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← Stats / TOR @ TBL

TOR @ TBL

Wednesday, April 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
4 – 3
FINAL / OT
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +155 · TBL -185
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-165) · TBL -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 56%
43-34
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
68%
26-12
86%
6-1
49%
36-37-3
TBLo5.5 53%
41-36
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
54%
20-17
86%
6-1
45%
33-40-3
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 71%
55-22
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
74%
28-10
71%
5-2
+0.07u
37-39
TBL-1.5 46%
35-42
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
57%
21-16
29%
2-5
+12.27u
41-35
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +155 61%
47-30
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
58%
22-16
71%
5-2
+3.15u
11-10
TBL fav -185 58%
45-32
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
73%
27-10
29%
2-5
+4.90u
39-18
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-130/u+104 TOR 27%
21-56
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
34%
13-25
43%
3-4
51%
39-38
 1.75 0.88 / 0.87
TBL 26%
20-57
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
24%
9-28
43%
3-4
48%
37-40
 1.82 1.10 / 0.71
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 TOR 34%
26-51
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
45%
17-21
57%
4-3
61%
47-30
 2.21 1.29 / 0.92
TBL 40%
31-46
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
38%
14-23
57%
4-3
57%
44-33
 2.17 1.22 / 0.95
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 TOR 34%
26-51
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
29%
11-27
57%
4-3
51%
34-33
 2.05 0.99 / 1.06
TBL 31%
24-53
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
32%
12-25
57%
4-3
37%
26-44
 2.06 1.18 / 0.88
Team Comparison '24-25
TORTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-447-27-8
Points %65.9%62.2%
Goals for / game3.273.59
Goals against / game2.822.67
Shots for / game28.028.5
Shots against / game29.328.2
Power play %24.8%25.9%
Penalty kill %77.9%81.6%
Faceoff %53.7%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.841.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.891.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.18 / 0.91
Avg game total6.096.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 28 shots · 3 GA · W
27 saves on 31 shots · 4 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2011311/2
TBL1020282/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+185
 39% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+125
 44% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+175
 43% 30% 57%4/7 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+225
 25% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+550
 12% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+475
 19% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+350
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+240
 32% 20% 71%5/7 3 O
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+575
 11% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% — 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 3% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+525
 7% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+850
 9% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1400
 1% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+800
 8% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+2000
 1% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 69% 80% 83%5/6 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 72% 80% 67%4/6 3 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 74% 70% 71%5/7 3 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 64% 50% 86%6/7 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 50% 71%5/7 3 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 39% 20% 67%4/6 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 62% 70% 67%4/6 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 48% 60% 43%3/7 3 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 40% 50%3/6 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 32% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 38% 30% 57%4/7 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 33% 20% 67%4/6 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 17% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 80% 86%6/7 6 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 50% 67%4/6 2 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 58% 50% 100%7/7 3 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 59% 50% 83%5/6 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 50% 86%6/7 2 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 63% 60% 100%1/1 25 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+125
 47% 60% 57%4/7 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+125
 41% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+165
 38% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 31% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+425
 16% 20% 33%2/6 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 22% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+275
 30% 20% 67%4/6 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+525
 19% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 11% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+350
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1500
 7% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+750
 3% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 70% 80% 71%5/7 2 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 72% 70% 86%6/7 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 46% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 54% 50% 100%6/6 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 43% 50% 67%4/6 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 47% 40% 0%0/6 1 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 48% 30% 67%4/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 67% 80% 100%6/6 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 49% 60% 71%5/7 2 O
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 37% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 40% 83%5/6 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 30% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 38% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 20% 0%0/6 1 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 23% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 60% 75%3/4 1 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 60% 83%5/6 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 60% 57%4/7 2 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 50% 83%5/6 2 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 64% 50% 83%5/6 5 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 40% 29%2/7 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 41% 20% 50%3/6 4 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-110 / u-125
 55% 50% 67%2/3 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 20, 2025 at TOR TBL 3–5 0–11–22–2 8 — TOR
Nov 30, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–5 0–10–33–1 8 6 O TOR
Oct 21, 2024 at TOR TBL 2–5 1–10–41–0 7 6.5 O TOR
Apr 17, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–4 2–13–01–3 10 — TBL
Apr 3, 2024 at TOR TBL 4–1 1–12–01–0 5 — TBL
Nov 6, 2023 at TOR TBL 5–6 OT 4–10–21–2 11 — TOR
Oct 21, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–4 OT 3–10–00–2 7 — TOR
Apr 29, 2023 at TBL TBL 1–2 OT 0–00–11–0 3 — TOR
Apr 27, 2023 at TOR TBL 4–2 1–11–02–1 6 — TBL
Apr 24, 2023 at TBL TBL 4–5 OT 2–02–10–3 9 — TOR