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BUF @ TOR

Tuesday, January 27, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
7 – 4
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +100 · TOR -120
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-250) · TOR -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 47%
24-27
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
42%
11-15
80%
4-1
49%
25-26
TORo6.5 58%
30-22
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
57%
17-13
80%
4-1
60%
31-21
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 71%
36-15
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
62%
16-10
40%
2-3
+7.06u
29-22
TOR-1.5 25%
13-39
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
30%
9-21
60%
3-2
-11.81u
22-30
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +100 57%
29-22
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
50%
13-13
20%
1-4
+4.91u
15-14
TOR fav -120 46%
24-28
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
53%
16-14
80%
4-1
-4.38u
12-12
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-138/u+108 BUF 59%
30-21
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
62%
16-10
80%
4-1
59%
30-21
 1.96 0.96 / 1.00
TOR 62%
32-20
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
63%
19-11
80%
4-1
62%
32-20
 1.83 0.92 / 0.90
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 BUF 31%
16-35
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
27%
7-19
40%
2-3
57%
29-22
 2.12 1.25 / 0.86
TOR 40%
21-31
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
43%
13-17
40%
2-3
62%
32-20
 2.10 0.96 / 1.13
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+114/u-146 BUF 33%
17-34
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
31%
8-18
20%
1-4
41%
20-29
 2.12 1.04 / 1.08
TOR 44%
23-29
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
12-18
20%
1-4
50%
26-26
 2.42 1.25 / 1.17
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-932-36-14
Points %66.5%47.6%
Goals for / game3.513.09
Goals against / game2.943.65
Shots for / game28.126.3
Shots against / game29.132.4
Power play %19.5%21.3%
Penalty kill %81.9%81.2%
Faceoff %45.9%54.3%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.880.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.456.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
3 saves on 5 shots · 2 GA
24 saves on 30 shots · 6 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF3130311/2
TOR2110230/0
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 36% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+120
 45% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+210
 34% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 20% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
 15% 30% 0%0/4 3 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 12% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 18% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
 14% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+300
 24% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 16% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 18% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+350
 18% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2250
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+750
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+475
 25% — — 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 67% 90% 60%3/5 2 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 64% 80% 40%2/5 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 80% 50%2/4 5 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 70% 40%2/5 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 59% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 43% 60% 80%4/5 3 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 43% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 39% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 41% 70% 40%2/5 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 39% 70% 40%2/5 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 35% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 49% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 34% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 33% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 38% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 18% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 28% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 24% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 65% 70% 60%3/5 2 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 56% 60% 40%2/5 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 60% 60%3/5 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 53% 50% 50%2/4 7 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 28% 30% 33%1/3 1 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 55% 20% 67%2/3 5 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 34% 10% 20%1/5 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 80% 33%1/3 3 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+180
 33% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+525
 24% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+110
 46% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+300
 12% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+250
 29% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+700
 19% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+375
 22% 20% 100%4/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+450
 17% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+750
 15% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+300
 17% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+525
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 9% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+210
 20% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 50% 40%2/5 3 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 61% 50% 100%5/5 3 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 43% 40% 60%3/5 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 44% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 47% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 55% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 35% 40% 60%3/5 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 37% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 28% 30% 40%2/5 2 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 47% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 20% 60%3/5 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 37% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 27% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 20% 10% 60%3/5 1 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 57% 80% 50%2/4 1 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 53% 70% 60%3/5 4 O
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 32% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Max Domi SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 42% 50% 80%4/5 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-150 / u+115
 57% 40% 80%4/5 3 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 10% 60%3/5 2 O
Joseph Woll SV 24.5
o-130 / u+100
 73% 70% — 24 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 25, 2025 at TOR TOR 4–3 OT 1–11–11–1 7 6.5 O TOR
Oct 24, 2025 at BUF TOR 3–5 2–20–21–1 8 6.5 O BUF
Apr 15, 2025 at BUF TOR 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 6.5 U TOR
Dec 20, 2024 at BUF TOR 6–3 2–03–21–1 9 6 O TOR
Dec 15, 2024 at TOR TOR 5–3 1–23–11–0 8 6 O TOR
Mar 30, 2024 at BUF TOR 3–0 1–01–01–0 3 — TOR
Mar 6, 2024 at TOR TOR 2–1 OT 0–01–10–0 3 — TOR
Dec 21, 2023 at BUF TOR 3–9 2–31–30–3 12 — BUF
Nov 4, 2023 at TOR TOR 4–6 1–11–22–3 10 — BUF
Mar 13, 2023 at TOR TOR 3–4 0–02–11–3 7 — BUF