← Stats / TOR @ FLA

TOR @ FLA

Tuesday, December 2, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
4 – 1
FINAL
Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +135 · FLA -160
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-185) · FLA -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 72%
18-7
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
70%
7-3
0%
0-4
76%
19-6
FLAo6.5 50%
12-12
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
7-7
0%
0-4
54%
13-11
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 68%
17-8
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
40%
4-6
50%
2-2
-6.30u
9-16
FLA-1.5 25%
6-18
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
29%
4-10
50%
2-2
-9.79u
7-17
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +135 44%
11-14
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
30%
3-7
25%
1-3
-3.23u
3-6
FLA fav -160 50%
12-12
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
57%
8-6
75%
3-1
-5.58u
9-11
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 TOR 68%
17-8
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
80%
8-2
50%
2-2
68%
17-8
 2.00 1.00 / 1.00
FLA 38%
9-15
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
43%
6-8
50%
2-2
38%
9-15
 1.83 0.96 / 0.88
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 1.5 o-190/u+146 TOR 48%
12-13
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
40%
4-6
0%
0-4
68%
17-8
 2.32 1.00 / 1.32
FLA 29%
7-17
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
36%
5-9
0%
0-4
63%
15-9
 1.96 1.00 / 0.96
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+156/u-200 TOR 44%
11-14
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
50%
5-5
25%
1-3
44%
11-14
 2.36 1.24 / 1.12
FLA 38%
9-15
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
29%
4-10
25%
1-3
75%
18-6
 2.46 1.13 / 1.33
Team Comparison '25-26
TORFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1440-38-4
Points %47.6%51.2%
Goals for / game3.093.06
Goals against / game3.653.37
Shots for / game26.328.0
Shots against / game32.426.8
Power play %21.3%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.2%81.0%
Faceoff %54.3%46.6%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.93 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.230.84 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.20 / 1.30
Avg game total6.736.43
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 26 shots · 1 GA · W
27 saves on 30 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2020310/3
FLA0100260/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+145
 45% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+160
 43% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+170
 40% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 16% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+400
 24% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+275
 18% 30% — 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 17% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 11% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+450
 25% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+210
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+700
 0% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 12% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+700
 13% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 8% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jack Studnicka G 0.5
o+650
 — — — 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 64% 90% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 91% 90% 50%2/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 63% 70% 0%0/4 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 73% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 68% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 65% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 50% — 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 25% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 56% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 76% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 64% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 52% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 50% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 35% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 17% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 29% 20% — 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+110
 64% 80% 25%1/4 3 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 70% 50%2/4 1 U
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 53% 70% — 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 60% 60% 33%1/3 4 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 64% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 46% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 33% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Joseph Woll SV 27.5
o-115 / u-115
 67% 70% 100%1/1 25 U
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+145
 57% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+125
 50% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+250
 29% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+180
 25% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+500
 8% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+450
 21% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+375
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+210
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+800
 4% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+700
 5% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+300
 13% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+650
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Gregor G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jack Devine G 0.5
o+600
 0% — — 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 87% 90% 67%4/6 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 63% 80% 75%3/4 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 38% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-110
 42% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 42% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 26% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 44% 50% 67%4/6 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 25% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 42% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 46% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 33% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 26% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 21% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 25% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 50% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 38% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 48% 40% 100%6/6 3 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 40% 100%1/1 1 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 46% 40% 75%3/4 1 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 40% 0%0/4 1 U
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 33% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 33% 40% 25%1/4 2 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 33% 30% 50%2/4 1 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 21.5
o-125 / u-110
 41% 40% 75%3/4 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 18, 2025 at TOR FLA 6–1 0–03–03–1 7 5.5 O FLA
May 16, 2025 at FLA FLA 0–2 0–00–00–2 2 5.5 U TOR
May 14, 2025 at TOR FLA 6–1 1–03–02–1 7 5.5 O FLA
May 11, 2025 at FLA FLA 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U FLA
May 9, 2025 at FLA FLA 5–4 OT 1–23–10–1 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–4 1–11–21–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR FLA 4–5 1–30–13–1 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA FLA 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR FLA 2–3 0–01–11–2 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–2 1–12–00–1 5 5.5 U FLA