← Stats / FLA @ BUF

FLA @ BUF

Monday, January 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Away
4 – 3
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +100 · BUF -120
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-250) · BUF -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 FLAo6.5 48%
21-23
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
56%
10-8
40%
2-3
55%
24-20
BUFo6.5 44%
19-24
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
43%
9-12
40%
2-3
47%
20-23
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 59%
26-18
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
9-9
60%
3-2
-15.97u
15-29
BUF-1.5 40%
17-26
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
57%
12-9
40%
2-3
+3.46u
23-20
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog +100 52%
23-21
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
50%
9-9
60%
3-2
+7.67u
10-3
BUF fav -120 56%
24-19
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
67%
14-7
40%
2-3
+3.56u
13-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 FLA 46%
20-24
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
44%
8-10
40%
2-3
46%
20-24
 1.75 0.80 / 0.95
BUF 54%
23-20
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
48%
10-11
40%
2-3
54%
23-20
 1.88 0.86 / 1.02
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 FLA 59%
26-18
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
61%
11-7
100%
5-0
59%
26-18
 1.95 1.00 / 0.95
BUF 70%
30-13
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
67%
14-7
100%
5-0
54%
23-20
 2.07 1.23 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 FLA 39%
17-27
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
39%
7-11
0%
0-5
68%
30-14
 2.45 1.20 / 1.25
BUF 35%
15-28
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
38%
8-13
0%
0-5
41%
17-25
 2.19 1.02 / 1.16
Team Comparison '25-26
FLABUF
Record (W-L-OTL)40-38-450-23-9
Points %51.2%66.5%
Goals for / game3.063.51
Goals against / game3.372.94
Shots for / game28.028.1
Shots against / game26.829.1
Power play %19.5%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.0%81.9%
Faceoff %46.6%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.93 / 0.901.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA0.84 / 1.111.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.301.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.436.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 23 shots · 3 GA · W
28 saves on 31 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA2020321/1
BUF1110230/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+130
 46% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+140
 32% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+225
 28% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+575
 7% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+225
 30% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+550
 14% 10% 20%1/5 2 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+260
 21% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+800
 6% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+350
 11% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Jack Studnicka G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% — 0 U
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+350
 10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 55% 80% 75%3/4 2 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 64% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 30% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 59% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-115
 51% 20% 60%3/5 3 O
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 30% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 32% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 28% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 32% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 33% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 39% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 25% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 29% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 37% 10% 40%2/5 3 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 30% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 64% 80% 20%1/5 0 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 46% 50% 75%3/4 7 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 46% 50% 50%2/4 4 O
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 50% 0%0/5 4 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 20% 40%2/5 4 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 10% 80%4/5 1 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 45% 30% 100%2/2 20 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+210
 38% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+140
 47% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+250
 26% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+175
 33% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+240
 29% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 19% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+475
 7% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+500
 21% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 15% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 13% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
 10% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 16% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2000
 7% 10% — 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+700
 4% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2250
 4% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 70% 60%3/5 1 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 77% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 49% 70% 20%1/5 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 70% 0%0/5 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 60% 100%4/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 62% 60% 60%3/5 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 51% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 51% 40% 80%4/5 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 43% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 60% 0%0/5 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 37% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 35% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 26% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 41% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 53% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 33% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 49% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 30% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 30% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 54% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 65% 70% 40%2/5 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 70% 50%1/2 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 60% 20%1/5 5 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 60% 75%3/4 1 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 50% 40%2/5 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 56% 50% 60%3/5 1 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Colten Ellis SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 67% — — 28 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 18, 2025 at BUF BUF 3–0 1–02–00–0 3 5.5 U BUF
Apr 12, 2025 at FLA BUF 2–3 SO 1–00–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Mar 8, 2025 at FLA BUF 0–4 0–10–20–1 4 6.5 U FLA
Oct 28, 2024 at BUF BUF 2–5 0–22–10–2 7 6 O FLA
Oct 12, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–2 2–12–11–0 7 6 O BUF
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 1–20–01–1 5 — FLA
Feb 15, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — FLA
Apr 4, 2023 at FLA BUF 1–2 1–10–00–1 3 — FLA
Feb 24, 2023 at FLA BUF 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — BUF