← Stats / FLA @ TOR

FLA @ TOR

Tuesday, January 6, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Away
1 – 4
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -130 · TOR +110
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+175) · TOR +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 56%
23-18
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
60%
9-6
20%
1-4
56%
23-18
TORo5.5 66%
27-14
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
15-9
20%
1-4
61%
25-16
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 27%
11-30
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
5-10
40%
2-3
-14.37u
14-27
TOR+1.5 71%
29-12
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
88%
21-3
60%
3-2
-10.69u
16-25
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -130 54%
22-19
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
53%
8-7
60%
3-2
-7.94u
13-16
TOR dog +110 46%
19-22
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
58%
14-10
40%
2-3
-1.88u
8-11
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 FLA 44%
18-23
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
40%
6-9
60%
3-2
44%
18-23
 1.76 0.83 / 0.93
TOR 61%
25-16
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
58%
14-10
60%
3-2
61%
25-16
 1.80 0.93 / 0.88
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 FLA 59%
24-17
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
60%
9-6
60%
3-2
59%
24-17
 1.98 1.02 / 0.95
TOR 71%
29-12
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
71%
17-7
60%
3-2
63%
26-15
 2.12 1.00 / 1.12
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 FLA 76%
31-10
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
73%
11-4
80%
4-1
68%
28-13
 2.44 1.22 / 1.22
TOR 73%
30-11
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
58%
14-10
80%
4-1
51%
21-20
 2.51 1.32 / 1.20
Team Comparison '25-26
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)40-38-432-36-14
Points %51.2%47.6%
Goals for / game3.063.09
Goals against / game3.373.65
Shots for / game28.026.3
Shots against / game26.832.4
Power play %19.5%21.3%
Penalty kill %81.0%81.2%
Faceoff %46.6%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.93 / 0.900.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA0.84 / 1.110.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.301.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.436.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 22 shots · 3 GA · L
31 saves on 32 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA0010320/3
TOR1210230/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+125
 49% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+155
 50% 50% 29%2/7 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+150
 32% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+250
 32% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+275
 25% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+575
 8% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+525
 15% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+800
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Gregor G 0.5
o+800
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+375
 12% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+300
 10% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+900
 2% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+300
 20% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1300
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 78% 90% 57%4/7 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 56% 90% 75%3/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 68% 80% 80%4/5 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 30% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 61% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 46% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 39% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 29% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 60% 57%4/7 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 34% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 28% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 34% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 36% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 31% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 38% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 24% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 39% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 29% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 62% 70% 60%3/5 3 O
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 50% 60% 100%7/7 1 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 46% 60% 25%1/4 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 61% 60% 75%3/4 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 44% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 40% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 40% 0%0/5 4 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 45% 30% 0%0/4 2 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 21.5
o-130 / u+100
 50% 60% 80%4/5 19 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+115
 46% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+260
 28% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+325
 23% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+200
 24% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+200
 32% 20% 80%4/5 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+700
 17% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 11% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 12% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+300
 20% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+700
 20% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+550
 17% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+375
 8% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+375
 13% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 13% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 43% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 33% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 63% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Nick Robertson PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 39% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 61% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 49% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 28% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 34% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 27% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 23% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Robertson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 23% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 50% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 39% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 48% 60% 40%2/5 2 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Max Domi SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 41% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 60% 50% 50%2/4 4 O
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 58% 50% 75%3/4 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 49% 20% 40%2/5 2 U
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-130 / u-105
 53% 40% 50%1/2 31 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 2, 2025 at FLA TOR 4–1 2–00–12–0 5 6.5 U TOR
May 18, 2025 at TOR TOR 1–6 0–00–31–3 7 5.5 O FLA
May 16, 2025 at FLA TOR 2–0 0–00–02–0 2 5.5 U TOR
May 14, 2025 at TOR TOR 1–6 0–10–31–2 7 5.5 O FLA
May 11, 2025 at FLA TOR 0–2 0–10–00–1 2 5.5 U FLA
May 9, 2025 at FLA TOR 4–5 OT 2–11–31–0 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR TOR 4–3 1–12–11–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR TOR 5–4 3–11–01–3 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 0–01–12–1 5 5.5 U TOR