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← Stats / TOR @ TBL

TOR @ TBL

Saturday, November 30, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
5 – 3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR -150 · TBL +130
Puck Line
TOR -1.5 (+155) · TBL +1.5 (-200)
Total
O 6 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · TBL +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6
 TORo6 41%
7-10-5
50%
2-2-1
22%
2-7-1
67%
4-2-3
80%
4-1
40%
8-12-2
TBLo6 50%
10-10-2
75%
3-1-1
33%
3-6-1
33%
3-6-2
80%
4-1
48%
10-11-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR-1.5 46%
10-12
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
22%
2-7
20%
1-4
+5.99u
13-9
TBL+1.5 77%
17-5
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
82%
9-2
80%
4-1
-2.98u
9-13
Moneyline
win %
 TOR fav -150 59%
13-9
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
33%
3-6
60%
3-2
-0.78u
10-7
TBL dog +130 55%
12-10
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
64%
7-4
40%
2-3
+0.60u
4-4
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-116/u-110 TOR 46%
10-12
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
67%
6-3
100%
5-0
46%
10-12
 1.59 0.77 / 0.82
TBL 50%
11-11
80%
4-1
40%
4-6
46%
5-6
100%
5-0
50%
11-11
 2.00 1.27 / 0.73
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 TOR 73%
16-6
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
67%
6-3
80%
4-1
68%
15-7
 2.18 1.27 / 0.91
TBL 50%
11-11
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
36%
4-7
80%
4-1
50%
11-11
 2.23 1.09 / 1.14
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-210/u+160 TOR 59%
13-9
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
56%
5-4
60%
3-2
33%
5-10
 1.59 0.82 / 0.77
TBL 77%
17-5
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
73%
8-3
60%
3-2
31%
5-11
 2.41 1.27 / 1.14
Team Comparison '24-25
TORTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-447-27-8
Points %65.9%62.2%
Goals for / game3.273.59
Goals against / game2.822.67
Shots for / game28.028.5
Shots against / game29.328.2
Power play %24.8%25.9%
Penalty kill %77.9%81.6%
Faceoff %53.7%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.841.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.891.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.18 / 0.91
Avg game total6.096.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
TOR · Joseph Woll
38 saves on 41 shots · 3 GA · W
24 saves on 28 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR1310290/1
TBL0030411/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+125
 50% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+200
 36% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o-105
 39% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+190
 29% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+275
 40% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Alex Nylander G 0.5
o+575
 25% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+575
 18% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 14% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+475
 5% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+500
 5% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Fraser Minten G 0.5
o+500
 0% — — 0 U
Nikita Grebenkin G 0.5
o+700
 0% — — 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 73% 90% 50%2/4 2 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 55% 70% 80%4/5 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+105
 67% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 55% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 23% 30% 20%1/5 2 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 59% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 43% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 32% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 20% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
William Nylander SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 50% 80%4/5 4 O
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 50% 50%2/4 4 O
John Tavares SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-180
 48% 40% 60%3/5 3 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 60% 40% 80%4/5 2 O
Auston Matthews SOG 4.5
o+120 / u-160
 39% 30% 80%4/5 2 U
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-105 / u-125
 14% 20% 0%0/1 38 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
No lines.
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 21, 2024 at TOR TBL 2–5 1–10–41–0 7 6.5 O TOR
Apr 17, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–4 2–13–01–3 10 — TBL
Apr 3, 2024 at TOR TBL 4–1 1–12–01–0 5 — TBL
Nov 6, 2023 at TOR TBL 5–6 OT 4–10–21–2 11 — TOR
Oct 21, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–4 OT 3–10–00–2 7 — TOR
Apr 29, 2023 at TBL TBL 1–2 OT 0–00–11–0 3 — TOR
Apr 27, 2023 at TOR TBL 4–2 1–11–02–1 6 — TBL
Apr 24, 2023 at TBL TBL 4–5 OT 2–02–10–3 9 — TOR
Apr 22, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–4 OT 2–21–00–1 7 — TOR
Apr 20, 2023 at TOR TBL 2–7 0–31–31–1 9 — TOR