← Stats / TOR @ FLA

TOR @ FLA

Thursday, February 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
1 – 5
FINAL
Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +135 · FLA -160
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-185) · FLA -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 57%
33-25
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
15-12
0%
0-6
61%
35-22
FLAo6.5 53%
30-27
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
45%
14-17
0%
0-6
59%
33-23
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 67%
39-19
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
56%
15-12
67%
4-2
-15.12u
23-34
FLA-1.5 23%
13-44
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
19%
6-25
33%
2-4
-19.51u
20-36
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +135 47%
27-31
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
41%
11-16
50%
3-3
-2.03u
13-18
FLA fav -160 51%
29-28
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
48%
15-16
50%
3-3
-12.55u
15-22
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 TOR 22%
13-45
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
22%
6-21
0%
0-6
59%
34-24
 1.78 0.90 / 0.88
FLA 28%
16-41
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
29%
9-22
0%
0-6
46%
26-31
 1.77 0.81 / 0.96
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TOR 41%
24-34
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
41%
11-16
0%
0-6
64%
37-21
 2.16 0.97 / 1.19
FLA 33%
19-38
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
32%
10-21
0%
0-6
61%
35-22
 2.00 1.00 / 1.00
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-166 TOR 47%
27-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
52%
14-13
17%
1-5
52%
30-28
 2.47 1.28 / 1.19
FLA 39%
22-35
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
36%
11-20
17%
1-5
61%
35-22
 2.47 1.14 / 1.33
Team Comparison '25-26
TORFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1440-38-4
Points %47.6%51.2%
Goals for / game3.093.06
Goals against / game3.653.37
Shots for / game26.328.0
Shots against / game32.426.8
Power play %21.3%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.2%81.0%
Faceoff %54.3%46.6%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.93 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.230.84 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.20 / 1.30
Avg game total6.736.43
Starting Goalies from the box score
32 saves on 35 shots · 3 GA · L
29 saves on 30 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0010301/3
FLA3020371/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+175
 37% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+210
 33% 40% 67%4/6 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+275
 32% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+300
 14% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+250
 24% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 13% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
 20% 20% 13%1/8 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+700
 17% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+140
 42% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+425
 22% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+350
 19% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+575
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+800
 14% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 14%1/7 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 8% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 71% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 39% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 60% 83%5/6 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 64% 60% 60%3/5 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 45% 30% 17%1/6 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 61% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 40% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 46% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 38% 30% 17%1/6 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 21% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 40% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 35% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
John Tavares SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 69% 70% 83%5/6 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 60% 50%3/6 2 O
William Nylander SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 59% 60% 60%3/5 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 69% 60% 80%4/5 2 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 54% 60% 50%3/6 2 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 49% 50% 60%3/5 4 O
Joseph Woll SV 27.5
o-130 / u+100
 56% 70% 67%2/3 32 O
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+210
 46% 30% 25%2/8 2 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+145
 42% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+375
 14% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+230
 30% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+210
 27% 20% 60%3/5 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+165
 30% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+155
 20% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+350
 11% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Sandis Vilmanis G 0.5
o+550
 14% 20% — 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+550
 10% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+425
 16% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+275
 18% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
Cole Schwindt G 0.5
o+700
 14% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+750
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 33%2/6 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 72% 50% 50%4/8 2 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 61% 50% 67%4/6 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 43% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 57% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 50% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 53% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 40% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 29% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 38% 30% 17%1/6 2 O
Uvis Balinskis PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 23% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 40% 50%4/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 33% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 40% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 40% 40%2/5 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 38% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 32% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 23% 20% 17%1/6 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 31% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Uvis Balinskis A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 15% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 0% 33%2/6 0 U
Uvis Balinskis SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 35% 80% 17%1/6 1 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 51% 70% 20%1/5 3 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 45% 60% 17%1/6 9 O
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 50% 88%7/8 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 43% 50% 0%0/5 3 O
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 43% 50% 60%3/5 1 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 46% 40% 67%4/6 2 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 40% 0%0/1 3 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 30% 33%2/6 3 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 30% 20% 50%3/6 2 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 21.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 30% 67%4/6 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 6, 2026 at TOR FLA 1–4 0–10–21–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Dec 2, 2025 at FLA FLA 1–4 0–21–00–2 5 6.5 U TOR
May 18, 2025 at TOR FLA 6–1 0–03–03–1 7 5.5 O FLA
May 16, 2025 at FLA FLA 0–2 0–00–00–2 2 5.5 U TOR
May 14, 2025 at TOR FLA 6–1 1–03–02–1 7 5.5 O FLA
May 11, 2025 at FLA FLA 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U FLA
May 9, 2025 at FLA FLA 5–4 OT 1–23–10–1 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR FLA 3–4 1–11–21–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR FLA 4–5 1–30–13–1 9 5.5 O TOR
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA FLA 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 5.5 U FLA