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← Stats / TBL @ TOR

TBL @ TOR

Monday, December 8, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
0 – 2
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -125 · TOR +105
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+175) · TOR +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 6.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 2 → OVER L · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 39%
11-17
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
39%
5-8
100%
4-0
46%
13-15
TORo6.5 64%
18-10
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
69%
11-5
100%
4-0
68%
19-9
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 36%
10-18
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
54%
7-6
0%
0-4
-4.51u
13-15
TOR+1.5 71%
20-8
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
88%
14-2
100%
4-0
-6.07u
11-17
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -125 57%
16-12
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
62%
8-5
0%
0-4
-2.17u
11-9
TOR dog +105 46%
13-15
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
8-8
100%
4-0
-0.18u
5-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-154/u+120 TBL 89%
25-3
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
92%
12-1
100%
4-0
50%
14-14
 1.93 1.18 / 0.75
TOR 89%
25-3
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
88%
14-2
100%
4-0
68%
19-9
 1.96 1.04 / 0.93
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 2.5 o+156/u-200 TBL 82%
23-5
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
92%
12-1
75%
3-1
32%
9-19
 1.57 0.75 / 0.82
TOR 89%
25-3
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
14-2
75%
3-1
64%
18-10
 2.21 0.96 / 1.25
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+140/u-180 TBL 93%
26-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
92%
12-1
100%
4-0
50%
14-14
 2.07 1.11 / 0.96
TOR 96%
27-1
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
94%
15-1
100%
4-0
39%
11-17
 2.25 1.25 / 1.00
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-632-36-14
Points %64.6%47.6%
Goals for / game3.543.09
Goals against / game2.823.65
Shots for / game28.126.3
Shots against / game26.732.4
Power play %20.7%21.3%
Penalty kill %82.6%81.2%
Faceoff %47.3%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.840.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.356.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 24 shots · 1 GA · L
29 saves on 29 shots · 0 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0000290/1
TOR1010250/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+165
 44% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+150
 40% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+160
 39% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 22% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+600
 14% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 29% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 19% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+400
 7% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+210
 14% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1100
 10% 10% — 0 U
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+650
 10% 10% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% — 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 68% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 63% 60% 100%4/4 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 67% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 56% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 29% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 43% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 63% 60% 100%4/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 44% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 29% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 21% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 64% 70% 25%1/4 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 60% 100%4/4 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-110
 50% 60% 100%4/4 4 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 3.5
o+125 / u-165
 52% 60% 50%2/4 1 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 40% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 40% 25%1/4 4 O
Jonas Johansson SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 67% 60% 0%0/1 23 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+125
 44% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+600
 30% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+160
 38% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+160
 39% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+700
 14% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+700
 15% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+650
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+220
 24% 20% 100%4/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+275
 15% 20% — 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+650
 22% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dakota Mermis G 0.5
o+1750
 10% 10% — 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 8% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+350
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 57% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 59% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 79% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 65% 60% 100%4/4 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 60% 100%4/4 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 64% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 40% 40% — 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 30% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 50% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 67% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 60% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 48% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 35% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 22% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 25% 20% — 1 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 64% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 52% 80% 50%2/4 3 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 70% 100%4/4 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 43% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 50% 50%2/4 8 O
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 45% 50% — 2 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 33% 40% 100%4/4 0 U
Max Domi SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 41% 30% 33%1/3 1 U
Dennis Hildeby SV 24.5
o-125 / u-105
 33% 60% — 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 9, 2025 at TBL TOR 4–3 OT 2–10–01–2 7 5.5 O TOR
Jan 20, 2025 at TOR TOR 5–3 1–02–12–2 8 — TOR
Nov 30, 2024 at TBL TOR 5–3 1–03–01–3 8 6 O TOR
Oct 21, 2024 at TOR TOR 5–2 1–14–00–1 7 6.5 O TOR
Apr 17, 2024 at TBL TOR 4–6 1–20–33–1 10 — TBL
Apr 3, 2024 at TOR TOR 1–4 1–10–20–1 5 — TBL
Nov 6, 2023 at TOR TOR 6–5 OT 1–42–02–1 11 — TOR
Oct 21, 2023 at TBL TOR 4–3 OT 1–30–02–0 7 — TOR
Apr 29, 2023 at TBL TOR 2–1 OT 0–01–00–1 3 — TOR
Apr 27, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–4 1–10–11–2 6 — TBL