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FLA @ TOR

Sunday, May 18, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Away
6 – 1
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -140 · TOR +120
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+180) · TOR +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 5.5 (+130) · U (-165)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 52%
48-45
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
53%
25-22
50%
7-7
48%
44-48-1
TORo5.5 55%
52-42
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
47%
22-25
50%
7-7
50%
45-45-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 39%
36-57
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
34%
16-31
43%
6-8
-9.32u
41-52
TOR+1.5 73%
69-25
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
70%
33-14
57%
8-6
+1.72u
48-45
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -140 58%
54-39
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
51%
24-23
57%
8-6
-7.24u
44-31
TOR dog +120 63%
59-35
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
66%
31-16
43%
6-8
+8.55u
18-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o+130/u-166 FD 1.5 o+110/u-140 FLA 54%
50-43
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
64%
30-17
57%
8-6
54%
50-43
 1.76 0.90 / 0.86
TOR 50%
47-47
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
20-27
57%
8-6
50%
47-47
 1.71 0.89 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-118/u-106 FLA 60%
56-37
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
53%
25-22
57%
8-6
58%
54-39
 2.01 1.14 / 0.87
TOR 64%
60-34
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
66%
31-16
57%
8-6
57%
54-40
 2.06 1.17 / 0.89
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 1.5 o-136/u+106 FLA 56%
52-41
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
57%
27-20
57%
8-6
50%
42-42
 1.89 0.97 / 0.92
TOR 66%
62-32
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
66%
31-16
57%
8-6
55%
46-37
 2.09 1.02 / 1.06
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)16-5-27-4-2
Points %73.9%61.5%
Goals for / game4.092.77
Goals against / game2.433.23
Shots for / game28.224.9
Shots against / game27.027.8
Power play %25.3%21.6%
Penalty kill %86.4%81.6%
Faceoff %47.3%57.0%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.740.92 / 0.62
2nd period GF / GA1.17 / 0.700.69 / 1.08
3rd period GF / GA1.52 / 0.911.00 / 1.38
Avg game total6.526.00
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 20 shots · 1 GA · W
28 saves on 33 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA0330340/1
TOR0010200/0
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+220
 32% 50% 58%7/12 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+230
 23% 40% 36%5/14 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+195
 28% 30% 23%3/13 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+325
 21% 30% 8%1/13 1 O
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+275
 28% 20% 30%7/23 1 O
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+575
 15% 20% 8%1/12 1 O
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+575
 8% 20% 13%1/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+150
 39% 20% 43%6/14 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+525
 12% 20% 14%2/14 1 O
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 10% 8%1/12 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+900
 8% 10% 0%0/12 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+900
 8% 10% 18%2/11 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 14%2/14 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+175
 30% 10% 0%0/11 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+850
 11% 10% 9%1/11 1 O
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+900
 2% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+850
 12% 0% 14%2/14 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+425
 17% 0% 0%0/12 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 48% 80% 75%6/8 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 56% 70% 75%9/12 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 59% 60% 70%16/23 3 O
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 68% 60% 62%8/13 2 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 62% 60% 64%7/11 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 49% 50% 50%7/14 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 66% 50% 57%8/14 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 31% 50% 50%7/14 3 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 50% 31%4/13 1 O
Nate Schmidt PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 40% 25%3/12 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 40% 33%4/12 2 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 33% 20% 29%4/14 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 20% 17%2/12 1 O
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 70% 75%6/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 50% 36%5/14 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 50% 64%7/11 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 32% 50% 31%4/13 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 38% 40% 57%13/23 2 O
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 20% 40% 36%5/14 2 O
Nate Schmidt A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 18% 30% 25%3/12 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 53% 30% 46%6/13 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 37% 20% 29%4/14 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 35% 20% 25%3/12 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 32% 20% 33%4/12 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 21% 20% 14%2/14 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 20% 20% 17%2/12 1 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 62% 60% 50%6/12 2 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 59% 60% 42%5/12 0 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 53% 60% 62%8/13 4 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 50% 36%5/14 3 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 41% 50% 23%3/13 1 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 64% 50% 50%6/12 4 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 50% 88%7/8 4 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 53% 50% 64%9/14 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 68% 50% 36%5/14 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 72% 20% 65%15/23 3 O
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 48% 20% 64%7/11 0 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-130 / u+100
 60% 50% 67%8/12 19 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+250
 32% 40% 31%4/13 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+375
 15% 30% 25%2/8 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+145
 40% 30% 14%2/14 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+130
 42% 30% 15%2/13 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+175
 37% 20% 36%5/14 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+700
 12% 20% 15%2/13 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 10% 8%1/12 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+525
 12% 10% 17%2/12 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+250
 26% 10% 31%4/13 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 2% 10% 0%0/13 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
 10% 0% 0%0/15 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/13 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 1% 0% 14%3/22 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+525
 8% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+475
 20% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 74% 70% 62%8/13 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 63% 60% 43%6/14 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 73% 60% 39%5/13 0 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 30% 50% 63%5/8 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 40% 31%4/13 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 36% 40% 42%5/12 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 40% 31%4/13 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 32% 30% 30%3/10 0 U
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 26% 30% 23%3/13 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 63% 20% 43%6/14 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 62% 60% 39%5/13 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 39% 50% 36%5/14 0 U
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 21% 40% 50%4/8 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 29% 40% 33%4/12 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 48% 40% 31%4/13 0 U
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 26% 30% 23%3/13 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 26% 20% 30%3/10 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 20% 15%2/13 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 30% 20% 31%4/13 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 37% 0% 7%1/14 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 80% 62%8/13 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 47% 70% 57%8/14 1 U
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 53% 40% 25%2/8 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 56% 40% 36%5/14 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 40% 39%5/13 2 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-125 / u-105
 52% 40% 54%7/13 2 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+130 / u-170
 44% 30% 39%5/13 1 U
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 60% 63%5/8 28 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 16, 2025 at FLA TOR 2–0 0–00–02–0 2 5.5 U TOR
May 14, 2025 at TOR TOR 1–6 0–10–31–2 7 5.5 O FLA
May 11, 2025 at FLA TOR 0–2 0–10–00–1 2 5.5 U FLA
May 9, 2025 at FLA TOR 4–5 OT 2–11–31–0 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR TOR 4–3 1–12–11–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR TOR 5–4 3–11–01–3 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 0–01–12–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–3 1–10–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 5.5 O FLA