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BUF @ TOR

Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL / OT
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +130 · TOR -150
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-185) · TOR -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 25%
2-6
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
0%
0-2
75%
3-1
25%
2-6
TORo6.5 75%
6-2
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
4-2
75%
3-1
75%
6-2
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 50%
4-4
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
0%
0-2
25%
1-3
-0.92u
4-4
TOR-1.5 25%
2-6
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
2-4
75%
3-1
-3.30u
2-6
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +130 50%
4-4
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
0%
0-2
25%
1-3
-0.70u
3-4
TOR fav -150 38%
3-5
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
3-3
75%
3-1
-3.18u
3-5
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-160/u+126 BUF 38%
3-5
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
0%
0-2
75%
3-1
38%
3-5
 1.50 0.63 / 0.88
TOR 63%
5-3
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
50%
3-3
75%
3-1
63%
5-3
 1.88 1.25 / 0.63
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 2.5 o+150/u-196 BUF 25%
2-6
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
0%
0-2
50%
2-2
50%
4-4
 2.13 1.38 / 0.75
TOR 50%
4-4
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
3-3
50%
2-2
63%
5-3
 2.38 0.63 / 1.75
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+132/u-168 BUF 38%
3-5
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
57%
4-3
 2.25 1.00 / 1.25
TOR 50%
4-4
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
50%
3-3
25%
1-3
50%
4-4
 2.63 1.38 / 1.25
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-932-36-14
Points %66.5%47.6%
Goals for / game3.513.09
Goals against / game2.943.65
Shots for / game28.126.3
Shots against / game29.132.4
Power play %19.5%21.3%
Penalty kill %81.9%81.2%
Faceoff %45.9%54.3%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.880.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.456.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 23 shots · 4 GA · OTL
23 saves on 26 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1110261/4
TOR1111230/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 38% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 38% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+375
 25% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+300
 38% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+140
 25% 20% 25%1/4 2 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 13% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1300
 17% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+600
 0% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+225
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+275
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+800
 0% — — 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2000
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 63% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 50% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 80% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 38% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 38% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 43% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 38% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 50% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 63% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 80% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 38% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 25% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 38% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 13% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 25% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 13% 10% 50%2/4 1 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 60% 50%2/4 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 63% 60% 50%2/4 5 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 63% 60% 67%2/3 2 U
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 63% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 60% 75%3/4 1 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 80% 60% 25%1/4 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 38% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+100
 50% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+160
 38% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+600
 43% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+135
 38% 30% 50%2/4 DNP
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+550
 29% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+425
 13% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+275
 25% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+180
 25% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+750
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+475
 13% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+525
 13% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+700
 0% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+375
 0% 10% 100%3/3 1 O
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Dakota Mermis G 0.5
o+1600
 0% — 0%0/2 DNP
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 63% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 63% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 57% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 63% 50% 25%1/4 DNP
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 13% 20% 25%1/4 1 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 75% 60% 50%2/4 DNP
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 50% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 50% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 43% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 25% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 13% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-220 / u+160
 88% 80% 75%3/4 1 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 71% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-130 / u+100
 63% 60% 100%4/4 2 U
Bobby McMann SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 25% 30% 50%2/4 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 25% 20% 50%2/4 5 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 13% 20% 50%2/4 DNP
Cayden Primeau SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 29% — 0%0/1 23 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 24, 2025 at BUF TOR 3–5 2–20–21–1 8 6.5 O BUF
Apr 15, 2025 at BUF TOR 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 6.5 U TOR
Dec 20, 2024 at BUF TOR 6–3 2–03–21–1 9 6 O TOR
Dec 15, 2024 at TOR TOR 5–3 1–23–11–0 8 6 O TOR
Mar 30, 2024 at BUF TOR 3–0 1–01–01–0 3 — TOR
Mar 6, 2024 at TOR TOR 2–1 OT 0–01–10–0 3 — TOR
Dec 21, 2023 at BUF TOR 3–9 2–31–30–3 12 — BUF
Nov 4, 2023 at TOR TOR 4–6 1–11–22–3 10 — BUF
Mar 13, 2023 at TOR TOR 3–4 0–02–11–3 7 — BUF
Feb 21, 2023 at BUF TOR 6–3 4–01–01–3 9 — TOR