NHL Today
6:30 PM
EDM -140 15-3-3
PHI 5.5 6-10-6
7:00 PM
FLA 5.5 12-7-2
DAL -130 11-6-2
7:00 PM
CGY 6.5 9-10-1
ANA -150 10-9-1
8:00 PM
VAN 6.5 3-17-1
VGK -450 13-5-3
8:00 PM
NSH -170 11-4-5
SJS 6.5 9-11-2
← Models / Points Model — Pick History

Pick History

What's listed

Every over/under pick the points model made, at the Hard Rock line closest to even money, and how it graded. Live picks are the model's last prediction before puck drop. Backtest picks replay past seasons at Hard Rock's closing line, using only information from before each game.

Columns

  • Conf — the model's probability that the pick wins. Book — Hard Rock's de-vigged probability of the same side.
  • Units — result of a flat 1-unit bet at the listed price.

Tiers

Top, strong and lean are confidence bands; a toss-up is a player the model has almost no opinion on. The default view hides toss-ups.

Settlement

Overtime counts, shootouts don't, and a player who doesn't play is a void.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Record
20667-12503
0 void · 0 pending
Accuracy
62.3%
expected 62.2%
Book favorite, same picks
62.3%
always taking Hard Rock's favored side
Units
-1,634.44u
ROI -4.9% · flat 1u
DatePlayerGamePickTierPriceConfBook PointsResultUnits
2026-11-05 EDM vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Strong -230 64.6% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-05 CHI @ TBL UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 64.6% 61.1% 0 W +0.53
2026-11-05 DET vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 64.5% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-11-05 UTA @ MTL OVER 0.5 Strong -190 64.5% 61.6% 1 W +0.53
2026-11-05 NYR vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 64.4% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-11-05 CHI @ TBL UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 64.3% 61.1% 0 W +0.53
2026-11-05 DAL @ CBJ UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 64.2% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-11-05 VAN @ WPG UNDER 0.5 Strong -260 64.2% 67.3% 0 W +0.39
2026-11-05 DAL @ CBJ OVER 0.5 Strong -200 64.0% 62.5% 1 W +0.50
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 63.7% 63.3% 0 W +0.48
2026-11-05 BOS @ PIT UNDER 1.5 Strong -220 63.6% 64.1% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 63.6% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-11-05 CHI @ TBL UNDER 0.5 Strong -170 63.4% 59.2% 0 W +0.59
2026-11-05 STL @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 63.2% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NJD vs STL UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 63.2% 62.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 PHI @ NYR UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 63.1% 60.9% 0 W +0.54
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET OVER 0.5 Strong -190 63.0% 61.1% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 PIT vs BOS OVER 0.5 Strong -185 62.9% 60.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 EDM vs ANA UNDER 1.5 Strong -200 62.8% 62.5% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CBJ vs DAL UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 62.7% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-11-05 PHI @ NYR UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 62.7% 61.1% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN UNDER 0.5 Strong -180 62.6% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-05 EDM vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 62.5% 61.1% 0 W +0.53
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI UNDER 0.5 Strong -240 62.3% 66.0% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN OVER 0.5 Strong -175 62.1% 59.4% 1 W +0.57
2026-11-05 ANA @ EDM UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 62.1% 60.9% 0 W +0.54
2026-11-05 DET vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 62.1% 61.1% 0 W +0.53
2026-11-05 PHI @ NYR UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 62.0% 60.9% 0 W +0.54
2026-11-05 NJD vs STL OVER 0.5 Strong -185 61.9% 60.9% 2 W +0.54
2026-11-05 NYR vs PHI OVER 0.5 Strong -190 61.9% 61.1% 1 W +0.53
2026-11-05 UTA @ MTL UNDER 0.5 Strong -180 61.8% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN UNDER 1.5 Strong -195 61.6% 61.8% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 61.4% 61.8% 0 W +0.51
2026-11-05 PHI @ NYR UNDER 0.5 Strong -165 61.4% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VAN @ WPG UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 61.3% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NJD vs STL UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 61.3% 61.6% 3 L -1.00
2026-11-05 EDM vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 61.1% 60.9% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CHI @ TBL UNDER 0.5 Strong -150 61.1% 56.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 STL @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 61.0% 60.9% 0 W +0.54
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI UNDER 1.5 Lean -200 61.0% 62.0% 1 W +0.50
2026-11-05 NYR vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 60.9% 60.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET OVER 0.5 Lean -190 60.9% 61.1% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN UNDER 1.5 Lean -185 60.8% 60.9% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 MTL vs UTA UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 60.8% 60.4% 0 W +0.54
2026-11-05 CAR @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 60.7% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-05 NYI vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 60.7% 60.9% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI OVER 0.5 Lean -175 60.7% 58.9% 1 W +0.57
2026-11-05 UTA @ MTL UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 60.6% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-11-05 NJD vs STL UNDER 1.5 Lean -165 60.6% 58.4% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NYR vs PHI OVER 0.5 Lean -175 60.5% 59.4% 2 W +0.57
2026-11-05 PHI @ NYR UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 60.4% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-11-05 MTL vs UTA UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 60.3% 60.2% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 60.1% 59.2% 0 W +0.59
2026-11-05 PIT vs BOS OVER 0.5 Lean -160 59.8% 57.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 ANA @ EDM OVER 0.5 Lean -170 59.8% 58.6% 2 W +0.59
2026-11-05 UTA @ MTL UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 59.7% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-11-05 EDM vs ANA OVER 0.5 Lean -160 59.4% 57.5% 2 W +0.63
2026-11-05 CBJ vs DAL UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 59.4% 57.8% 0 W +0.61
2026-11-05 NYR vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 59.4% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-11-05 PIT vs BOS UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 59.2% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-11-05 BOS @ PIT UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 59.2% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-05 MTL vs UTA OVER 0.5 Lean -160 59.2% 57.5% 1 W +0.63
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI UNDER 1.5 Lean -180 59.0% 60.2% 1 W +0.56
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN OVER 0.5 Lean -160 59.0% 57.5% 1 W +0.63
2026-11-05 STL @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 58.9% 59.2% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NYI vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 58.9% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN OVER 0.5 Lean -155 58.8% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 58.6% 60.2% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NYR vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 58.6% 56.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 58.6% 57.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CAR @ NYI OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.5% 57.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 BOS @ PIT UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 58.4% 59.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 DET vs VGK OVER 0.5 Lean -165 58.3% 57.8% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 BOS @ PIT OVER 0.5 Lean -170 58.2% 56.9% 2 W +0.59
2026-11-05 PIT vs BOS OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.1% 56.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 ANA @ EDM OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.1% 57.5% 2 W +0.63
2026-11-05 CAR @ NYI OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.0% 57.5% 2 W +0.63
2026-11-05 NJD vs STL UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 57.9% 58.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NJD vs STL OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.8% 56.3% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 57.8% 54.9% 0 W +0.57
2026-11-05 NJD vs STL UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.7% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-11-05 NSH @ COL UNDER 0.5 Lean -145 57.6% 55.4% 0 W +0.69
2026-11-05 MTL vs UTA OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.6% 55.8% 2 W +0.67
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.6% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -200 57.5% 56.0% 0 W +0.50
2026-11-05 VAN @ WPG UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.5% 57.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 UTA @ MTL OVER 0.5 Lean -145 57.5% 55.4% 1 W +0.69
2026-11-05 DAL @ CBJ OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.4% 55.8% 1 W +0.67
2026-11-05 BOS @ PIT UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.4% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-11-05 UTA @ MTL OVER 0.5 Lean -145 57.3% 55.4% 4 W +0.69
2026-11-05 STL @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 57.1% 56.7% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.0% 55.8% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CBJ vs DAL OVER 0.5 Lean -155 57.0% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-11-05 CAR @ NYI OVER 0.5 Lean -150 56.9% 56.3% 1 W +0.67
2026-11-05 NSH @ COL OVER 0.5 Lean -145 56.9% 55.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 BOS @ PIT OVER 0.5 Lean -145 56.8% 55.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 56.6% 56.7% 0 W +0.65
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH OVER 0.5 Lean -155 56.6% 54.3% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CBJ vs DAL UNDER 0.5 Lean -145 56.4% 55.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.3% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
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