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← Stats / TOR @ WSH

TOR @ WSH

Friday, November 28, 2025 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
2 – 4
FINAL
Washington Capitals
43-30-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +140 · WSH -170
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-185) · WSH -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · WSH -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 74%
17-6
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
75%
6-2
67%
2-1
74%
17-6
WSHo5.5 58%
14-10
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
57%
8-6
67%
2-1
50%
12-12
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 70%
16-7
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
38%
3-5
33%
1-2
-7.30u
8-15
WSH-1.5 38%
9-15
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
36%
5-9
67%
2-1
+3.03u
13-11
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +140 44%
10-13
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
25%
2-6
33%
1-2
-3.14u
2-5
WSH fav -170 54%
13-11
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
57%
8-6
67%
2-1
+1.21u
10-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 TOR 70%
16-7
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
88%
7-1
67%
2-1
70%
16-7
 2.00 0.96 / 1.04
WSH 46%
11-13
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
36%
5-9
67%
2-1
46%
11-13
 1.75 0.79 / 0.96
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 TOR 78%
18-5
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
75%
6-2
67%
2-1
65%
15-8
 2.30 0.91 / 1.39
WSH 58%
14-10
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
64%
9-5
67%
2-1
58%
14-10
 2.00 1.29 / 0.71
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 TOR 70%
16-7
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
100%
8-0
100%
3-0
39%
9-14
 2.30 1.26 / 1.04
WSH 75%
18-6
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
93%
13-1
100%
3-0
50%
12-12
 2.21 1.21 / 1.00
Team Comparison '25-26
TORWSH
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1443-30-9
Points %47.6%57.9%
Goals for / game3.093.21
Goals against / game3.652.98
Shots for / game26.328.0
Shots against / game32.428.1
Power play %21.3%17.8%
Penalty kill %81.2%80.1%
Faceoff %54.3%49.3%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.83 / 0.76
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.06 / 1.02
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.24 / 1.09
Avg game total6.736.18
Starting Goalies from the box score
TOR · Joseph Woll
30 saves on 33 shots · 3 GA · L
20 saves on 22 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR1100220/0
WSH0130340/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+170
 44% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+125
 44% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+650
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 12% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+275
 23% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+500
 19% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 22% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+275
 13% 20% — 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+650
 24% 10% — 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 14% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
 0% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Dakota Mermis G 0.5
o+1750
 13% 10% — 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+200
 20% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% — 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+500
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 61% 90% 0%0/3 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 74% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 59% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 70% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 61% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 50% — 0 U
Nick Robertson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 35% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 52% 70% 0%0/3 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 65% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 57% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 50% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 28% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 30% — 0 U
Nick Robertson A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 27% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 13% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 61% 80% 67%2/3 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
 61% 60% 0%0/1 3 U
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 53% 60% — 2 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 39% 50% 100%2/2 3 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 46% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Joseph Woll SV 25.5
o-130 / u-105
 80% 80% 0%0/1 30 O
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+135
 38% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+275
 33% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
John Carlson G 0.5
o+550
 26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+700
 13% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+185
 42% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Sonny Milano G 0.5
o+475
 15% 20% — 0 U
Connor McMichael G 0.5
o+300
 13% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Justin Sourdif G 0.5
o+475
 13% 20% — 0 U
Ethen Frank G 0.5
o+475
 15% 20% — 0 U
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+250
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+325
 13% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Sandin G 0.5
o+900
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+250
 21% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan Leonard G 0.5
o+300
 17% 10% — 0 U
Trevor van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Hendrix Lapierre G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 67% 90% 33%1/3 1 O
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 65% 80% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 58% 70% 100%2/2 1 O
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 71% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Connor McMichael PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 33% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 50% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 46% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Anthony Beauvillier PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 25% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan Leonard PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 30% — 1 O
Rasmus Sandin PTS 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 32% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 52% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 42% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Connor McMichael A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 41% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Anthony Beauvillier A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Sandin A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 26% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan Leonard A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 25% 20% — 1 O
Connor McMichael SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 75% 80% 33%1/3 5 O
Tom Wilson SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 63% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 71% 70% 33%1/3 4 O
John Carlson SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 65% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Anthony Beauvillier SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 60% 0%0/3 4 O
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 63% 60% 67%2/3 4 O
Ryan Leonard SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 29% 40% — 2 U
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 36% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Ovechkin SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 4% 10% 50%1/2 6 O
Logan Thompson SV 21.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 60% 100%2/2 20 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 28, 2024 at TOR WSH 5–2 2–11–12–0 7 6 O WSH
Dec 6, 2024 at TOR WSH 3–1 0–01–12–0 4 6 U WSH
Nov 13, 2024 at WSH WSH 3–4 OT 2–11–00–2 7 6 O TOR
Mar 28, 2024 at TOR WSH 1–5 0–11–20–2 6 — TOR
Mar 20, 2024 at WSH WSH 3–7 0–12–31–3 10 — TOR
Oct 24, 2023 at WSH WSH 1–4 0–11–30–0 5 — TOR
Jan 29, 2023 at TOR WSH 1–5 1–00–40–1 6 — TOR
Dec 17, 2022 at WSH WSH 5–2 2–11–12–0 7 — WSH
Oct 13, 2022 at TOR WSH 2–3 2–10–10–1 5 — TOR
Apr 24, 2022 at WSH WSH 3–4 SO 1–10–02–2 7 — TOR