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OTT @ TOR

Saturday, February 28, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Ottawa Senators
44-27-11 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
OTT -130 · TOR +110
Puck Line
OTT -1.5 (+175) · TOR +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 OTTo6.5 52%
30-28
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
62%
18-11
25%
1-3
57%
32-24
TORo6.5 56%
33-26
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
58%
18-13
25%
1-3
60%
35-23
Puck Line
cover %
 OTT-1.5 26%
15-43
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
21%
6-23
50%
2-2
-10.23u
23-33
TOR+1.5 66%
39-20
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
77%
24-7
50%
2-2
-16.12u
23-35
Moneyline
win %
 OTT fav -130 48%
28-30
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
48%
14-15
75%
3-1
-4.29u
19-17
TOR dog +110 46%
27-32
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
52%
16-15
25%
1-3
-3.03u
13-19
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 OTT 64%
37-21
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
66%
19-10
50%
2-2
64%
37-21
 1.91 1.00 / 0.91
TOR 59%
35-24
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
65%
20-11
50%
2-2
59%
35-24
 1.80 0.88 / 0.92
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-182/u+144 OTT 64%
37-21
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
76%
22-7
75%
3-1
59%
34-24
 2.21 1.10 / 1.10
TOR 70%
41-18
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
68%
21-10
75%
3-1
63%
37-22
 2.12 0.95 / 1.17
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+128/u-160 OTT 38%
22-36
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
41%
12-17
25%
1-3
52%
30-28
 2.16 1.10 / 1.05
TOR 48%
28-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
42%
13-18
25%
1-3
53%
31-28
 2.47 1.27 / 1.20
Team Comparison '25-26
OTTTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)44-27-1132-36-14
Points %60.4%47.6%
Goals for / game3.393.09
Goals against / game3.003.65
Shots for / game28.926.3
Shots against / game24.432.4
Power play %24.0%21.3%
Penalty kill %75.7%81.2%
Faceoff %54.2%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.95 / 0.890.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.980.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.21 / 1.001.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.396.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
21 saves on 23 shots · 2 GA · W
23 saves on 28 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
OTT1400401/3
TOR1100230/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+165
 41% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+145
 34% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+375
 17% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Stephen Halliday G 0.5
o+600
 12% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+425
 19% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+475
 14% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+210
 28% 20% 0%0/4 2 O
Nick Jensen G 0.5
o+1500
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+450
 14% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+525
 19% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+275
 27% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Spence G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+475
 19% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Lars Eller G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+650
 9% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+240
 29% 0% 25%1/4 2 O
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 67% 90% 100%4/4 1 O
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 57% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-190
 50% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 52% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Ridly Greig PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 30% 75%3/4 2 O
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 48% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 48% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 38% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 31% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 27% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Ridly Greig A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 54% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 63% 60% 67%2/3 4 O
Tim Stützle SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 60% 75%3/4 3 O
Ridly Greig SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 40% 50%2/4 3 O
Drake Batherson SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 30% 50%2/4 5 O
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-140 / u+105
 42% 30% 25%1/4 6 O
Jake Sanderson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 30% 50%2/4 1 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 20% 0%0/4 4 O
Linus Ullmark SV 22.5
o-110 / u-125
 36% 50% 33%1/3 21 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 36% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+195
 34% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+275
 31% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+325
 14% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 23% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+575
 20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+700
 16% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+325
 19% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 13% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+525
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+135
 42% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 21% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+425
 16% 10% — 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+750
 14% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+180
 69% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 61% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 64% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 40% 40% — 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 45% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 60% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 42% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 39% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 30% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 45% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 23% 30% — 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 39% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 34% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 55% 70% 75%3/4 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 48% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 50% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 50% 75%3/4 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-115 / u-115
 65% 80% 0%0/2 23 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 27, 2025 at TOR TOR 7–5 2–13–12–3 12 6.5 O TOR
May 1, 2025 at OTT TOR 4–2 1–01–12–1 6 5.5 O TOR
Apr 29, 2025 at TOR TOR 0–4 0–00–10–3 4 5.5 U OTT
Apr 26, 2025 at OTT TOR 3–4 OT 1–21–01–1 7 5.5 O OTT
Apr 24, 2025 at OTT TOR 3–2 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 22, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 OT 2–00–10–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 20, 2025 at TOR TOR 6–2 2–12–02–1 8 5.5 O TOR
Mar 15, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–4 0–02–30–1 6 5.5 O OTT
Jan 25, 2025 at OTT TOR 1–2 1–10–00–1 3 5.5 U OTT
Nov 12, 2024 at TOR TOR 0–3 0–10–20–0 3 6 U OTT