CHI OVER 0.5 Top -250 67.9% 67.1% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-23 MTL @ CHI OVER 0.5 Top -240 67.0% 66.0% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-23 MTL @ CHI UNDER 1.5 Strong -200 65.3% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-23 TBL @ COL OVER 0.5 Strong -195 64.6% 61.8% 1 W +0.51
2026-10-23 TBL @ COL OVER 0.5 Strong -180 63.2% 60.2% 2 W +0.56
2026-10-23 CHI vs MTL OVER 0.5 Strong -220 63.2% 62.3% 1 W +0.46
2026-10-23 COL vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 62.9% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-23 MTL @ CHI UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 62.7% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-23 COL vs TBL OVER 0.5 Strong -180 62.3% 60.2% 3 W +0.56
2026-10-23 TBL @ COL UNDER 0.5 Strong -170 62.2% 58.6% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-23 COL vs TBL OVER 0.5 Strong -200 61.6% 62.0% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-23 TBL @ COL UNDER 1.5 Strong -180 61.3% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-10-23 TBL @ COL UNDER 0.5 Strong -175 61.1% 59.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-23 MTL @ CHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -195 60.3% 61.8% 0 W +0.51
2026-10-23 COL vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 59.9% 59.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-23 COL vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 58.3% 56.7% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-23 COL vs TBL UNDER 1.5 Lean -155 57.8% 56.7% 4 L -1.00
2026-10-23 TBL @ COL UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.6% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-23 MTL @ CHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 57.2% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-10-23 COL vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 56.9% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-23 TBL @ COL UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.2% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-22 NYI vs LAK UNDER 0.5 Top -300 72.5% 70.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 CAR @ EDM UNDER 1.5 Top -250 70.5% 67.1% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-22 EDM vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -300 70.5% 69.9% 0 W +0.33
2026-10-22 PIT vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Top -300 69.2% 69.9% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 EDM vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -260 69.1% 67.7% 0 W +0.39
2026-10-22 NSH @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Top -260 68.9% 67.3% 0 W +0.39
2026-10-22 LAK @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Top -240 68.9% 66.4% 0 W +0.42
2026-10-22 DAL vs WPG OVER 0.5 Top -250 68.7% 66.7% 2 W +0.40
2026-10-22 PIT vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Top -300 68.6% 70.6% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-22 DET @ VAN UNDER 1.5 Top -240 68.3% 66.0% 1 W +0.42
2026-10-22 VGK @ STL UNDER 1.5 Top -225 68.3% 64.7% 1 W +0.44
2026-10-22 NJD vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Top -260 68.3% 67.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 FLA @ PIT UNDER 0.5 Top -230 68.2% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
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