← Stats / TOR @ OTT

TOR @ OTT

Saturday, March 21, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
2 – 5
FINAL
Ottawa Senators
44-27-11 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +225 · OTT -300
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (+100) · OTT -1.5 (-120)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · OTT -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 56%
39-31
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
52%
17-16
40%
2-3
59%
41-28
OTTo6.5 50%
34-34
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
39%
13-20
40%
2-3
55%
36-30
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 64%
45-25
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
55%
18-15
40%
2-3
-17.41u
28-41
OTT-1.5 31%
21-47
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
33%
11-22
60%
3-2
-4.83u
30-36
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +225 41%
29-41
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
36%
12-21
20%
1-4
-9.03u
14-27
OTT fav -300 52%
35-33
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
52%
17-16
80%
4-1
-2.07u
26-19
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-130/u+102 TOR 63%
44-26
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
58%
19-14
60%
3-2
63%
44-26
 1.84 0.86 / 0.99
OTT 62%
42-26
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
20-13
60%
3-2
62%
42-26
 1.87 0.97 / 0.90
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TOR 70%
49-21
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
73%
24-9
80%
4-1
63%
44-26
 2.13 0.97 / 1.16
OTT 65%
44-24
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
55%
18-15
80%
4-1
57%
39-29
 2.22 1.18 / 1.04
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-168 TOR 44%
31-39
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
52%
17-16
20%
1-4
49%
34-36
 2.36 1.19 / 1.17
OTT 40%
27-41
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
36%
12-21
20%
1-4
52%
35-33
 2.16 1.13 / 1.03
Team Comparison '25-26
TOROTT
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1444-27-11
Points %47.6%60.4%
Goals for / game3.093.39
Goals against / game3.653.00
Shots for / game26.328.9
Shots against / game32.424.4
Power play %21.3%24.0%
Penalty kill %81.2%75.7%
Faceoff %54.3%54.2%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.95 / 0.89
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.16 / 0.98
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.21 / 1.00
Avg game total6.736.39
Starting Goalies from the box score
39 saves on 44 shots · 5 GA · L
12 saves on 14 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0110140/3
OTT1220441/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+165
 40% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+325
 22% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+600
 19% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 24% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+180
 31% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+425
 13% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+350
 20% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+400
 15% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+750
 13% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jacob Quillan G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Bo Groulx G 0.5
o+550
 33% — — 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+180
 72% 80% 60%3/5 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 54% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 34% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 29% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 25% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 50% 25%1/4 3 O
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 42% 50% 60%3/5 1 U
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 39% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 49% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 40% 80%4/5 1 U
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+175
 31% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Warren Foegele G 0.5
o+375
 19% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+195
 31% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+120
 35% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+425
 16% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+210
 28% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+165
 40% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+425
 11% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+900
 5% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Lars Eller G 0.5
o+700
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+450
 18% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+425
 16% 0% 20%1/5 1 O
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+525
 12% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Dennis Gilbert G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jordan Spence G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+160
 69% 80% 60%3/5 0 U
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 62% 70% 80%4/5 1 O
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 68% 70% 100%5/5 1 O
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 45% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Michael Amadio PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 37% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 50% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 47% 30% 80%4/5 1 O
Jordan Spence PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 27% 20% 33%1/3 2 O
Ridly Greig PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 37% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 42% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 37% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Michael Amadio A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 24% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 28% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Jordan Spence A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 24% 20% 33%1/3 2 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 28% 10% 60%3/5 1 O
Ridly Greig A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Michael Amadio SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 38% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 46% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
Drake Batherson SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 50% 60%3/5 1 U
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-140 / u+105
 44% 50% 40%2/5 3 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 41% 50% 20%1/5 2 U
Shane Pinto SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 41% 50% 25%1/4 3 O
Jordan Spence SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 39% 40% 33%1/3 5 O
Ridly Greig SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 51% 40% 60%3/5 3 O
Tyler Kleven SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 33% 40% 0%0/4 2 O
Tim Stützle SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 40% 80%4/5 3 O
Warren Foegele SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 39% 30% 67%2/3 1 U
Thomas Chabot SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 28% 30% 60%3/5 3 O
Claude Giroux SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 20% 80%4/5 7 O
Linus Ullmark SV 20.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 40% 75%3/4 12 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 28, 2026 at TOR OTT 5–2 1–14–10–0 7 6.5 O OTT
Dec 27, 2025 at TOR OTT 5–7 1–21–33–2 12 6.5 O TOR
May 1, 2025 at OTT OTT 2–4 0–11–11–2 6 5.5 O TOR
Apr 29, 2025 at TOR OTT 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 5.5 U OTT
Apr 26, 2025 at OTT OTT 4–3 OT 2–10–11–1 7 5.5 O OTT
Apr 24, 2025 at OTT OTT 2–3 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 22, 2025 at TOR OTT 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 20, 2025 at TOR OTT 2–6 1–20–21–2 8 5.5 O TOR
Mar 15, 2025 at TOR OTT 4–2 0–03–21–0 6 5.5 O OTT
Jan 25, 2025 at OTT OTT 2–1 1–10–01–0 3 5.5 U OTT