← Stats / BUF @ FLA

BUF @ FLA

Friday, February 27, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL
Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +100 · FLA -120
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-250) · FLA -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 48%
28-30
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
47%
14-16
57%
4-3
49%
28-29
FLAo6.5 52%
30-28
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
14-18
57%
4-3
58%
33-24
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 71%
41-17
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
67%
20-10
71%
5-2
+8.28u
33-24
FLA-1.5 24%
14-44
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
22%
7-25
29%
2-5
-18.11u
21-36
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +100 57%
33-25
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
53%
16-14
43%
3-4
+5.86u
17-15
FLA fav -120 52%
30-28
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
16-16
57%
4-3
-11.92u
16-22
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-124/u-102 BUF 60%
35-23
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
63%
19-11
57%
4-3
60%
35-23
 2.02 1.00 / 1.02
FLA 47%
27-31
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
47%
15-17
57%
4-3
47%
27-31
 1.79 0.84 / 0.95
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 BUF 69%
40-18
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
70%
21-9
86%
6-1
53%
31-27
 2.03 1.21 / 0.83
FLA 60%
35-23
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
59%
19-13
86%
6-1
60%
35-23
 1.97 0.98 / 0.98
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-168 BUF 36%
21-37
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
33%
10-20
14%
1-6
43%
24-32
 2.19 1.09 / 1.10
FLA 40%
23-35
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
38%
12-20
14%
1-6
62%
36-22
 2.48 1.16 / 1.33
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-940-38-4
Points %66.5%51.2%
Goals for / game3.513.06
Goals against / game2.943.37
Shots for / game28.128.0
Shots against / game29.126.8
Power play %19.5%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.9%81.0%
Faceoff %45.9%46.6%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.93 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.880.84 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.20 / 1.30
Avg game total6.456.43
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
28 saves on 29 shots · 2 GA · W
36 saves on 38 shots · 2 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1020391/3
FLA0110291/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 47% 60% 29%2/7 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+240
 33% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+425
 14% 40% 14%1/7 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+200
 35% 30% 29%2/7 1 O
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+250
 26% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+275
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+650
 16% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 15% 20% 29%2/7 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% 0%0/7 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 17% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 17% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+800
 16% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+850
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2250
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+185
 69% 90% 71%5/7 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 61% 80% 86%6/7 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 70% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 53% 70% 43%3/7 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 70% 29%2/7 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 63% 60% 71%5/7 2 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 43% 60% 14%1/7 0 U
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 36% 60% 43%3/7 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 40% 83%5/6 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 41% 40% 14%1/7 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 43% 70% 43%3/7 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 70% 71%5/7 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 36% 60% 29%2/7 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 43% 50% 43%3/7 1 O
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 50% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 29% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 32% 40% 0%0/7 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 31% 40% 14%1/7 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 37% 30% 57%4/7 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 29% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 23% 20% 29%2/7 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 15% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 28% 0% 50%3/6 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 56% 70% 67%4/6 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 50% 29%2/7 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 50% 43%3/7 2 U
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 50% 29%2/7 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 52% 40% 43%3/7 2 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 33% 30% 29%2/7 6 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 30% 0%0/3 3 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 53% 30% 25%1/4 3 O
Alex Lyon SV 28.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 40% 100%2/2 28 U
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+210
 47% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+210
 28% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+145
 41% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+155
 27% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+175
 29% 20% 50%3/6 1 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+225
 19% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+425
 14% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+250
 29% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+300
 11% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Sandis Vilmanis G 0.5
o+575
 13% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+575
 10% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+450
 16% 10% 29%2/7 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+750
 5% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+750
 3% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 62% 60% 83%5/6 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 72% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 50% 71%5/7 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 53% 50% 67%4/6 2 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 46% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 58% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 39% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 42% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 29% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Uvis Balinskis PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 22% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 29% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 32% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 35% 50% 67%4/6 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 50% 17%1/6 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 43% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 30% 57%4/7 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 25% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 27% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+300 / u-475
 30% 20% 29%2/7 0 U
Uvis Balinskis A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 14% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 23% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 52% 70% 50%3/6 2 U
Uvis Balinskis SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 35% 70% 17%1/6 2 O
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 49% 60% 50%2/4 4 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 60% 57%4/7 1 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 60% 0%0/2 5 O
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 61% 60% 29%2/7 1 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 44% 50% 71%5/7 0 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 45% 40% 83%5/6 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 31% 30% 14%1/7 3 O
Daniil Tarasov SV 21.5
o-110 / u-120
 61% 70% 0%0/1 36 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 2, 2026 at FLA FLA 3–5 2–21–10–2 8 — BUF
Jan 12, 2026 at BUF FLA 4–3 2–10–12–1 7 6.5 O FLA
Oct 18, 2025 at BUF FLA 0–3 0–10–20–0 3 5.5 U BUF
Apr 12, 2025 at FLA FLA 3–2 SO 0–12–00–1 5 5.5 U FLA
Mar 8, 2025 at FLA FLA 4–0 1–02–01–0 4 6.5 U FLA
Oct 28, 2024 at BUF FLA 5–2 2–01–22–0 7 6 O FLA
Oct 12, 2024 at BUF FLA 2–5 1–21–20–1 7 6 O BUF
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 2–10–01–1 5 — FLA
Feb 15, 2024 at BUF FLA 4–0 1–01–02–0 4 — FLA