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CAR @ TOR

Friday, March 20, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Away
4 – 3
FINAL / OT
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
CAR -225 · TOR +175
Puck Line
CAR -1.5 (+105) · TOR +1.5 (-130)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 CARo6.5 53%
36-32
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
41%
13-19
60%
3-2
54%
37-31
TORo6.5 55%
38-31
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
58%
21-15
60%
3-2
59%
40-28
Puck Line
cover %
 CAR-1.5 34%
23-45
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
38%
12-20
20%
1-4
-13.08u
25-43
TOR+1.5 64%
44-25
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
72%
26-10
80%
4-1
-18.18u
27-41
Moneyline
win %
 CAR fav -225 63%
43-25
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
18-14
40%
2-3
+1.79u
41-21
TOR dog +175 42%
29-40
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
47%
17-19
60%
3-2
-8.03u
14-26
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-134/u+104 CAR 56%
38-30
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
18-14
80%
4-1
56%
38-30
 1.91 1.12 / 0.79
TOR 64%
44-25
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
69%
25-11
80%
4-1
64%
44-25
 1.86 0.86 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-182/u+144 CAR 63%
43-25
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
72%
23-9
60%
3-2
56%
38-30
 1.90 0.93 / 0.97
TOR 70%
48-21
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
24-12
60%
3-2
62%
43-26
 2.10 0.97 / 1.13
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+126/u-160 CAR 68%
46-22
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
63%
20-12
80%
4-1
46%
31-36
 2.44 1.32 / 1.12
TOR 71%
49-20
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
61%
22-14
80%
4-1
49%
34-35
 2.38 1.19 / 1.19
Team Comparison '25-26
CARTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)53-22-732-36-14
Points %68.9%47.6%
Goals for / game3.613.09
Goals against / game2.933.65
Shots for / game32.226.3
Shots against / game23.932.4
Power play %24.9%21.3%
Penalty kill %80.5%81.2%
Faceoff %50.3%54.3%
1st period GF / GA1.18 / 0.780.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA0.98 / 0.980.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.28 / 1.091.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.546.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 26 shots · 3 GA · W
32 saves on 36 shots · 4 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
CAR0301361/5
TOR1110260/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+190
 31% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+475
 15% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+200
 24% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+160
 31% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+700
 10% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+300
 21% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+240
 25% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+300
 21% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+600
 13% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+165
 38% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+550
 13% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+350
 22% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+650
 20% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
K'Andre Miller G 0.5
o+600
 5% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Mike Reilly G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jaccob Slavin G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
William Carrier G 0.5
o+650
 11% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 63% 70% 80%4/5 2 O
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 43% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 65% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
K'Andre Miller PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 50% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 49% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Jordan Staal PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 40% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Alexander Nikishin PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 32% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 47% 60% 40%2/5 2 O
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 37% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
K'Andre Miller A 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 35% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 35% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 31% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Jordan Staal A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 19% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Alexander Nikishin A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 25% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 24% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Jordan Martinook SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 42% 80% 25%1/4 0 U
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+105
 57% 70% 100%5/5 4 O
Jaccob Slavin SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 44% 60% 60%3/5 2 U
Sean Walker SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 60% 60%3/5 5 O
Jackson Blake SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 60% 40%2/5 4 O
Mike Reilly SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-125
 38% 50% 25%1/4 3 O
Jalen Chatfield SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 39% 50% 25%1/4 1 U
Logan Stankoven SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Jordan Staal SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 42% 40% 20%1/5 2 O
K'Andre Miller SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 40% 100%4/4 1 U
Alexander Nikishin SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 49% 40% 50%1/2 4 O
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 53% 30% 40%2/5 2 U
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 20% 80%4/5 0 U
Brandon Bussi SV 20.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 50% 0%0/1 23 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+150
 39% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+300
 22% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+210
 24% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
 14% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+575
 17% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+170
 30% 10% 60%3/5 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+300
 20% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+700
 12% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+750
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jacob Quillan G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Bo Groulx G 0.5
o+475
 40% — — 0 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 45% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 59% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 41% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 27% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-240
 37% 10% 40%2/5 1 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 28% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 35% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 23% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 29% 0% 60%3/5 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 0% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 43% 60% 40%2/5 1 U
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 40% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 50% 50% 40%2/5 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 40% 100%5/5 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 55% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 40% 40%2/5 4 O
Joseph Woll SV 30.5
o-105 / u-125
 31% 40% 0%0/3 32 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 4, 2025 at CAR TOR 5–1 2–12–01–0 6 6.5 U TOR
Nov 9, 2025 at TOR TOR 4–5 3–21–10–2 9 6.5 O CAR
Apr 13, 2025 at CAR TOR 4–1 1–01–02–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Feb 22, 2025 at TOR TOR 6–3 4–00–02–3 9 5.5 O TOR
Jan 9, 2025 at CAR TOR 3–6 2–21–20–2 9 5.5 O CAR
Mar 24, 2024 at CAR TOR 1–2 0–20–01–0 3 — CAR
Mar 16, 2024 at TOR TOR 4–5 SO 0–03–21–2 9 — CAR
Dec 30, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 0–10–12–1 5 — CAR
Mar 25, 2023 at CAR TOR 3–5 0–22–01–3 8 — CAR
Mar 17, 2023 at TOR TOR 5–2 3–11–11–0 7 — TOR