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TOR @ CAR

Thursday, December 4, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
5 – 1
FINAL
Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +170 · CAR -220
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-145) · CAR -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · CAR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 69%
18-8
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
64%
7-4
75%
3-1
73%
19-7
CARo6.5 52%
13-12
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
67%
8-4
75%
3-1
56%
14-11
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 69%
18-8
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
46%
5-6
75%
3-1
-5.76u
10-16
CAR-1.5 32%
8-17
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
33%
4-8
25%
1-3
-4.50u
10-15
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +170 46%
12-14
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
36%
4-7
50%
2-2
-1.88u
4-6
CAR fav -220 64%
16-9
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
67%
8-4
50%
2-2
+0.80u
15-7
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-152/u+120 TOR 92%
24-2
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
91%
10-1
100%
4-0
69%
18-8
 2.00 1.04 / 0.96
CAR 84%
21-4
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
92%
11-1
100%
4-0
56%
14-11
 2.04 1.08 / 0.96
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-205/u+156 TOR 89%
23-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
91%
10-1
75%
3-1
65%
17-9
 2.27 0.96 / 1.31
CAR 88%
22-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
83%
10-2
75%
3-1
40%
10-15
 1.68 0.96 / 0.72
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+146/u-190 TOR 96%
25-1
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
100%
11-0
100%
4-0
42%
11-15
 2.35 1.27 / 1.08
CAR 92%
23-2
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
83%
10-2
100%
4-0
36%
9-16
 2.24 1.20 / 1.04
Team Comparison '25-26
TORCAR
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1453-22-7
Points %47.6%68.9%
Goals for / game3.093.61
Goals against / game3.652.93
Shots for / game26.332.2
Shots against / game32.423.9
Power play %21.3%24.9%
Penalty kill %81.2%80.5%
Faceoff %54.3%50.3%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.991.18 / 0.78
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.230.98 / 0.98
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.28 / 1.09
Avg game total6.736.54
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 24 shots · 1 GA · W
19 saves on 23 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2210240/2
CAR1000330/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+140
 43% 50% 100%4/4 1 O
William Nylander G 0.5
o+165
 41% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+175
 42% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 15% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+375
 23% 30% 0%0/4 2 O
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+300
 17% 30% — 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+700
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+700
 13% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+700
 16% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+850
 10% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+475
 24% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+220
 22% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 12% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1300
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+375
 8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 62% 90% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 86% 80% 100%4/4 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 67% 70% 100%4/4 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 69% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 60% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 70% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 50% — 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 39% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 28% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 54% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 73% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 38% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 61% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 48% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 20% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 19% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 28% 20% — 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 80% 100%4/4 3 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 42% 70% 75%3/4 3 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 65% 70% 25%1/4 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 60% 0%0/4 2 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-165
 62% 60% 25%1/4 5 O
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 60% — 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 32% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Joseph Woll SV 28.5
o-115 / u-115
 43% 50% 0%0/2 23 U
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+300
 23% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+200
 20% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+150
 44% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+350
 20% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere G 0.5
o+500
 19% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+145
 32% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+150
 24% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+650
 6% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+450
 12% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+500
 26% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+800
 13% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+275
 20% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Mike Reilly G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
William Carrier G 0.5
o+600
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+525
 16% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+300
 20% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Joel Nystrom G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 69% 70% 100%1/1 1 O
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 60% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 72% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 64% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Jordan Staal PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 32% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 44% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 36% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Sean Walker PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 28% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 52% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 32% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 56% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 32% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Sean Walker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 20% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 24% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 28% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 20% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 36% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Jordan Staal A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 9% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 44% 60% 100%1/1 1 U
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 48% 60% 75%3/4 5 O
Sean Walker SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 50% 25%1/4 3 O
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 52% 50% 25%1/4 5 O
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 40% 100%4/4 2 O
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 40% 75%3/4 2 U
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 60% 40% 100%4/4 1 U
Logan Stankoven SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 24% 30% 25%1/4 3 O
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 20% 33%1/3 1 U
Frederik Andersen SV 20.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 50% 0%0/1 19 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 9, 2025 at TOR CAR 5–4 2–31–12–0 9 6.5 O CAR
Apr 13, 2025 at CAR CAR 1–4 0–10–11–2 5 5.5 U TOR
Feb 22, 2025 at TOR CAR 3–6 0–40–03–2 9 5.5 O TOR
Jan 9, 2025 at CAR CAR 6–3 2–22–12–0 9 5.5 O CAR
Mar 24, 2024 at CAR CAR 2–1 2–00–00–1 3 — CAR
Mar 16, 2024 at TOR CAR 5–4 SO 0–02–32–1 9 — CAR
Dec 30, 2023 at TOR CAR 3–2 1–01–01–2 5 — CAR
Mar 25, 2023 at CAR CAR 5–3 2–00–23–1 8 — CAR
Mar 17, 2023 at TOR CAR 2–5 1–31–10–1 7 — TOR
Nov 6, 2022 at CAR CAR 1–3 1–00–10–2 4 — TOR