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TOR @ FLA

Sunday, May 11, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Away
0 – 2
FINAL
Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +165 · FLA -200
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-165) · FLA -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 2 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 56%
51-40
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
30-15
55%
6-5
51%
44-43-3
FLAo5.5 52%
47-43
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
52%
23-21
55%
6-5
48%
43-46-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 75%
68-23
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
78%
35-10
64%
7-4
+3.03u
47-43
FLA-1.5 38%
34-56
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
19-25
36%
4-7
-11.37u
39-51
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +165 64%
58-33
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
60%
27-18
46%
5-6
+8.80u
17-12
FLA fav -200 58%
52-38
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
66%
29-15
55%
6-5
-7.49u
42-30
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 TOR 85%
77-14
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
87%
39-6
91%
10-1
52%
47-44
 1.75 0.92 / 0.82
FLA 82%
74-16
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
82%
36-8
91%
10-1
56%
50-40
 1.80 0.91 / 0.89
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 TOR 90%
82-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
91%
41-4
100%
11-0
58%
53-38
 2.10 1.21 / 0.89
FLA 90%
81-9
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
93%
41-3
100%
11-0
59%
53-37
 2.04 1.14 / 0.90
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 TOR 90%
82-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
91%
41-4
91%
10-1
55%
44-36
 2.09 1.02 / 1.07
FLA 90%
81-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
93%
41-3
91%
10-1
49%
40-41
 1.89 0.97 / 0.92
Team Comparison '24-25
TORFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)7-4-216-5-2
Points %61.5%73.9%
Goals for / game2.774.09
Goals against / game3.232.43
Shots for / game24.928.2
Shots against / game27.827.0
Power play %21.6%25.3%
Penalty kill %81.6%86.4%
Faceoff %57.0%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.92 / 0.621.30 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA0.69 / 1.081.17 / 0.70
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.381.52 / 0.91
Avg game total6.006.52
Starting Goalies from the box score
35 saves on 37 shots · 2 GA · L
23 saves on 23 shots · 0 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0000230/3
FLA1010371/6
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+210
 33% 50% 40%4/10 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+175
 38% 40% 46%5/11 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 12% 40% 20%2/10 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+145
 42% 40% 18%2/11 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+140
 42% 30% 10%1/10 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+375
 14% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 20% 11%1/9 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+550
 12% 20% 22%2/9 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+250
 27% 20% 40%4/10 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+700
 10% 10% 0%0/12 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+800
 4% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1500
 1% 0% 16%3/19 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 9% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+550
 21% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 76% 90% 70%7/10 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 65% 80% 55%6/11 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 75% 80% 40%4/10 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 60% 40%4/10 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 60% 40%4/10 0 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 30% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 66% 40% 55%6/11 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 33% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 35% 30% 33%3/9 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 80% 40%4/10 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 41% 70% 46%5/11 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 60% 40%4/10 0 U
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 23% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 31% 30% 40%4/10 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 20% 9%1/11 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 27% 20% 43%3/7 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 28% 20% 22%2/9 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 70% 60%6/10 3 O
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 60% 55%6/11 5 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-145
 45% 50% 50%5/10 1 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 57% 40% 50%5/10 0 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 30% 27%3/11 4 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 30% 50%5/10 3 U
Joseph Woll SV 27.5
o-120 / u-110
 42% 60% 80%4/5 35 O
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+200
 23% 40% 36%4/11 1 O
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+175
 29% 40% 30%3/10 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+145
 40% 40% 55%6/11 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+220
 31% 40% 56%5/9 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+160
 32% 40% 0%0/8 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+260
 29% 30% 35%7/20 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+325
 22% 30% 10%1/10 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 20% 0%0/9 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+500
 16% 20% 11%1/9 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+475
 13% 20% 18%2/11 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+800
 12% 10% 13%1/8 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+900
 2% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 13% 0% 18%2/11 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 13%1/8 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+350
 17% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 9%1/11 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 47% 90% 80%4/5 1 O
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 69% 80% 70%7/10 1 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 60% 70% 75%15/20 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 49% 70% 55%6/11 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 70% 64%7/11 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-120
 56% 70% 78%7/9 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 62% 70% 63%5/8 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 48% 50% 44%4/9 0 U
Nate Schmidt PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 25% 40% 22%2/9 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 31% 40% 55%6/11 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 46% 40% 30%3/10 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov PTS 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 21% 30% 22%2/9 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 32% 30% 18%2/11 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 20% 27%3/11 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 43% 80% 80%4/5 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 60% 36%4/11 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 60% 63%5/8 1 O
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 38% 40% 60%12/20 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 40% 36%4/11 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 40% 50%5/10 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 40% 44%4/9 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 32% 40% 30%3/10 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov A 0.5
o+375 / u-600
 15% 30% 22%2/9 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 37% 30% 33%3/9 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 20% 30% 18%2/11 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 19% 30% 36%4/11 0 U
Nate Schmidt A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 17% 20% 22%2/9 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 21% 20% 9%1/11 0 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 60% 56%5/9 4 O
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 75% 50% 75%15/20 1 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 50% 36%4/11 2 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 41% 50% 20%2/10 5 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 52% 50% 80%4/5 2 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 53% 50% 64%7/11 7 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 71% 50% 46%5/11 1 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 50% 36%4/11 2 O
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 54% 50% 70%7/10 4 O
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 63% 40% 44%4/9 2 O
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 48% 40% 75%6/8 0 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-110 / u-120
 60% 30% 67%6/9 23 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 9, 2025 at FLA FLA 5–4 OT 1–23–10–1 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–4 1–11–21–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR FLA 4–5 1–30–13–1 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA FLA 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR FLA 2–3 0–01–11–2 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–2 1–12–00–1 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA FLA 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA FLA 5–2 0–24–01–0 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR FLA 4–6 0–21–33–1 10 — TOR
Nov 28, 2023 at TOR FLA 1–2 SO 1–00–10–0 3 — TOR