TOR @ MTL
Tuesday, March 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +140 · MTL -170
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-165) · MTL -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 6.5 (-130) · U (+105)
Graded: total 4 → OVER L · MTL -1.5 W
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | TOR | o6.5 | 58% 37-27 | 80% 4-1 | 50% 5-5 | 57% 17-13 | 43% 3-4 | 62% 39-24 |
| MTL | o6.5 | 61% 38-24 | 100% 5-0 | 70% 7-3 | 57% 17-13 | 43% 3-4 | 62% 38-23 | |
| Puck Line cover % | TOR | +1.5 | 64% 41-23 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 53% 16-14 | 86% 6-1 | -19.72u 24-39 |
| MTL | -1.5 | 29% 18-44 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 37% 11-19 | 14% 1-6 | +0.43u 36-25 | |
| Moneyline win % | TOR dog | +140 | 42% 27-37 | 0% 0-5 | 30% 3-7 | 37% 11-19 | 57% 4-3 | -7.03u 13-23 |
| MTL fav | -170 | 55% 34-28 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 57% 17-13 | 43% 3-4 | -3.37u 14-13 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-152/u+120 | TOR | 63% 40-24 | 100% 5-0 | 60% 6-4 | 57% 17-13 | 43% 3-4 | 63% 40-24 | 1.86 | 0.89 / 0.97 |
| MTL | 60% 37-25 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 63% 19-11 | 43% 3-4 | 60% 37-25 | 1.85 | 1.02 / 0.84 | ||
| 2nd Period over 2.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 2.5 o+146/u-186 | TOR | 39% 25-39 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 37% 11-19 | 29% 2-5 | 63% 40-24 | 2.09 | 0.92 / 1.17 |
| MTL | 45% 28-34 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 50% 15-15 | 29% 2-5 | 66% 41-21 | 2.37 | 1.11 / 1.26 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+106/u-134 | TOR | 45% 29-35 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 53% 16-14 | 29% 2-5 | 50% 32-32 | 2.44 | 1.22 / 1.22 |
| MTL | 47% 29-33 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 40% 12-18 | 29% 2-5 | 54% 33-28 | 2.39 | 1.27 / 1.11 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| TOR | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 32-36-14 | 48-24-10 |
| Points % | 47.6% | 64.6% |
| Goals for / game | 3.09 | 3.45 |
| Goals against / game | 3.65 | 3.12 |
| Shots for / game | 26.3 | 26.3 |
| Shots against / game | 32.4 | 27.8 |
| Power play % | 21.3% | 23.1% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.2% | 78.2% |
| Faceoff % | 54.3% | 50.9% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.84 / 0.99 | 0.91 / 0.85 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.95 / 1.23 | 1.20 / 1.11 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.18 / 1.26 | 1.17 / 1.04 |
| Avg game total | 6.73 | 6.57 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
TOR · Joseph Woll
30 saves on 32 shots · 2 GA · L
MTL · Jakub Dobes
17 saves on 18 shots · 1 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0/2 |
| MTL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 0/2 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| TOR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Maccelli | G | 0.5 o+275 |
23% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| William Nylander | G | 0.5 o+185 |
38% | 40% | 57%4/7 | 1 O |
| John Tavares | G | 0.5 o+210 |
31% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | G | 0.5 o+225 |
23% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | G | 0.5 o+650 |
13% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Nick Robertson | G | 0.5 o+375 |
22% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | G | 0.5 o+425 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Dakota Joshua | G | 0.5 o+700 |
17% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Troy Stecher | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | G | 0.5 o+425 |
17% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | G | 0.5 o+800 |
13% | 0% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jake McCabe | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Brandon Carlo | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Steven Lorentz | G | 0.5 o+850 |
7% | 0% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | G | 0.5 o+140 |
38% | 0% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Simon Benoit | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Jacob Quillan | G | 0.5 o+750 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| William Nylander | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+165 |
72% | 80% | 71%5/7 | 1 O |
| John Tavares | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
61% | 70% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | PTS | 0.5 o-230 / u+165 |
62% | 70% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Matias Maccelli | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
45% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | PTS | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
54% | 50% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | PTS | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
44% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
43% | 20% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
36% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
41% | 70% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| William Nylander | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
57% | 50% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
41% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
37% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
44% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Matias Maccelli | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
26% | 20% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
27% | 10% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
31% | 0% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
57% | 60% | 71%5/7 | 0 U |
| William Nylander | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
38% | 60% | 57%4/7 | 3 O |
| Nick Robertson | SOG | 1.5 o-115 / u-115 |
43% | 60% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Matias Maccelli | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u-105 |
38% | 60% | 0%0/4 | 1 U |
| Matthew Knies | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
51% | 60% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Auston Matthews | SOG | 3.5 o-155 / u+115 |
55% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 2 U |
| John Tavares | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-180 |
45% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 2 U |
| Joseph Woll | SV | 26.5 o-115 / u-115 |
61% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 30 O |
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+120 |
42% | 50% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+525 |
19% | 40% | 0%0/7 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+170 |
29% | 40% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+550 |
7% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+350 |
25% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+300 |
31% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+155 |
32% | 30% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+450 |
10% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
10% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
16% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+300 |
27% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+475 |
18% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+260 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+700 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
18% | 10% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+350 |
15% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2000 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-225 / u+165 |
69% | 80% | 43%3/7 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
48% | 70% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-210 / u+160 |
55% | 70% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
68% | 60% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
44% | 50% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 1.5 o+135 / u-180 |
34% | 50% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
55% | 50% | 0%0/5 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
57% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-185 / u+140 |
63% | 70% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
60% | 70% | 29%2/7 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
39% | 60% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
36% | 50% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
37% | 40% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Alex Newhook | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
32% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
42% | 30% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
45% | 20% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
48% | 60% | 29%2/7 | 2 O |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 3.5 o-105 / u-125 |
45% | 60% | 86%6/7 | 2 U |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-170 |
39% | 50% | 67%4/6 | 3 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 2.5 o-120 / u-110 |
32% | 50% | 29%2/7 | 4 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+125 |
42% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
32% | 40% | 43%3/7 | 1 U |
| Alex Newhook | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
32% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
48% | 40% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
50% | 40% | 29%2/7 | 4 O |
| Brendan Gallagher | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
48% | 30% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
43% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 1 U |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 23.5 o-110 / u-120 |
55% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 17 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | at TOR | MTL 2–1 SO | 0–0 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 3 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Nov 22, 2025 | at MTL | MTL 5–2 | 2–0 | 2–1 | 1–1 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Oct 8, 2025 | at TOR | MTL 2–5 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 0–3 | 7 | 5.5 O | TOR |
| Apr 12, 2025 | at TOR | MTL 0–1 OT | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 5.5 U | TOR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | at MTL | MTL 3–7 | 3–0 | 0–2 | 0–5 | 10 | 6 O | TOR |
| Nov 9, 2024 | at TOR | MTL 1–4 | 0–1 | 1–3 | 0–0 | 5 | 6 U | TOR |
| Oct 9, 2024 | at MTL | MTL 1–0 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Apr 6, 2024 | at MTL | MTL 2–4 | 0–0 | 2–4 | 0–0 | 6 | — | TOR |
| Mar 9, 2024 | at MTL | MTL 2–3 | 1–0 | 0–2 | 1–1 | 5 | — | TOR |
| Oct 11, 2023 | at TOR | MTL 5–6 SO | 1–0 | 1–3 | 3–2 | 11 | — | TOR |