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OTT @ TOR

Saturday, December 27, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Ottawa Senators
44-27-11 · Away
5 – 7
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
OTT -130 · TOR +110
Puck Line
OTT -1.5 (+175) · TOR +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 12 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 OTTo6.5 53%
19-17
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
63%
12-7
0%
0-3
58%
21-15
TORo6.5 58%
21-15
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
62%
13-8
0%
0-3
61%
22-14
Puck Line
cover %
 OTT-1.5 25%
9-27
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
21%
4-15
67%
2-1
-5.54u
16-20
TOR+1.5 67%
24-12
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
86%
18-3
33%
1-2
-10.03u
13-23
Moneyline
win %
 OTT fav -130 50%
18-18
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
53%
10-9
100%
3-0
-1.42u
13-10
TOR dog +110 44%
16-20
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
52%
11-10
0%
0-3
-3.13u
6-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 OTT 58%
21-15
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
58%
11-8
33%
1-2
58%
21-15
 1.86 1.06 / 0.81
TOR 64%
23-13
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
57%
12-9
33%
1-2
64%
23-13
 1.89 0.97 / 0.92
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-182/u+144 OTT 64%
23-13
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
84%
16-3
67%
2-1
58%
21-15
 2.22 1.06 / 1.17
TOR 69%
25-11
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
71%
15-6
67%
2-1
61%
22-14
 2.00 0.86 / 1.14
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+156/u-205 OTT 36%
13-23
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
42%
8-11
0%
0-3
56%
20-16
 2.08 1.06 / 1.03
TOR 44%
16-20
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
43%
9-12
0%
0-3
47%
17-19
 2.42 1.25 / 1.17
Team Comparison '25-26
OTTTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)44-27-1132-36-14
Points %60.4%47.6%
Goals for / game3.393.09
Goals against / game3.003.65
Shots for / game28.926.3
Shots against / game24.432.4
Power play %24.0%21.3%
Penalty kill %75.7%81.2%
Faceoff %54.2%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.95 / 0.890.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.980.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.21 / 1.001.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.396.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
10 saves on 14 shots · 4 GA
26 saves on 31 shots · 5 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
OTT1130310/1
TOR2320332/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+175
 39% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+210
 33% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+350
 19% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
David Perron G 0.5
o+350
 17% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+275
 22% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+145
 25% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+250
 28% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+700
 14% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+450
 19% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+425
 10% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+475
 19% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1200
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Jensen G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+650
 10% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Spence G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Stephen Halliday G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% — 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 61% 80% 100%3/3 1 O
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 67% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 52% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
David Perron PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 31% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 43% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 52% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 39% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
David Perron A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-165 / u+125
 56% 70% 33%1/3 3 U
Tim Stützle SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 47% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Drake Batherson SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 40% 33%1/3 4 O
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 38% 30% 33%1/3 3 O
Jake Sanderson SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 33% 20% 67%2/3 2 U
Linus Ullmark SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 37% 50% 50%1/2 10 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+125
 42% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+525
 22% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+650
 18% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+300
 26% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+600
 17% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+200
 33% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+350
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+180
 31% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 9% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+375
 20% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+275
 18% 10% 0%0/2 2 O
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 18% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 54% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 29% 40% 0%0/3 3 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 58% 40% 50%1/2 3 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 37% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 53% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 69% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 40% 30% 0%0/2 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 30% 0%0/2 3 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 24% 40% 0%0/3 3 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 43% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 59% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 52% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 42% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 24% 20% 0%0/2 2 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 17% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 42% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 29% 10% 0%0/2 2 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 57% 80% 33%1/3 2 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 34% 40% 100%3/3 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 55% 40% 0%0/2 9 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 43% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 30% 0%0/2 6 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-155
 53% 20% 50%1/2 2 U
Joseph Woll SV 25.5
o-120 / u-110
 64% 60% 0%0/1 26 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 1, 2025 at OTT TOR 4–2 1–01–12–1 6 5.5 O TOR
Apr 29, 2025 at TOR TOR 0–4 0–00–10–3 4 5.5 U OTT
Apr 26, 2025 at OTT TOR 3–4 OT 1–21–01–1 7 5.5 O OTT
Apr 24, 2025 at OTT TOR 3–2 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 22, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 OT 2–00–10–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 20, 2025 at TOR TOR 6–2 2–12–02–1 8 5.5 O TOR
Mar 15, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–4 0–02–30–1 6 5.5 O OTT
Jan 25, 2025 at OTT TOR 1–2 1–10–00–1 3 5.5 U OTT
Nov 12, 2024 at TOR TOR 0–3 0–10–20–0 3 6 U OTT
Feb 10, 2024 at OTT TOR 3–5 1–11–31–1 8 — OTT